Swedens chances to make the playoffs are pretty slim, but anything other than 3pts here and we are done. We are 6 pts behind Russia, Switzerland and Slovakia and 5 pts behind Czech Rep and Denmark. Denmark and Czech Republic also have the head-to-head edge aginst us so it might as well by 6 pts. We can at max get 9 more points. So even if two of the teams get 0 more points, we still have to get 6pts. Getting 3pts against Russia won't happen. So 3pts from Great Britain is a must.
Now when I look at the standing, the situation is even more dire. I think passing Russia and Czechs are out of the question, so we have to manage to pass Great Britian, Belarus, Denmark and one of Switzerland and Slovakia.
We have Slovakia yet to play, so if we don't get 3 pts there we won't pass them, we have to get 6 pts vs Britain and Slovakia to have shot. Assuming Slovakia loses against the Czechs they also have Denmark left to play. Let's say everything goes our way and Denmark gets all 3 pts against Slovakia, then we still have to worry about passing Denmark. There other two games are against Czechs (go Czech Republic) and Belarus. Let's say those results also go our way, then we have to worry about Belarus, who have Swiss and Russia. Pick any other team that you we should pass and you see that the road is as hard no matter what them you play.
Tonight:
Denmark - Belarus (are we better off with them splitting points here? Who knows? Denmark needs to keep there health, energy and confidence up for the game against Slovakia on Saturday. 2pts to Denmark, 1pt to Belarus optimal?)
Saturday:
Czech - GBR (don't think this matters, don't expect us to pass the Czech, so it is probably better if they get all 3pts. Go Czech!)
Swiss - Russia (go Russia!)
Slovakia - Denmark (go Denmark!)
Sunday:
Belarus - Switzerland (go Belarus?)
Sweden - Slovakia (3pts is almost a must, 2pts or it is definatly over)
Monday:
Czech - Denmark (go Czech!)
Russia - Sweden (We'll see the status when we get here, but 0pts and we are out definatly. Win is probably a must, especially if we didn't get 6pts from the previous matches)
Thuesday:
Switzerland - Great Britain (rule Britannia!)
Slovakia - Czech Repulic (go Czech!)
Russia - Belarus (go Russia?)
That would leave us with a table
Russia 15pts
Czech Republic 15ts
Sweden 12pts
Denmark 10pts
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Switzerland 9pts
Slovakia 9pts
Belarus 8pts
Great Britain 7pts