Hutson's next contract

[Habitant#1]

I think Lane will sign for Suzuki money for 6 years.

Renewals staggered:
2030 Suzuki (8 year deal)
2031 Caufield (8 year deal) AND Guhle (6 year deal)
2032 Hutson (6 years)
2033 Slafkovsky (8 years)
2034 Demidov (7 year second deal)
2035 Fowler (7 year second deal)
2036 Reinbacher (8 year second deal)

I had been considering whether signing Lane to a 6year deal instead of 8 would be worth it from and AAV perspective, but I hadn't considered how nicely 2032 fit in between the other contracts.

I like this idea.

Though I suppose 8 years for Hutson falls to 2034 which would be fine if you made the Damidov and Fowler deals 8 years as well.


ADDIT: imagine Suzuki sets a new 'Suzuki Cap' in 2030 lmao

 

[417]

I hope the young man gets paid and gets paid handsomely.

I don't really care about the cap, that's for Hughes to manage, but I love to see players gets paid in pro sports.

Go get that bag $$!

 

[TT1]

I think he'll sign for 7.8M x 8 keeping the Captain as the benchmark. If hes going for $10M that would kill the rebuild, and kiss a RHD or 2C goodbye.

Price LTIR coming off the book (makes off season easier), Anderson and Gally's contract up in 2 years so 12M freed up there, that's 22.5M alone between those 3 players in the next 2 seasons

now add Laine 8.7M, Matheson 4.9M, Dvorak 4.5M, Armia 3.4M, Dach 3.3M, Savard 3.5M.... we're gonna be swimming in cap space in 2 seasons

that's around 51M coming off the books

 

[ahmedou]

"Campbell vs Gallo (Simon Tsalikis in for Gallo) discuss Lane Hutson's possible contract extension."

 

[Estimated_Prophet]

I hope the young man gets paid and gets paid handsomely.

I don't really care about the cap, that's for Hughes to manage, but I love to see players gets paid in pro sports.

Go get that bag $$!

I think HuGo beg to differ as any quality GM/Pres would. Cap management is incredibly important and is the reason that the Bruins were so wildly successful for so long.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

I think he'll sign for 7.8M x 8 keeping the Captain as the benchmark. If hes going for $10M that would kill the rebuild, and kiss a RHD or 2C goodbye.

You haven't properly looked at the upcoming cap growth and salaries going away for the Habs. We have enough space in the future to have both Hutson and Demidov at 10 mil each, and then some.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

I had been considering whether signing Lane to a 6year deal instead of 8 would be worth it from and AAV perspective, but I hadn't considered how nicely 2032 fit in between the other contracts.

I like this idea.

Though I suppose 8 years for Hutson falls to 2034 which would be fine if you made the Damidov and Fowler deals 8 years as well.


ADDIT: imagine Suzuki sets a new 'Suzuki Cap' in 2030 lmao

You want them all on 8 years so you can sparse renewals with the cap growth.

We don't need smaller AAVs, as we'll have quite enough cap space over the next 8 years. What we need is long term cost certainty so we'll be able to re-sign everyone if we want to.

Signing Lane to 6 years is entirely amateurish and unconductive to a proper spread of salary years vs renewals. Signing him 6 years means we would need to re-sign him right after Guhle, Caufield and Suzuki will eat up a large chunk of the cap growth for their own probable renewals. Signing Lane for 8 years, means you have him longer for fewer bucks than when he'll re-sign. Signing him 8 years means you accrue more cap growth before you need to re-sign him.

 

[Scriptor]

You haven't properly looked at the upcoming cap growth and salaries going away for the Habs. We have enough space in the future to have both Hutson and Demidov at 10 mil each, and then some.

the milosh said:

I think he'll sign for 7.8M x 8 keeping the Captain as the benchmark. If hes going for $10M that would kill the rebuild, and kiss a RHD or 2C goodbye.

