I think the sooner a rebuild starts, the better. You don’t want to end up like Detroit, who have some good young forwards and prospects, but are stuck with bad contracts for older useless players. So they can’t make moves to acquire high end talent or be in better draft positions.
My hope is the following players are gone by September, with only futures in return.
Kovalchuk
Carter
Hagelin
Lewis
Forbort
Phaneuf bought out
That leaves you with a top six forwards and top four D looking like
Kopitar/ Brown / ?
Kempe / Toffoli / ?
Doughty / ?
Martinez / ?
Quick / ?
That’s around $44m in cap hit, so just over 50% of next years projected $82m ceiling, assuming Kempe gets a raise to like $2.5m.
I think you sign a ufa to cover one of those open spots. If you could sign Jake Gardiner or maybe Tyler Myers, I think that improves things. Options at wing are available, and maybe Micheal Ferland wants to play in LA, or even Wayne Simmonds. So now let’s say the picture looks something like:
Kopitar/ Brown / Ferland $7m
Kempe / Toffoli / ?
Doughty / Gardiner $6m
Martinez / ?
Quick / ?
Cap hit is around $61m with buyout hits from Richards and Phaneuf, leaving around $20m left to cover 7 + 2 forwards, 3 + 1 defenseman, and 1 goalie. So 14 players. And we have several roster players under contract who fill in those spots.
Clifford
Wagner
LaDue
Walker
Campbell
These guys cost just under $4m, and leave us with 7 forwards and 2 defenseman to fill out with $16m in cap space for 9 players. Let’s look at our free agents who remain, that we retain with small raises.
Iafallo $2m
Amadio $1m
Leipsec $750k
Fantenberg ufa $1m
Totals up to be around $5m, leaving $11m to fill out 4 forwards and 1 defenseman. Here is what our roster looks like. This is more depth chart than line combos and D pairings.
Kopitar/ Brown / Ferland
Kempe / Toffoli / Iafallo
Amadio / Leipsec / Wagner
Clifford / ? / ?
? / ?
Doughty / Gardiner
Martinez / Walker
LaDue / Fantenberg
?
Quick / Campbell
To finish out the spots,it makes sense to look at prospects in the org now. Of course the hope is you somehow get a roster prospect either in the draft or via one of the trades to improve this list. Here’s how I would round things out. This would leave around $5m in free cap.
Kopitar/ Brown / Ferland
Kempe / Toffoli / Iafallo
Amadio / Leipsec / Wagner
Clifford / Luff / Grundstrom
Kupari / Rempal
Doughty / Gardiner
Martinez / Walker
LaDue / Fantenberg
Roy
Quick / Campbell
The guys in bold are who you’d love to upgrade with a homerun prospect in draft / trade. Just hire Joel Queville as a coach, Rikard Gronberg and Marco Sturm as assistants and you’re ready to rock with a whole new outlook.