How close does Crosby come to 700 goals?
- Thread starter beardawg
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BallardEra
Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
This must be his worst ever goal scoring pace in a season with 11 goals in 40 games.
He will need to play beyond his new two year deal if he wants to hit 700.
He will need to play beyond his new two year deal if he wants to hit 700.
Coffee
Take one step towards the direction you want to go
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dr robbie
Let's Go Pens!
Not likely unless he plays beyond his extension. I do think he'll rebound some the second half of this season, but getting over 90 in the next 2.5 seasons is going to be a stretch.
I think it's so silly to have arbitrary cutoffs like this. What if he gets 699? or 701? Why would the magic number of 700 bump him for some reason? We've already got a good enough picture of his career to place him where we think he should be. Compiling a few more goals or whatever isn't going to change the picture much at all at this point.
- Jun 13, 2010
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I don't think he will unless he extends past this two year extension he just signed.
High end estimate: 680 goals, 1200 assists for 1880-ish pts. 3rd/4th all time. Tact on an extra year: 700 goals, 1250 assists for 1950pts - 2nd all time.
High end estimate: 680 goals, 1200 assists for 1880-ish pts. 3rd/4th all time. Tact on an extra year: 700 goals, 1250 assists for 1950pts - 2nd all time.
dirtydanglez
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dubas loves his former players and crosby wants to compete. if the pens have the chance i think they'll make an offer. marner is only an issue in the playoffs which shouldn't be a problem in pitts
Alexander the Gr8
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Don’t know about 700 goals but the case to put him in the top 5 all-time doesn’t depend on that.
SwedishFire
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LaCarriere
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Crosby has nothing left to prove. He's won 3 cups, and left a lot of money on the table.
He won't likely hit 2000 points, maybe not even 1900. I don't see him sticking around chasing arbitrary goal or point totals on a non-competitive team. Life altering injuries are always possibility, no matter how unlikely. He's got nothing left to prove and I think he's smart enough to realize that and he can still make a ton of money after playing.
If Ovie wasn't on the cusp of the goal record he'd probably have retired by now.
He won't likely hit 2000 points, maybe not even 1900. I don't see him sticking around chasing arbitrary goal or point totals on a non-competitive team. Life altering injuries are always possibility, no matter how unlikely. He's got nothing left to prove and I think he's smart enough to realize that and he can still make a ton of money after playing.
If Ovie wasn't on the cusp of the goal record he'd probably have retired by now.
2,000 points is still possible but he'll need to play another two years beyond his current contract. If not for injuries he'd be a sho-in for 700 goals as well. Barring injury 4th place all time is his at the moment. 212 points needed in 205 games.
To answer the main question, I really don't have much of a sense.....I don't think he'll be able to get there on his current contract....possible, but I think it's pretty unlikely....then it would come down to whether he keeps playing or not.
In terms of top 5 all time, you either think he's there or not, meaning 700 goals shouldn't matter. People that think he's a top 5 player obviously don't need to see him score 700 goals to get there and people that don't think he's a top 5 player aren't going to all of a sudden change their mind because he hits 700.
Do you honestly believe that?
Crosby would likely hit 1900 points this season if he had not missed all those games in 2010-2013. If he doesn't extend again, I don't think he hits 1900.
If he doesn't extend again, there is basically ZERO chance he gets to 1,900pts. He'd basically need to 1) not miss any games, which I suppose he's been pretty good at lately, but 2) play at 105 point pace over the next 205 games, that's just not going to happen. He would need 262pts over 205 games. He scored 285pts in the first 205 games of his career, but he's not getting 262 in the last 205 games of his career. Honestly, 1,800 isn't necessarily a foregone conclusion
Does a 40 year old Crosby chase one last cup after his extension ends? That's probably asking a lot.
Agree. It's kind of crazy that if he had not missed those games in 2010-2013 as well as the covid seasons, he could hit 2000 points this season already. Or at least get close to it. Oh well, he's been pretty healthy/fortunate otherwise. Averaging ~67 games played/season currently.
SuperScript29
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- Nov 17, 2017
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He needs to catch fire in the next 3 seasons to reach 700 goals. Seeing this year's numbers, I think he will fall short.
Sheppy
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Video Nasty
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For me, it’s crazier at this point that he seems on track to play at least 22 seasons and 1500 games. Assuming Suter, Burns, Ovechkin, and Kopitar get there first in the meantime, he would be just the 26th player in league history to skate 1500 regular season games.
For a player who was feared to have very little career left back during the time period referenced, it’s gone extraordinarily well for him and probably the best outcome one could hope for. Seems like a nice alternative. We once briefly wondered if he’d make it to 800 career points, and here he is all these years later, looking like a lock for 1800.
It’s unfortunate it went down the way it did, but remembering it all during the moment, I don’t know…I feel like it’s kind of pointless speculating how he might be going for 2000 in even two years time without missed time during the stretches you highlighted, let alone flirting with 2000 right now.
Also, Crosby missed 28 of the first 45 games in 2019-2020, so he only missed out on 13 games due to the COVID stoppage. Then 26 lopped off the schedule the following season. So that’s 39 games and maybe 45 points. 2010-2011 through 2012-2013….even if we’re generous and give him full credit for the PPG he had during that fractured stretch, we’re talking 182 points. So that’s 227 on top of his 1638 for 1865 if absolutely nothing else changes. Then to be even more kind by bringing up a season I don’t have to, 40 more points in 2007-2008. That’s crosses him to 1905. Again, that’s being generous. I personally don’t believe he maintains that high PPG, because he’s not McDavid who has essentially done so for 550+ games while missing very little time, and consistently putting up high scoring both halves of each and every season.
I don’t think there’s any realm he has 2000 points as of this post. An extremely generous projection where he plays an extra 171 games still sees him just hitting 1900…while having more games played than Ovechkin, even if Ovechkin didn’t miss his recent 16, and already being tied with the 26th most games ever. That is wildly unrealistic.
I guess you did add the caveat of getting close to the total, but the way he would do that is through extremely generous projections, which seems unreasonable. No, in the end, he should be applauded for salvaging what looked like a doomed cause, instead of wondering what could have been. We could have seen him exit a dozen years ago. Instead, he added important elements to his legacy.
jetsforever
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