I agree to an extent on this. A winning goal scored in the 2nd period should hold no less value than the OT winner. Or points scored in losses vs. wins. But rising a number of time is also a way to perhaps separate players with similar stats. Sakic's two Cup runs, especially 1996, are his strength for sure.
I think the reasons to separate Sakic and Forsberg apply to Crosby and would think he should be somewhere between them at this point.
Sakic does have 2 VERY GOOD Cup runs. Amazing clutch instances, to go with stellar raw numbers. His 96 performance was an all time great one. No two ways about it.
BUT,
I think Crosby has them both beat (Forsberg by a much wider margin) Sakic by a hair.
- 3 Cups in 4 tries with 5 trips to the Conference finals between 2008 and 2017.
- Back to Back Conn Smythe's - 2016 and 2017 (and he scored 31 points in 2009 and led the playoffs in assists and points the year they lost in 08). So at worst, he has produced 4 significant runs in past 9 years that all came in Cup finals appearances. Sakic can't say the same.
- Crosby's career PPG is just a hair better than Sakic with nearly as many games played. There isn't a massive sample size difference.
-Crosby's Pens won the title in 09 despite very shaky goal tending by Fleury (iconic save at the end of game 7 vs Lidstrom be damned). Sakic never had to worry about his guy, who was some dude named Patrick Roy, in either Championship season.
- This past year Crosby led a team without its #1 D (Letang) for the entire playoffs #1 G (Murray) for the 1st 2+ rounds and numerous other key depth players out for various lengths of time. In fact, the Pens didn't even have a Dman who would rate as a top pairing player by anyone.
- Crosby has participated in I believe 28 OT games (The Pens have played 30 but Sid missed 2 due to injury, one in 2011 and game 3 of this past years run when he got knocked out in the opening minute).
http://pittsburghhockey.net/penguins/pittsburgh-penguins-overtime-playoff-games
The Pens are 14-14 in that stretch with Crosby collecting 7 points (1 goal, 6 assists). That's a 25% scoring rate in OT games Sid has played in.
Sakic's teams went 25-19 with him scoring 13 points. That's a 29.5% rate. So obviously Sakic has a slight advantage in terms of clutch scoring and his teams fared slightly better in overall record.
Sakic has a greater advantage in raw points, but that is partly due to more opportunity. Which is not surprising given Sakic is retired and Crosby is 29 and still playing. Perhaps the gap closes (or widens). We shall see.
The other factor to look into is when did Sakic start to really transition into a good 200 foot player relative to Crosby and their deployment as such. I always remember Sakic being good/great in this regard during his Colorado days, but was to young to really remember his time in Quebec.
I know having watched Crosby's entire career extremely closely he was never bad/terrible (like Nels Stewart or Bill Cowley) in his own end and the effort was generally speaking, there the majority of the time, however his very noticeable transition to a cognizant and then good defensive C started in 2013-14 (26 years of age and ahead of the Steve Yzerman timeline who REALLY turned a corner under Bowman).
His defensive prowess against the Thornton-Pavelski line last year in the finals was Selke level good. They combined for 1 goal, which was an empty netter.
He was out on the ice at the end of game 6 with Jones pulled, blocked a point shot, scooped up the puck and then sprung Hornqvist for the dagger EN goal with a minute left.
Who did Pitt play in the Finals?
08 - 52 win Detroit team - lost 4-2
09 - 51 win Detroit team - won 4-3
16 - 42 Regulation win San Jose team - won 4-2
17 - 39 Regulation win Nashville team - won 4-2
Who did Colorado play in the Finals?
96 - 41 win Florida team - won 4-0
01 - 48 win NJ team - won 4-3
Both teams won a Cup vs high end competition (Pitt in 09 and Avs in 01) and both won a pair against lower end finals oppenents (Pitt in 17 and Avs in 96)
With this past Cup run, I now have Sid barely ahead of Sakic and quite a bit ahead of Forsberg.