Has Connor Bedard quietly became underrated ?

TheNumber4

Registered User
Nov 11, 2011
47,838
59,366
Okay one source.

heres from Corey Pronman at the Atheletic, talking about his and other NHL evaluators views.

"the NHL voters I asked mostly felt there was a gap between McDavid and Bedard at the same age. It’s tough to define what exactly “generational” means, so I reframed the question to ask whether Bedard is at the same level as a prospect as McDavid was at the same age. While there’s been the odd voice I talk to in the NHL who feels it’s close between the two players at the same age, most feel there’s a clear distinction and would not call Bedard a McDavid-level prospect. Bedard is just as prolific, if not a slightly more prolific scorer than McDavid was as a junior. The distinction would be the athletic traits. McDavid was a much bigger player, and while Bedard skates well, McDavid is the best skater in the world and was a far better skater at the same age. For those reasons, most of the NHL voters did not view Bedard as a true generational prospect"

Earlier in this thread or some other Bedard thread, a poll from here, between 2/3 or 3/4th of people had Bedard as not Mcdavid/Crosby level.

The 1/3 view may be louder and more annoying if you disagree with them. But we should be comprehending adults able to distinguish between vocal minorities and actual backed up views. And scouts aren't always right, but why should we treat the minority view as consensus? Because it's an easier marketing sell? It's not thinking for yourself. If it was your view based on watching a prospect, that's fine. It's your view.

Anywhoo, that Button quote is kinda qauint. Lemieux made the playoffs 1 time in his first 6 seasons. Bedards Blackhawks are more like those Pens than McDavids Oilers with 3 former 1sts and a 3rd the year before. Or Crosbys 1st and 2nd drafted before him. The Blackhawks tore off the doors of an aging team that rushed most high prospects they had before. Years of being this awful was inevitable.
Years ago when I first heard of this phenom kid named Bedard that could be the “next one”. The first question I asked was how was his skating. Then i looked at his size. And felt pretty confident McDavids throne would be secure for a number of years still.

His WJCs made me a big believer he could be close to that generational tier though. His insane shot is a generational weapon in itself. But you could also tell he had a the IQ and processing that lots of greats have in their game.

He probably won’t be the next McDavid, but he’ll be the closest to it once he hits his stride.
 
  • Like
Reactions: shakes the clown

pvr

Leather Skates
Jan 22, 2008
4,808
2,257
Yeah he’s awful. His total number of faceoffs is pretty low though, he must be getting used much less than average on the draw for his position to boot.

That’s ridiculously bad though, like Shaq free throw % bad.
He rarely takes the faceoffs in the offensive or defensive zones.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Goose

Fatass

Registered User
Apr 17, 2017
24,398
16,119
He rarely takes the faceoffs in the offensive or defensive zones.
Yup. Bedard should be a winger. Hes not a natural centre. Hawks, imo, should play Bedard on the wing and keep him there. Because that’s where he belongs. He’s a fantastic winger. He’s a poor centre.,
 
  • Like
Reactions: sanscosm

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,296
12,057
I mean, sure, but Matthews entered the league at like 6'3 215, and is one of the bigger elite centers in the league. It's not like Bedard even with maturity will ever have that athletic advantage. Those are physical traits someone simply isn't going to magically gain with age. He's built much closer to Marner while being more stocky, and it's not like Marner has gotten significantly bigger. Over time he just learned how to avoid the limitations of his frame at the NHL level.
That's fair but my point was that as prospects they didn't look all that different in long term NHL projections.

Some guys are more ready to step into the league physically than others and if bedard had anyone decent to play with he's easily be a PPG guy IMO and isn't that far off from being that right now.

Yup. Bedard should be a winger. Hes not a natural centre. Hawks, imo, should play Bedard on the wing and keep him there. Because that’s where he belongs. He’s a fantastic winger. He’s a poor centre.,
My bet is that he stays at center as there are centers who don't do well in the dot like Jack Hughes for instance.
 

Fatass

Registered User
Apr 17, 2017
24,398
16,119
That's fair but my point was that as prospects they didn't look all that different in long term NHL projections.

Some guys are more ready to step into the league physically than others and if bedard had anyone decent to play with he's easily be a PPG guy IMO and isn't that far off from being that right now.