I think they will growth the same Cap percentage as Suzuki in the year he signed his latest contract as the benchmark going forward, not the actual salary -- 8.9% of the Cap.

With an 8-year deal on a 104M Cap ceiling for Hutson, that would be 9.256M. If you want it to be lat least marginally less than Suzuki, call it 9.25M.

If Demidov becomes the franchise forward everyone longs for, his applicable Cap ceiling would be 113.5M and the Cap hit would establish the first post Carey Price 10M-Dollar-Man at 10.1M.

Only way the Cap hits can be less is if they both takeashave on the Caphit with a 5 or 6 year term where less UFA years are taken into account (one or two versus four).

 

[417]

I think HuGo beg to differ as any quality GM/Pres would. Cap management is incredibly important and is the reason that the Bruins were so wildly successful for so long.

Well of course they should care, but its their job to manage the cap, not mine. I want the players I cheer for putting up a lot of points and that typically means they get paid a lot of money.

Hutson is and should be paid what the market dictactes. If he wants to take less to help the team, great, but that shouldn't be the expectation.

Up to management to make it work.

 

[JoelWarlord]

I think he'll sign for 7.8M x 8 keeping the Captain as the benchmark. If hes going for $10M that would kill the rebuild, and kiss a RHD or 2C goodbye.

That doesn't really make any sense. Hutson at 10 wouldn't remotely cause any cap trouble. The cap will be 113.5M by 2027, a 10M contract under that cap is the equivalent of 7.78 today.

For 2026-27 we currently have 48.6M in cap space with 9 forwards (Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovsky, Gallagher, Anderson, Newhook, Evans, Demidov, and Kapanen), 2 defencemen (Guhle and Carrier), and Montembeault signed, and we can likely assume that at least one of our D prospects will be in the lineup on an ELC by that point. If Hutson costs 10M that leaves 38 million for a 2C, a top 4 RD, a backup G, and a couple depth players. The following summer (2027) Demidov will need a new contract at the same time as the Anderson and Gallagher contracts expire freeing up a combined 12 million.

 

[Bombshell11]

Lane Hutson does not have the kind of leverage the media is trying to tell us.

I don't think he's worth 4 x 1st round picks right now so im assuming the canadiens would not be matching offer sheet offers that would result in a 4 x First pick compensation.

8.2+ million /year @ 7 years is enough to grant us 4 x 1sts

So Hutson is looking at a contract extension of just around 8 mil/ year @ 5-6 years with the canadiens.

If you want to make the case that he's worth more than 4 x 1sts... then please i would like to hear it.

 

[Hacketts]

10 million/48 years

Pay him as a player
Pay him as a developmental coach
Pay him as an assistant coach
Pay him as coach
Pay him as AGM
Pay him as GM

I think that's a fair deal for a lifelong service to the organization.

 

[tazsub3]

Lane Hutson does not have the kind of leverage the media is trying to tell us.

I don't think he's worth 4 x 1st round picks right now so im assuming the canadiens would not be matching offer sheet offers that would result in a 4 x First pick compensation.

8.2+ million /year @ 7 years is enough to grant us 4 x 1sts

So Hutson is looking at a contract extension of just around 8 mil/ year @ 5-6 years with the canadiens.

If you want to make the case that he's worth more than 4 x 1sts... then please i would like to hear it.q

while i agree with the principle , your numbers are mistaken. they revised the numbers for the compentsation . bellow accurate ones. so for 4 first it is 11.7 million plus

$1,544,424 or below: No Compensation

Up to $2,340,037: Third-round selection

Between $2,340,038 and $4,680,076: Second-round selection.

Between $4,680,077 and $7,020,113: First and Third-round selections.

Between $7,020,114 and $9,360,153: First, Second, and Third-round selections.

Between $9,360,154 and $11,700,192: Two First-round selections, a second, and a Third.

More than $11,700,192: Four First-round selections.

 

[Gravity]

He still has another season under his ELC, so how about we wait for that to finish and re-evaluate?

