Here, I used chatgpt to add paragraphs to that mess of an OP. You're welcome. Sheesh.
Jack Eichel, going into the 2015 draft, had a ridiculous amount of hype surrounding him. There were talks of the big, fast, talented, two-way, heavy-shot, great-vision player challenging McDavid. People were saying he had the better shot, was more physical, and had a better two-way game at the time, claiming his game was that of a Stanley Cup-caliber 1C. They were right, as he's now won a cup. However, people also put the generational label on Eichel due to his historic Hobey Baker-winning freshman season heading into the draft. Many noted that Eichel had very explosive skating and was a physical specimen.
The race between the two started, with Eichel and McDavid compared incessantly. Come draft lottery time, the answer to who was number 1 was revealed: Edmonton won, and by Tim Murray's reaction, the Sabres were the "losers" of the McEichel draft. The narrative shifted from "Who goes number 1?" to "Eichel would go number 1 in any draft without McDavid or Crosby." Eichel quickly became viewed as the ultimate consolation prize, but the sting remained. Despite his historic NCAA season, Eichel was drafted by someone disappointed he wasn’t his so-called rival. From there, the pressure was on Eichel to lift the Buffalo Sabres back to greatness while constantly being compared to McDavid.
Eichel put together a solid rookie campaign, but some say he was slighted, finishing 4th in Calder voting, just missing out on being a finalist. Russian rookie star, 24-year-old Panarin, put up 70-plus points en route to a Calder win, assisting Kane in his sweep of the Ross, Hart, and Lindsay awards. Eichel’s direct competition, McDavid, was injured with a collarbone injury against Philadelphia, but McDavid still put up 48 points in 45 games compared to Eichel's 56 points in 81 games. Despite this, people still thought Eichel could reach that generational/franchise-altering Hall of Fame potential.
Heading into the 2016 draft, some said Eichel would go number 1 over Matthews or Laine, though there were debates. The four – McDavid, Eichel, Matthews, and Laine – were seen as Uber-elite talents. By draft time, people viewed Matthews as a more polished product, not as raw, therefore closer to his ceiling. Matthews was compared to Toews/Kopitar as a two-way center, not the goal-scoring phenom he would become with multiple 60-plus goal seasons and Rocket trophies. At the time of the 2016 draft, Eichel was still regarded by some as similar in talent to McDavid and superior to Matthews and Laine.
After the 2016 season, Eichel finished with 61 games played due to a high ankle sprain but had a nearly identical stat line to his rookie year with 24 goals and 33 assists (57 points). His points-per-game (0.93) translated to 76 points over 82 games. While impressive, McDavid posted 30 goals and 70 assists for a 100-point season and swept the awards. The comparison shifted to Matthews and Laine, who posted notably better rookie seasons: Matthews with 40 goals and 69 points, Laine with 36 goals and 64 points. Eichel’s production would not hold up for long.
By the 2017-18 season, their stat lines looked like this:
- McDavid: 82GP, 41G, 67A, 108P (Art Ross win)
- Matthews: 62GP, 34G, 29A, 63P
- Laine: 82GP, 44G, 36A, 70P
- Eichel: 67GP, 25G, 39A, 64P
Again, Eichel missed time and was outproduced by Matthews and outscored by Laine. McDavid had separated himself from his peers with a 40-goal, 100-plus-point campaign, earning his second Art Ross and Lindsay while narrowly missing the Hart, which went to his former teammate Hall. This marked the significant emergence of Mackinnon, who had finally put together his speed, shot, strength, and playmaking ability, finishing as a Hart finalist with 39 goals and 58 assists (97 points). Mackinnon became one of the most productive players, a role many had expected for Eichel.
Heading into the 2018-19 season, Eichel was no longer viewed as McDavid’s counterpart. Instead, he was compared to the rest of his draft class, and Marner started getting attention as potentially better than Eichel. People recognized Eichel's tremendous raw talent and ability to be a top-tier player but began doubting whether he could put it all together.
The following season, Eichel had his offensive breakout, scoring 28 goals and 54 assists for his first over-point-per-game season. It was also his only fully healthy season since his rookie year. Fans noted that he was still earlier in his development curve compared to Mackinnon when he had his breakout. Eichel looked promising after the Sabres traded O'Reilly (who went on to win the Selke, Conn Smythe, and the Cup). However, the narrative of Eichel being a near-generational talent started to fade, and people questioned whether he could still be considered a slam-dunk 1st overall pick.
The very next year, Eichel seemed determined to prove himself as a top-ten talent, showcasing end-to-end ability, sniping, speed, and keep-away skills. He posted 36 goals and 42 assists for 78 points in 68 games. Though he appeared to be scratching the surface of his potential, the season was cut short due to injury. He was expected to break the 40-goal barrier and reach 90 points. However, the following season, Eichel was visibly hampered by injuries, losing his speed and shot effectiveness. He played through injury and eventually required neck surgery, which led to his trade to Vegas.
In Vegas, Eichel put on a great playoff performance, resulting in a Stanley Cup win, showing he’s a strong playoff performer. However, he hasn’t played a full season since joining Vegas and has had only one season above a point-per-game pace. Though Eichel has a Cup before McDavid and the Leafs’ trio, he hasn't reached their level in terms of individual seasons or awards. While a better playoff performer than the Leafs’ trio, they all have individually better regular seasons and finishes.
So, was Eichel overhyped and overrated, or was he simply in a bad situation, where pressure and injuries derailed his career? He has flashed tremendous ability before, but is there any hope that the pre-draft Eichel will make a comeback as a top producer? At the moment, it's questionable whether Eichel would even be a top-5 pick in a re-draft, with players like Kaprizov, Marner, Rantanen, Connor, and Aho likely taken ahead. He might even have trouble being selected over players like Joel Eriksson Ek, Hintz, or Barzal.
What would Eichel have to do from here on out to be considered that slam-dunk first overall pick in any other draft? It seems he isn't the dynamic two-way power center capable of setting the table or sniping from anywhere as touted. While he's a great player, he seems to be in the lower echelon of top-line players, with others drafted with, before, or after him progressing more. How do you view Eichel? Is he a failed franchise savior or someone handed unfair expectations and pressure? Was he overrated due to draft hype, or was he legitimately that good but failed to live up to his potential due to poor management and overwhelming expectations? Is the number 2, All-American Jack, still there, or was he ever really there?