My bet is that he stays at center as there are centers who don't do well in the dot like Jack Hughes for instance.
My opinion has nothing to do with Face off ability. Bedard is a winger because of his skill-set. Lots of guys, even D men, can win draws. Bedard is bad at face offs. But that’s a skill he can improve. However, his skills are those best suited to a winger. If he had a great centre he’d score 60 every year., Bedard should be a finisher, who doesn’t have to think about defending so much.,
 

hiptanaka

Registered User
Jan 12, 2006
1,484
351
Woonsocket
Quite a difference in the situations when people are comparing the Hawks to the Oilers or Penguins.

The Blackhawks got Bedard early in their rebuild process so of course he'll be on some bad teams for the first few years. Korchinski was the only top 10 pick drafted before him during this rebuild. Levshunov drafted 2nd overall the year after Bedard. The next draft will add another high pick (likely top 4) but that still only gives them three top 10 picks so far with a third to come before next season.

McDavid joined the Oilers much later in comparison.
The Oilers had already drafted 1st over all 3x in the 5 drafts before he got there.
They also drafted 3rd and 7th and added 4th overall the year after. That's seven top 10 picks.

The Penguins drafted 5th (Whitney,) 1st (Fleury,) 2nd (Malkin,) 1st (Crosby,) and 2nd (Stall) during a 5 year span. Five top 10 picks in a row.

Be patient. This isn't going to be a quick rebuild. I expect at least another year or two of high picks.
Crosby played with guys like Colby Armstrong and Andy Hilbert his rookie season.
 

WarriorofTime

Registered User
Jul 3, 2010
32,256
21,821
Bedard should be compared more with his peers like Cooley, Michkov and Celebrini. And it looks as though others like Beniers, McTavish, Wright, Carlsson, Fantilli and Smith that aren’t really keeping pace at the moment. Not so much the ghosts of Crosby and McDavid who were playing at a different point of time. The history keepers can sort all that stuff out if need be 30 years from now.
 

Faceboner

Registered User
Jan 6, 2022
2,106
1,471
My opinion has nothing to do with Face off ability. Bedard is a winger because of his skill-set. Lots of guys, even D men, can win draws. Bedard is bad at face offs. But that’s a skill he can improve. However, his skills are those best suited to a winger. If he had a great centre he’d score 60 every year., Bedard should be a finisher, who doesn’t have to think about defending so much.,
He is also a puck dominant player but I see your point he could be a kaprizov/Kane type winger who has a centers impact on driving offenseproblem is hawks have no other centers and while his skating isn't elite it isn't bad and has great vision and play reading ability with great hands to make plays as a center but he is a guy who would be better off being the offense only guy at wing who doesn't have to worry about downloading as a center. The center position requires good/great defense to get the puck back and up ice quicker and more frequent right now his skating isn't good enough to rove around the dzone and he still isn't seeing how the offensive play is developing against him to make reads and position himself in the proper lanes to cause disruptions and takeaways he plays with a good motor and really shouldn't be asked to both the heavy lifting offensively and defensively as 1c I like the idea of him taking the Hughes approach of being wing for a minute until his physical attributes catchup for him to dominate the middle of the ice.
 
  • Like
Reactions: BlueMed

Lafleurs Guy

Guuuuuuuy!
Jul 20, 2007
80,310
52,657
Would be nice to see him play with some decent teammates/linemates.

Chicago needs to get him some help bad, or could potentially derail his confidence and career.
He’s heating up already. I really wouldn’t worry too much.

That being said… yes, he needs help. Even a little bit would have an impact. He’s still super young and I have confidence that he’ll blossom as the team improves and he gets older.
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,296
12,057
Bedard should be compared more with his peers like Cooley, Michkov and Celebrini. And it looks as though others like Beniers, McTavish, Wright, Carlsson, Fantilli and Smith that aren’t really keeping pace at the moment. Not so much the ghosts of Crosby and McDavid who were playing at a different point of time. The history keepers can sort all that stuff out if need be 30 years from now.
This kind of stuff is too early to tell as a guy like Mack and Draisaitl didn't hit the ground running either.

Bedard has 96 points in his first 108 games straight out of junior, not sure why Cooley is mentioned above.

Michkov and Celebrini are fair though.

And truth be told most people didn't have Bedard in the McDavid, Crosby type of prospects although his point totals were sometimes compared and then misconstrued by some people as a direct comparison.
 
