Great example of someone who needed time in the AHL to round out his game, but a team pushed a kid because he showed he could play well in the NHL at a young age.
What happens with dmen who play too early, at least 90% of the time is, they end up just a little better version of what we see their rookie year. Only getting better with natural maturity and experience NOT working on any weaknesses they may have.
The NHL just isn’t a developmental league, and you just don’t have enough free time to work on your issues. When you put up 30 points as a 19 year old in the NHL, you think it’s all gonna come so easy and it usually doesn’t. For the ones it does, they’re a usually the elite of the elite.
Very few kids play early and keep getting better and better. Sergachev did, but Tampa sheltered him big time. Unfortunately the part of their game that never seems to evolve into being elite, is the defensive end of things. Provorov really is the same player he was at 19, except for he’s been around so long, every team knows how to play against him.
So let’s take Clarke and Edvinsson for example. Both over marinated a little last season.. they’re both better all-around dmen, then they would’ve been if LA and DET just threw them to the wolves last year. NJ got smart with Nemec this year, but they may want to worry a little about Hughes ever being a complete dman. The good thing with him is, he and his brothers are so competitive, he’s gonna find the time to work on his game each summer.
The worst part with Provorov is, we seen flashes of him being more of a complete dman. He just only got better with that experience and maturity, for 2-3 years and then flatlined, developmentally.
At this point, he is what he is. Maybe with the right partner, we see him excel with what he’s good at, while his partner shelters his faults. Not sure I’d let him carry a pairing for a good team though.
He’s likely to still get that late 1st, and the team that gives the best secondary item, probably lands him at the deadline.
If he’s traded in the next 45 days or so, it’ll be more of a hockey trade where the team will definitely want to re-sign him. In a trade like that, the value is probably close to the same but it might be a current NHLer in return, rather than that 1st Rounder.
He can still be a pretty productive player. His role has to be more of a support role though. He just never took those next steps great players do.