Gold medal betting odds... Thoughts?
- Thread starter Ainec
- Start date
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The Swiss only have a 4% worse chance to win this thing than Finland and the USA? Where are these odds coming from, exactly?
So the Swiss have never even made the finals, as the Finns have won the tourney 3 times in the last 6 years.
Which, of course equals to a 4% advantage for the Finns! Where do these odds come from haha
Which, of course equals to a 4% advantage for the Finns! Where do these odds come from haha
These odds come from the same person that made the USA lines for their two pre-tourney games.
theVladiator
Registered User
- May 26, 2018
- 1,255
- 1,509
This got me curious, so I looked up the odds from an actual betting site (Bodog).
1. Canada +245 (29%)
2. USA +330 (23%)
3. Russia +390 (20%)
4. Sweden +475 (17%)
5. Finland +575 (15%)
6. Czech +1600 (6%)
7. Swiss +5000 (2%)
Being an actual betting site, if you think you know better, you can put your money where your mouth is. Disclaimer: I think betting is stupid.
1. Canada +245 (29%)
2. USA +330 (23%)
3. Russia +390 (20%)
4. Sweden +475 (17%)
5. Finland +575 (15%)
6. Czech +1600 (6%)
7. Swiss +5000 (2%)
Being an actual betting site, if you think you know better, you can put your money where your mouth is. Disclaimer: I think betting is stupid.
Scrantonicity 2
Not a Generational Poster
- Mar 7, 2016
- 2,697
- 3,553
I'm not stupid enough (or smart enough) to bet, but to me it stands
Russia
United States
Sweden
Canada
Finland
Czech Republic
Switzerland
Germany
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
Russia
United States
Sweden
Canada
Finland
Czech Republic
Switzerland
Germany
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
novisor
Registered User
koyvoo
Registered User
- Nov 8, 2014
- 17,812
- 17,925
When we talk about betting odds, it doesn’t necessarily correspond with outright statistical odds to win the tournament. Betting odds are more about the house protecting themselves in relation to bets coming in.
theVladiator
Registered User
- May 26, 2018
- 1,255
- 1,509
That's an odd order, given the talent levels (I put the number of 1st round picks and potential 1st round picks in brackets for the first few rosters). On paper Canada has to be #1 IMO. Based on talent level it would have to be
1. Canada
2-3. USA/Sweden
4-5. Finland/Russia
Brun0
Registered User
- Jul 24, 2009
- 1,390
- 224
Yeah, I think pretty much no-one expects us to win the tournament - always a good starting point for Finland 
On paper we probably really are the 5th strongest team, on ice, when it actually matters, well we will see...
On paper we probably really are the 5th strongest team, on ice, when it actually matters, well we will see...That's probably correct.
I can't imagine that there's much betting action on the WJC, nor that there's much expertise available to set the odds.
There are a lot of trolls on these boards, but you will always be my favourite.
snipes
How cold? I’m ice cold.
- Dec 28, 2015
- 56,205
- 65,502
Sportsinteraction has inflated odds. Over 3/1 for the Americans to beat the Canadians, and over 5/1 for the Russians to win it all.
Canada is always going to have inflated odds due to the popularity here and people not wanting to bet against them. Especially considering unlike the NFL where heavy public teams get hammered down by sharks to reasonable odds, I don't think many high-level and calculated gamblers are touching this tournament.
HF Sportsbook odds
https://hfboards.mandatory.com/sportsbook/category/hockey.3/?order=upcoming
Plus HF Sportsbook is giving away $500,000 sportsbook dollars if you answer a skill question testing
Deadline 10 AM Eastern Christmas Day
https://hfboards.mandatory.com/sportsbook/category/hockey.3/?order=upcoming
Plus HF Sportsbook is giving away $500,000 sportsbook dollars if you answer a skill question testing
Deadline 10 AM Eastern Christmas Day
Ainec
Panetta was not racist
- Jun 20, 2009
- 21,782
- 6,432
I don't have rankings, but in a single-elimination tournament of juniors, Canada shouldn't be 2.5 to 1 favorites. Just so much random variation at this event. They may win, but I don't see value in that bet. It is fine if you are a casual gambler just want to add excitement and cheer for a team you like. Anyone of 5 or so teams can win this (USA, Canada, Russia, Finland Sweden), so the odds for any of those teams should really by lower than +350 or so. The value on Canada is probably 100 dollars overpriced. Just looking at the odds, I'd probably split money on Sweden and Finland at those values and not touch any of the top 3.
