I feel like half the cup winners have one random great season, winning is hard.
Colorado is a great example, they have a terrible record outside of the one season they won, and they are a great team.
St Loius came out of nowhere.
All those teams are better than the leafs (besides the kings but there rebuild ended in 2020ish so they have time compared to the leafs)
They literally have went to the 2nd round more often than the leafs have
Caps, Sharks, Avs, Blues all had more runs in the playoffs than AM34 era leafs
Caps a team known for being choke artists still had 3 series wins in 8 years vs leafs 1 in 8
Avs have won 4 series in 7 years exclduing thete cup win in 2022. They can still win another series this year vs Dallas
Dallas --> They have rebuilt/retooled on the fly and have made the finals, WCF and now in R2 vs the Avs.
Panthers --> Made the 2nd round, finals, and now 2nd round again
Canes --> Have 2 ECF runs since 2019 when they became an elite team
Edmonton --> Have made WCF, WCSF and now WCSF again the past three years. They are likely to beat the nucks and go to WCF if they perform like they did in R1.
Leafs show they are no closer to being a contender than any fluke wildcard team that crawls in the playoffs. We get eliminated R1 almost every year. All these teams make either roster upgrades to their core and are serious contenders while the leafs are the laughing stock for all playoff teams