to me, Anything can happen in a 7 game series. The Leafs are clearly the best team in Canada. Not even close in my mind. That's not to say any of VAN, EDM, WIN, CGY, MTL cannot beat us in a 7 game series. But to me, it would be a clear upset if they did. I have yet to see a single team dominate us in a season series, let alone a whole game. Our losses have been due to not finishing, and lack of goaltending. The odd game we let slip away by napping. But none of the losses were we completely foiled by all 21 guys on the other team and had no answer. No matter where the Leafs end in the standings, and regardless of who they face in rounds 1 and 2, I figure they will have about 65% chance of advancing in each series.
(Round 1) 0.65 x (round 2) 0.65 = 42% chance of advancing through rounds 1 AND 2. I'll take that