How many games will the Kings have to lose to get the best odds at the #1 pick?

[HansH]

So, I'm not doing the previous tradition this year - the valiant push to make the playoffs is just not even a fun narrative to think about at this point.

So, instead I'm looking at the math for how poorly the Kings will have to do to get the best odds at the #1 pick (yes, nothing is guaranteed because of the lottery, yadda yadda, let's just take all of that discussion as already had, shall we?)

As of the morning of 12/4/18, Chicago has the 2nd-worst winning percentage in the league, projected at 67 standings points. Therefore, in order to secure the highest odds of the top pick, the Kings need to get no more than 45 points in their remaining 55 games - or a record of 22-32-1 (a winning percentage of .409)

Click to read more...

 

[jfont]

so 32 losses from now till end of season.. gotcha!

 

[KingCanadain1976]

so 32 losses from now till end of season.. gotcha!

why do i feel there going to be a running total in the gdt from now on

 

[Raccoon Jesus]

*magic number* is so different this year!

 

[2-4 Slashin]

Something to root for? I suppose...

 

[kingsboy11]

why do i feel there going to be a running total in the gdt from now on

hmm....

 

[KINGS17]

 

[Reaper45]

so 32 losses from now till end of season.. gotcha!

Or less than 22 wins!

 

[HansH]

Or less than 22 wins!

"Fewer"

 

[Reaper45]

"Fewer"

I know. I was trying to be confusing.

 

[Kings man 4 life]

I'm terrified of how irate I will be if Chicago wins #1 overall from 4th or 5th like they did with Kane. All the bullshit I heard of how amazing they were at building a team when in reality they just got stupid ass lucky.

 

[Bandit]

Not only how many losses, but how many balls will need to drop...

 

[GeraldBass]

I guess it is going to be difficult for them to have this.

 

[Sleeping Dog]

so 32 losses from now till end of season.. gotcha!

So, now the counter is down to 31 losses.

 

[KingsFan7824]

As of the morning of 12/4/18, Chicago has the 2nd-worst winning percentage in the league, projected at 67 standings points. Therefore, in order to secure the highest odds of the top pick, the Kings need to get no more than 45 points in their remaining 55 games - or a record of 22-32-1 (a winning percentage of .409)

That's a slightly better winning% than they currently have under WD.

2 more home games before a 4 game trip. Saturday is all but a blowout loss already, so the key is for NJ to come in here tomorrow, with their 4th worst GAA, against the worst home and scoring team in the league, and find a way to win. Even if they beat the Devils though, they have a real chance to cement themselves at the bottom with the rest of the schedule this month. 12 games, and 10 are definitely losable, outside of a any given Sunday scenario. Then January doesn't necessarily start any easier.

 

[rajuabju]

I am 100% on board with this thread.

Looking forward to getting a top flight pick, hopefully #1

 

[KingsHockey24]

We'll find a way to finish dead last but not get the 1st overall pick.

 

[KopitarFAN]

We'll find a way to finish dead last but not get the 1st overall pick.

More often than not you don't, but the point is to assure a Top 4 pick.

 

[Reaper45]

More often than not you don't, but the point is to assure a Top 4 pick.

I get why they changed it but I think if you finished dead last you should drop no further than 3rd overall.

 

[Seventyx7]

I get why they changed it but I think if you finished dead last you should drop no further than 3rd overall.

Especially this year when the big drop is after the top 3!

 

[AlphaBravo]

Being last place is the best thing for this team, but I just can't get excited about losing for the tank. I still cheer for the Kings to win each game, although I am aware of the reality of the situation.

 

[Zero Pucks Given]

I too am embracing the tank.

 

[KINGS17]

Being last place is the best thing for this team, but I just can't get excited about losing for the tank. I still cheer for the Kings to win each game, although I am aware of the reality of the situation.

Honestly, f most of these players and their lack of effort on most nights. Quick and Brown seem to be the only warriors on this roster.

I am rooting for the Kings to get the #1 pick overall. Not for the players, not for Robitaille or Blake, but because the fans deserve it. The Kings have never had a generational talent come to them in the draft and spend a good portion of their career with the Kings. I would like to see that, and win or lose, a player who brings fans to their feet.

 

[Bandit]

Honestly, f most of these players and their lack of effort on most nights. Quick and Brown seem to be the only warriors on this roster.

I am rooting for the Kings to get the #1 pick overall. Not for the players, not for Robitaille or Blake, but because the fans deserve it. The Kings have never had a generational talent come to them in the draft and spend a good portion of their career with the Kings. I would like to see that, and win or lose, a player who brings fans to their feet.

Doughty?

 

[KINGS17]

Doughty?

Remains to be seen if he will spend his career with the Kings. He still has 8 years left on his deal after this one, but you are correct he is a generational talent. I am not a fan of the attitude and persona though.