  • Like
Reactions: authentic

WarriorofTime

Registered User
Jul 3, 2010
32,256
21,821
Bedard has 96 points in his first 108 games straight out of junior, not sure why Cooley is mentioned above.

Michkov and Celebrini are fair though.
Cooley is probably not in that class, but he is (a) only one year older than Bedard, (b) was a very high draft pick and (c) has a .87 PPG in the NHL this season

I wasn't really implying Cooley will be Bedard's equal in seven years. Just that he hasn't really fallen behind at this stage amongst the young former really highly drafted group of forwards floating around right now.
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,296
12,057
Cooley is probably not in that class, but he is (a) only one year older than Bedard, (b) was a very high draft pick and (c) has a .87 PPG in the NHL this season

I wasn't really implying Cooley will be Bedard's equal in seven years. Just that he hasn't really fallen behind at this stage amongst the young former really highly drafted group of forwards floating around right now.
I like cooley alot but this is how they stack up so far.

Year after draft

Cooley fine season in the Big 10
Bedard wins the Calder with a line of 68-22-39-61

2 years after draft

Cooley NHL rookie 82-20-24-44
Bedard 40-10-25-35

3rd NHL year so far

Cooley 40-10-25-35

Bedard TBD

It's not a huge difference but quite a significant one.
 

WhiskeyYerTheDevils

will post scouting reports for food**
Sponsor
Apr 27, 2005
35,922
35,506
**or compliments
I like cooley alot but this is how they stack up so far.

Year after draft

Cooley fine season in the Big 10
Bedard wins the Calder with a line of 68-22-39-61

2 years after draft

Cooley NHL rookie 82-20-24-44
Bedard 40-10-25-35

3rd NHL year so far

Cooley 40-10-25-35

Bedard TBD

It's not a huge difference but quite a significant one.
Bedard is for sure a more dangerous offensive player than Cooley, but Cooley is a much more complete center at this stage. Yeah, he's a year ahead, but I doubt Bedard will ever be anywhere near as well rounded as Cooley. While Cooley will likely never approach Bedard's offensive totals, I think Cooley's upside scenario is a better overall player than Bedard's downside.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: nbwingsfan

Llewzaher

Registered User
Aug 2, 2005
4,980
2,440
North America
Bedard should be compared more with his peers like Cooley, Michkov and Celebrini. And it looks as though others like Beniers, McTavish, Wright, Carlsson, Fantilli and Smith that aren’t really keeping pace at the moment. Not so much the ghosts of Crosby and McDavid who were playing at a different point of time. The history keepers can sort all that stuff out if need be 30 years from now.
Likely comparable to Slafkovski vs Cooley as Cooley was not the number 1 draft pick.. or are you referring to style of play ?

In any case , I think if Bedard had linemates like Crosby, McDavid. Etc he would have way more offensive numbers.
 

WarriorofTime

Registered User
Jul 3, 2010
32,256
21,821
Likely comparable to Slafkovski vs Cooley as Cooley was not the number 1 draft pick.. or are you referring to style of play ?

In any case , I think if Bedard had linemates like Crosby, McDavid. Etc he would have way more offensive numbers.
I omitted Slafkovsky in error. He would also be in the "peer" category as a young highly touted on draft day forward.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Llewzaher

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,296
12,057
Bedard is for sure a more dangerous offensive player than Cooley, but Cooley is a much more complete center at this stage.
What exactly do you mean by much more complete?



Yeah, he's a year ahead, but I doubt Bedard will ever be anywhere near as well rounded as Cooley.
Once again, not even sure what you are getting at here Cooley isn't going to develop into some Selke type of center is he?



While Cooley will likely never approach Bedard's offensive totals, I think Cooley's upside scenario is a better overall player than Bedard's downside.
What does this even mean?

Literally every top 3ish picks potential upside is better than most other top picks downside, ie busting.

I mean what right now is Bedard's downside in 2 or 3 years, merely being a 40-50 goal guy who scores 100 points?

What I see right now is a significant different every year post draft between the 2 players and I think that trend continues next year as well.
 
  • Like
Reactions: nbwingsfan

WhiskeyYerTheDevils

will post scouting reports for food**
Sponsor
Apr 27, 2005
35,922
35,506
**or compliments
What exactly do you mean by much more complete?
Much better defensively.
Once again, not even sure what you are getting at here Cooley isn't going to develop into some Selke type of center is he?
He could become an elite 2 way all situations 1C. He;s obviously not there yet, but he has the rights skillset and approach to the game.
What does this even mean?

