The Panther
Registered User
Yeah, I don't get the Lemieux-throng going back to 1992-93 as if it was a better season than Gretzky's best. It wasn't.
First of all, you have to be skeptical of a 60-game player/season. Being Mario Lemieux, we know he was more than capable of scoring 200 points or whatever at his peak on a strong team like the 1992-93 Pens. But there is no certainly whatsoever -- and, I would argue, a very low chance -- that a fully healthy Lemieux that season breaks any Gretzky peak records (at least not without an asterisk for the 84-game season).
Projections for Lemieux's scoring in 1992-93 always get inflated because of the Pens' 17-game winning streak down the stretch. The reality is, every top player puts up huge stats during a 17-game winning streak. The Pens weren't going to win all 24 games that Lemieux missed. His pace per 60-games would almost certainly have been lowered if he'd played the missing 24 games that season.
Here's a comparison of Gretzky's top seasons in his first-40-games and Lemieux's first-40-games in 1992-93. The Gretzky-stats in blue are ones that beat Lemieux's 1992-93 numbers through 40 games:
Gretzky 1981-82
50G + 58A = 108PTS (+36) ESP = 75
Gretzky 1983-84
43G + 74A = 118PTS (+50) ESP = 76
Gretzky 1984-85
42G + 73A = 115PTS (+67) ESP = 80
Gretzky 1985-86
28G + 75A = 103PTS (+25) ESP = 65
Gretzky 1986-87
40G + 58A = 98PTS (+43) ESP = 62
Lemieux 1992-93
39G + 65A = 104PTS (+32) ESP = 59
Where Lemieux's stat-line went all-time great in 1992-93 (all time, that is, in Gretzky-comparison terms) was in the second half of the season, during which the Pens won the aforementioned 17 straight games. Lemieux appeared in only 20 more games after these first 40, and he put up this crazy stat line in those 20 games:
30G + 26A = 56PTS (+23) ESP = 37
So, if you're making an argument that Lemieux peaked higher than (choose any one of six seasons by) Gretzky, you're doing so basically based on this 20-game sample only. Which is silly. I'm pretty sure there are multiple 20-game stretches by Wayne Gretzky where he scored 56 points, if not more.
By the way, we shouldn't forget that Lemieux actually played 71 games total in 1992-93, because the Pens appeared in 11 playoff games. In other words, 60 RS games plus 11 playoffs. So, how would Mario's stat-line in his full 1992-93 season compare to some equivalent Gretzky seasons? Let's see:
Lemieux 1992-93: 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
77G + 101A = 178PTS (+57) ESP = 104
Gretzky 1981-82: final 66 RS games + first 5 playoff games (Oilers eliminated in 5 games):
76G + 104A = 180PTS (+68) ESP = 123
Gretzky 1982-83: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
68G + 114A = 182PTS (+65) ESP = 118
Gretzky 1983-84: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
80G + 112A = 192PTS (+74) ESP = 127
Gretzky 1984-85: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
62G + 120A = 182PTS (+82) ESP = 129
Gretzky 1985-86: final 61 RS games + first 10* playoff games (Oilers eliminated in 10 games):
46G + 145A = 191PTS (+63) ESP = 130
Gretzky 1986-87: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
50G + 106A = 156PTS (+63) ESP = 114
Gretzky 1987-88: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
44G + 119A = 163PTS (+46) ESP = 98
Now, in fairness, I think comparing Lemieux's 1992-93 to Gretzky's 1981-82 (above) is wonky because Wayne appeared in only 5 playoff games. So, scratch that one if you like. But we're still left with four seasons in a row where Wayne's comparable games to Lemieux puts him on top in points (and five seasons in a row in ES points).
So, no, there was no higher peak for Lemieux over Gretzky, whether you want to measure it by one season, two seasons, three seasons, or whatever.
First of all, you have to be skeptical of a 60-game player/season. Being Mario Lemieux, we know he was more than capable of scoring 200 points or whatever at his peak on a strong team like the 1992-93 Pens. But there is no certainly whatsoever -- and, I would argue, a very low chance -- that a fully healthy Lemieux that season breaks any Gretzky peak records (at least not without an asterisk for the 84-game season).
Projections for Lemieux's scoring in 1992-93 always get inflated because of the Pens' 17-game winning streak down the stretch. The reality is, every top player puts up huge stats during a 17-game winning streak. The Pens weren't going to win all 24 games that Lemieux missed. His pace per 60-games would almost certainly have been lowered if he'd played the missing 24 games that season.
Here's a comparison of Gretzky's top seasons in his first-40-games and Lemieux's first-40-games in 1992-93. The Gretzky-stats in blue are ones that beat Lemieux's 1992-93 numbers through 40 games:
Gretzky 1981-82
50G + 58A = 108PTS (+36) ESP = 75
Gretzky 1983-84
43G + 74A = 118PTS (+50) ESP = 76
Gretzky 1984-85
42G + 73A = 115PTS (+67) ESP = 80
Gretzky 1985-86
28G + 75A = 103PTS (+25) ESP = 65
Gretzky 1986-87
40G + 58A = 98PTS (+43) ESP = 62
Lemieux 1992-93
39G + 65A = 104PTS (+32) ESP = 59
Where Lemieux's stat-line went all-time great in 1992-93 (all time, that is, in Gretzky-comparison terms) was in the second half of the season, during which the Pens won the aforementioned 17 straight games. Lemieux appeared in only 20 more games after these first 40, and he put up this crazy stat line in those 20 games:
30G + 26A = 56PTS (+23) ESP = 37
So, if you're making an argument that Lemieux peaked higher than (choose any one of six seasons by) Gretzky, you're doing so basically based on this 20-game sample only. Which is silly. I'm pretty sure there are multiple 20-game stretches by Wayne Gretzky where he scored 56 points, if not more.
By the way, we shouldn't forget that Lemieux actually played 71 games total in 1992-93, because the Pens appeared in 11 playoff games. In other words, 60 RS games plus 11 playoffs. So, how would Mario's stat-line in his full 1992-93 season compare to some equivalent Gretzky seasons? Let's see:
Lemieux 1992-93: 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
77G + 101A = 178PTS (+57) ESP = 104
Gretzky 1981-82: final 66 RS games + first 5 playoff games (Oilers eliminated in 5 games):
76G + 104A = 180PTS (+68) ESP = 123
Gretzky 1982-83: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
68G + 114A = 182PTS (+65) ESP = 118
Gretzky 1983-84: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
80G + 112A = 192PTS (+74) ESP = 127
Gretzky 1984-85: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
62G + 120A = 182PTS (+82) ESP = 129
Gretzky 1985-86: final 61 RS games + first 10* playoff games (Oilers eliminated in 10 games):
46G + 145A = 191PTS (+63) ESP = 130
Gretzky 1986-87: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
50G + 106A = 156PTS (+63) ESP = 114
Gretzky 1987-88: final 60 RS games + first 11 playoff games:
44G + 119A = 163PTS (+46) ESP = 98
Now, in fairness, I think comparing Lemieux's 1992-93 to Gretzky's 1981-82 (above) is wonky because Wayne appeared in only 5 playoff games. So, scratch that one if you like. But we're still left with four seasons in a row where Wayne's comparable games to Lemieux puts him on top in points (and five seasons in a row in ES points).
So, no, there was no higher peak for Lemieux over Gretzky, whether you want to measure it by one season, two seasons, three seasons, or whatever.