Barkey and Nadeau should make it. Both looked solid at the WJSS and Barkey is strong defensively. I get that finishing was a problem last year but there needs to be a balanced lineup with defined roles the kids excel in. Celebrini would have been an option but no way after his injury.
Heidt should be the 1C or 2C and run one of the PPs. I think Canada will likely lean on the 2005s more and less on the 2025 draft prospects. I think Catton, Iginla, Luchanko, and Sennecke make it, with Hage replacing Luchanko is he isn't released; Letourneau, Greentree, Boisvert, Lindstrom shouldn't. Don't think Misa makes it either. Martone didn't look good against the US at the WJSS so maybe they leave him off as well. Malcolm Spence did and he's an elite PK'er, so no surprise if he's added to a fourth line.
On defense, Danford and Brunicke likely miss the cut. Need one of Caden Price, Quinton Burns, or Andrew Gibson there. Chances are, the USA will have a crash line hitting everything in sight and Canada needs to stand up to it. That's where Beaudoin comes in to help. Vincent Collard may also be a consideration.
I think this is the final pool they'll be considering:
Cowan-Heidt-Barkey
Iginla-Yager-Rehkopf
Cristall-Luchanko/Hage-Sennecke
Barlow-Catton/Cataford-Wood
Nadeau-Beaudoin-Collard
Dickinson-Bonk
Molendyk-Yakemchuk/Parekh
Price-Gibson/Akey
Burns
Bjarnasson-George-Ratzlaff-Ivankovic. Don't think Ravensbergen will be a serious candidate this year.
On paper, the Americans have the better goalies, more physical shutdown defenders, and the better top line. If Will Smith is released, that bumps Hagens to 2C with Musty and Eiserman. My issue with Canada's defense that you listed is that there are too many playmakers. It looks like Team USA will have one physical shutdown option with each puck rusher and in theory can former two nasty PK duos with Schulz-McCarthy or Fortescue-Emery
Perreault-Smith-Leonard and Eiserman-Hagens-Musty with Augustine in goal by itself is strong enough to run the table to gold.