Literally every top 3ish picks potential upside is better than most other top picks downside, ie busting.
We're 3 years removed from Cooley's draft, I don't think every top 3 pick has that sort of upside. And we know Bedard's downside is much better than a bust.
I mean what right now is Bedard's downside in 2 or 3 years, merely being a 40-50 goal guy who scores 100 points?
Bedard's downside is probably a 30-35 goal 90-100 point perimeter winger. Cooley's upside is a 35 goal 90+ point 2 way center.
What I see right now is a significant different every year post draft between the 2 players and I think that trend continues next year as well.
I think it probably does too, but Bedard has fallen short of my expectations twice now, so who knows.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Fraser28

Toby91ca

Registered User
Oct 17, 2022
2,626
1,980
That's fair but my point was that as prospects they didn't look all that different in long term NHL projections.

Some guys are more ready to step into the league physically than others and if bedard had anyone decent to play with he's easily be a PPG guy IMO and isn't that far off from being that right now.


My bet is that he stays at center as there are centers who don't do well in the dot like Jack Hughes for instance.
I don't really have much concern regarding face-offs....at this point anyway. Without doing a deep dive, I think most young players simply aren't great on draws....it's something you need to work on and improve as you work your way into the NHL. Crosby was bad when he first came into the league, he's one of the best now. Matthews wasn't great at the start, really good now....he got there pretty quick too (size probably helps as well). Depends on what guys prioritize as well. McDavid wasn't good, got better over team, took time to get there, this year he's not good....so not a major thing he focuses on I'm guessing. MacKinnon has never really been good. If someone is not good on draws, but you think they are best suited at centre anyway, you can work with that....just have them take less draws than they otherwise would if they were really good. Use Crosby as the comparative, this year he's taken 949 draws, MacKinnon, 725, Hughes - 434 and McDavid - 409. As MacKinnon isn't very good at it, I'm pretty surprised how many draws he takes (he's #9 in the league)....though I think that is the combination of his huge ice-time + the fact that COL simply seems to be bad at it as a team, so no point having someone else take them instead
 

SimpleJack

Registered User
Jul 25, 2013
6,880
4,605
Richardson was actively putting him out against other teams shutdown guys. He was matching him against Barkov Hintz Lowry Eriksson Ek at home.

He also wouldnt let the D activate offensively because they were trying to keep games close.

And then the little things that erk you too like NEVER putting him out there with the empty net and a chance to get an easy goal that might get himself going/some confidence back when he was struggling to score. Or only leaving him out there on the PP for 45-55 seconds and then going to the 2nd unit comprised of 4th liners. Richardson was either one of the most utterly clueless and inept coaches I've ever seen or he was actively trying to sabotage Bedard.
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,296
12,057
Much better defensively.

He could become an elite 2 way all situations 1C. He;s obviously not there yet, but he has the rights skillset and approach to the game.

We're 3 years removed from Cooley's draft, I don't think every top 3 pick has that sort of upside. And we know Bedard's downside is much better than a bust.

Bedard's downside is probably a 30-35 goal 90-100 point perimeter winger. Cooley's upside is a 35 goal 90+ point 2 way center.

I think it probably does too, but Bedard has fallen short of my expectations twice now, so who knows.
Overall we are going to agree to disagree here in that any difference that Cooley might attain in his 2 way game won't make up for the big lead Bedard already has in the offensive department every year post draft.

I also think that Bedard is capable of playing a 2 way games as he matures as he is extremely driven to be the best.
 

WhiskeyYerTheDevils

will post scouting reports for food**
Sponsor
Apr 27, 2005
35,922
35,506
**or compliments
Overall we are going to agree to disagree here in that any difference that Cooley might attain in his 2 way game won't make up for the big lead Bedard already has in the offensive department every year post draft.

I also think that Bedard is capable of playing a 2 way games as he matures as he is extremely driven to be the best.
I think there is something to be said for trajectory as well. Cooley has very clearly taken a big step in his sophomore season where Bedard has stagnated (and arguably regressed).

It's far from a given that Bedard becomes as good of an overall player next year as Cooley is this year.

1736198840162.png
1736198856429.png
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad