Hockey, especially defense is a game of mistakes. Jake is solid (good Corsi) until he makes a mental gaff or plays soft and the puck ends up in the net.
He is a liability at all times and can't be counted on in a crunch time. I would trade him in a heartbeat.
Bolded -This is exactly what I have been saying for a while.
I have always compared the guy to Mike Green. The Caps gave Green his big contract because he had the ``potential`` to turn around his play without the puck and reduce giveaways. He could skate well, transition well and helped with possession, he also put up big points which helped his team outscore his defensive deficiencies. Green is still soft on the puck, and his play without the puck, although improved, is still not very good. 5 on 5, he is not going to be counted on to keep the puck out of his net by being sound ``defensively``. The hope is, he gets control and moves it out, so he has to defend as little as possible. With the puck, he's an asset, without the puck, not so much, but still better than Gardiner imo.
Enter Gardiner - similar player imo, but he does not create the offence or have an NHL caliber shot that he can score on his own like Green can/does. Yes, Jake has good advanced stats in many areas, but they do not tell the whole story imo, despite what some may say. Jake cheats a lot in his own end looking for loose pucks and leaves his position to do so, leaving a guy wide open. Look at the Montreal game, the only goal they got is because Jake was cheating looking for a loose puck and leaves his man wide open in front of the net, puck comes loose, goal. He does some things better than others, but what he doesn't do well, he is really bad at.
He is a puck watcher, he gets caught out of position because he drifts toward the puck, this can help if the puck comes to him, even help some of his stats, but when the opposition gets control, it creates prime scoring chances and often ends up in our net. He may do 75% really well during a game, but the other 25% is poor to brutal plays with or without the puck. This is why, right now, I would not call him a "pretty good defenceman" in a positive way because defence is a big part of a defenceman's game.
He is a defenceman who can help you control the puck, so that you defend less. I will not debate that. The problem is, you will still have to defend, and with him on the ice, expect giveaways, soft board play and poor positional play. So unless you get unbelievable goaltending, and guys able to cover his positional gaffs constantly, you will be pulling the puck out of your own net more than the opposing net because he doesn't create enough offence.
I like the tools Jake has, he could be a #3 d-man, but unless he can overcome being hypnotized by the puck and learn to play his position better, he is still a defensive liability on the ice and will always be a 4-5 guy.