 

[BenchBrawl]

Offer him Suzuki's exact contract, see what happens.

 

[Captain97]

He still has another season under his ELC, so how about we wait for that to finish and re-evaluate?

That's not how this goes with young stars.

He's almost certainly going to be extended this summer.

 

[Captain97]

Offer him Suzuki's exact contract, see what happens.

I'm expecting Suzuki's cap percentage adjusted to today which I think is around $9MM

 

[BenchBrawl]

I'm expecting Suzuki's cap percentage adjusted to today which I think is around $9MM

Costs nothing to try.

 

[TheBuriedHab]

Hopefully his dad isn't a nut case and hijacks the negotiations.

 

[Gravity]

That's not how this goes with young stars.

He's almost certainly going to be extended this summer.

That would be foolish by the Habs. If he has a sophomore slump, you could resign him to a more reasonable contract, and this coming from the biggest Hutson fan here.

 

[WeThreeKings]

That would be foolish by the Habs. If he has a sophomore slump, you could resign him to a more reasonable contract, and this coming from the biggest Hutson fan here.

Or he explodes and costs you 50% more.

 

[Team_Spirit]

Over 8M gg ez no re

View attachment 954844

POV you are a pot of gold;

 

[GordonGraham]

Im in the camp that it would be stupid for him to sign a deal this summer he should wait for summer 2026,

 

[Bombshell11]

while i agree with the principle , your numbers are mistaken. they revised the numbers for the compentsation . bellow accurate ones. so for 4 first it is 11.7 million plus

$1,544,424 or below: No Compensation

Up to $2,340,037: Third-round selection

Between $2,340,038 and $4,680,076: Second-round selection.

Between $4,680,077 and $7,020,113: First and Third-round selections.

Between $7,020,114 and $9,360,153: First, Second, and Third-round selections.

Between $9,360,154 and $11,700,192: Two First-round selections, a second, and a Third.

More than $11,700,192: Four First-round selections.

To determine the compensation they take the total value of the contract and divide it by a maximum of 5 years.

So for a long term contracts above 5 years, this is what they do:

They take 58,500,960$ and divide that by 6 or 7 (what ever the offer is)

For a 7 year contract, the minimum required would be: 8,357,280$ @ 7 years. 6 year = 9,750,160$ /per

If a team wants to play the habs and avoid paying the 4x1sts the best they can do is offer Hutson 11.5 mil @ 5 years. I believe his agent said they're looking for a shorter term deal as well.

So i think i was still inaccurate with my previous post, his worth at 5 years is higher than his worth at 8 so the habs could be forced to make a compromise and find a middle ground between 11.5 and 8.3 to sign Lane long term.

Also some people have suggested he's not eligible to an offer sheet but its not 100% clear since his first year was burned. Even if he's not he could still go to arbitration and then he'll be eligible for an offer sheet no matter what.

 

[tazsub3]

To determine the compensation they take the total value of the contract and divide it by a maximum of 5 years.

So for a long term contracts above 5 years, this is what they do:

They take 58,500,960$ and divide that by 6 or 7 (what ever the offer is)

For a 7 year contract, the minimum required would be: 8,357,280$ @ 7 years. 6 year = 9,750,160$ /per

If a team wants to play the habs and avoid paying the 4x1sts the best they can do is offer Hutson 11.5 mil @ 5 years. I believe his agent said they're looking for a shorter term deal as well.

So i think i was still inaccurate with my previous post, his worth at 5 years is higher than his worth at 8 so the habs could be forced to make a compromise and find a middle ground between 11.5 and 8.3 to sign Lane long term.

Also some people have suggested he's not eligible to an offer sheet but its not 100% clear since his first year was burned. Even if he's not he could still go to arbitration and then he'll be eligible for an offer sheet no matter what.

luckily we have elite management and not amateurs like MB. i have no doubt this will be handled efficiently