I think you're being a little too harsh on the Turcotte pick, by all accounts he was viewed as a top 5 pick that draft year and I remember many thinking he was going to go 3rd to Chicago, it's not like Blake stuck his neck out for a completely off the board player. If you want criticize the development of him like you have in the past I think that's completely fair game but Turcotte was a legitimate quality prospect and I still genuinely thought he was the most important player on that wjc gold medal team in his D+1 season.
Most draft busts and disappointments in professional sports are from GM's doing exactly that, picking a guy where the consensus said he was supposed to go. Thomas Hickey type reach bust picks are the exception.
If your belief is that the draft is mostly luck, I get that, and I know many people here would agree with you. That the only difference between the Josh Allen pick and Josh Rosen pick was which team was lucky enough to draft one and unlucky enough to draft the other (both were similarly rated coming out). And I see some of that argument, but in a case like this, where your GM overrides your scouts you have to place blame on the GM, just as you'd have to give him a lot of praise if it worked out. And I'm sure Blake would tell you the same thing.
As far as the WJC, I enjoy watching it for the spectacle, but I am firmly in the camp that it's not as valuable a scouting tool as weeks and months worth of league games in the CHL or NCAA are. I know many like
@King'sPawn disagree with me minimizing the WJC and place a lot of value on it for player evals.
No dispute that those were the three best players for team USA. But I just don't think it mattered all that much. I'll use this example.
The same season that WJC happened, I watched Wisconsin play on local tv every weekend during Covid. Cole Caufield had one of the most dominant individual seasons I've ever seen from a college player. He won the Hobey Baker (probably unanimously), led the nation in scoring, carried a very average UW team to the Big Ten Conf title over much more talented and deeper teams in Minnesota and Michigan
When his season ended he went to Montreal's AHL team for a weekend, and I think had multiple goals in both games. He went to Montreal and scored 4 times in 10 regular games, and was an important player (probably even difference making vs. Vegas) in their run to the Stanley Cup final as a 20 year old in his D+2.
None of those other three would have been able to sniff playing at that stage at that age, but since so much value is placed on a 2 week tournament, some people could just never get over what was just essentially a bad 2 weekends of a junior/NCAA season. There is a certain notorious Ranger fan on the main board who insisted it was not going to translate to the NHL. And then when it did, after 4 goals in 6 games vs. Vegas as a huge dog, the response is, "well, he didn't do anything at the WJC". 60 games of hockey, including 20 in the STANLEY CUP PLAYOFFS and you are bringing up a USA vs, Finland junior hockey game 7-8 months before?
@Axl Rhoadz notes version: When a GM goes against the wishes of his scouting team to make a pick, he should be more heavily praised if it hits, and more heavily criticized if it doesn't.
When evaluating the type of season an NHL prospect has had, 40-60 more structured league games should carry significantly more weight than a handful of high variance tournament games.