How many points will it take to make the playoffs? (2017-18 edition)

[HansH]

Yup, seventh year for this, believe it or not.

After the games of 1/30/18:

Currently, Minnesota and Colorado are projected to tie for the second wild-card spot with 97 points each. Anaheim and Calgary are projected to tie for 4th in the Pacific with 95 points each, making the minimum "safe" target for the playoffs 96 points.

To achieve that, the Kings need 37 points in the remaining 32 games, which translates to a points percentage of .578, or a record of 17-12-3.

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[Raccoon Jesus]

High five Hans! Thanks!

 

[KINGS17]

Hans is back!!!

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/3/18:

Calgary projects to 4th in the Pacific at 95 points, making the non-tiebreaker target 96 points. That means the Kings need 35 points in their remaining 30 games, which translates to a record of 16-11-3 (a points percentage of .583)

 

[Raccoon Jesus]

Oh no, I've seen this movie before

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/15/18:

Calgary remains the lowest target (3P), projecting to 96 points. To clear that bar with 97 points, the Kings need 32 points in their remaining 25 games, a percentage of .640, or a record of 15-8-2.

 

[BigBrown]

Wow, starting to look a bit grim. Gonna need to string together a winning streak soon.

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/19/18:

Kings currently project to P3, a few percentage points ahead of Anaheim. Anaheim projects to 95 points, making the Kings' target 96 points. To achieve that mark, the Kings would need 27 points in their remaining 23 games - a percentage of .587, or a record of 12-8-3. Note -- their current points percentage over 59 games is .585, so pretty much "stay the course" would get them in... pretty much.

 

[Sol]

Ah the accursed thread.

 

[Stimpythecat]

The West is insane this year.

 

[HansH]

After the games of 2/26/18:

Anaheim and Calgary both project to 95 points, setting the Kings' target to 96 points. That translates to 23 points in the remaining 19 games, a record of 11-7-1 (a percentage of .605 as compared to their percentage of .579 for the season so far).

 

[Basilisk]

After the games of 2/26/18:

Anaheim and Calgary both project to 95 points, setting the Kings' target to 96 points. That translates to 23 points in the remaining 19 games, a record of 11-7-1 (a percentage of .605 as compared to their percentage of .579 for the season so far).

The thing is, I see Calgary tanking down the stretch. That's gotta somehow figure into the odds.....

 

[Herby]

Unless there are a ton of 3 point games the projections will come down as the inter-conference games slow down the last month plus.

And to add, the Kings have 6 games against teams who are essentially playing out the stretch, and it could be 7 if you include the collapsing Blues.

The Sharks have 5 (7 if you count Blues)
The Flames have 7
The Ducks have 5 (6 if you count Blues)

The Kings will also almost surely win the ROW tiebreaker over most of their opponents.

 

[rajuabju]

I always love (and fear) this thread

Thank you for doing it again this year

 

[mrkolice]

thx hans. me like lak chances here, to get that po ticket. it's tight, but lak is looking good here.

 

[BigKing]

Thanks for doing this even though you hate my boy MacDermid.

 

[Basilisk]

From here, we've got to go 10-7. However, I suspect we'll finish 11-5-1 and manage 100 points!!!

 

[HansH]

After the games of 3/2/18:

Anaheim and Colorado both project to 96 points and a tie for the WC2 spot, making the target for the Kings' playoff hopes 97 points. That makes Basilisk correct - 20 points in the remaining 17 games translates to a record of 10-7, or 9-6-2 -- a percentage of .588, compared to their current season points percentage of .592.

 

[HansH]

After the games of 3/5/18:

Colorado projects to be the bubble team in the wildcard race, at 96 points, keeping the Kings' target at 97 points. That translates to 20 points in 16 games, a percentage of .625 or a record of 9-5-2.

 

[kilowatt]

Why do I have this sudden crushing feeling that the Kings aren't going to make the playoffs?

 

[KINGS17]

 

[BigKing]

Why do I have this sudden crushing feeling that the Kings aren't going to make the playoffs?

Because they lost last Saturday--at home--to a team that has nothing to play for and gave up 12 combined goals to division rivals SJ and ANA in the two games that sandwiched said loss?

Oh, and the Kings were up by two goals heading into the 3rd. Maybe that's the reason?

 

[Ziggy Stardust]

And the Flames are beating Buffalo and will win that game, which would put them one point behind the Kings for the final wild card spot. The Avs also have the same amount of points as the Kings with 77, but the Kings have more ROWs.

It's going to come right down to the final game of the season.

 

[johnjm22]

If the Kings do make the playoffs, I hope it's not as 8th seed. I really think L.A. has a chance against any team in the conference except Nashville.

 

[Basilisk]

From here, I'm hoping we go 10-4-1..............