I wouldn’t say that I’m conflicted because I feel fairly strongly that the team needs an overhaul regardless of what happens the remainder of the year, but the team itself is heading into muddy waters now and it’s going to muck up the process, IMO.
This group made the ECF twice in the past 4ish years and has largely stayed intact. Yes, they’ve gotten older, but they’re not over the hill by any means. To say that they’re genuinely as bad as they’ve been would be disingenuous. At the same time, many of us harped on goaltending and unsustainable special teams success as buoys that resulted in us overachieving. I don’t think anyone will argue that the ECF runs were “expected” based on actual on-ice performance, and I think most would accept that when we won the President’s Trophy last year, we were closer to a 4-5 seed in reality, but a hot PP and great goaltending (plus our bi-annual new coach surge) led to greater results.
If we can agree with most of that, than what we have is a team that’s had some good results, but if you looked closely, were a flawed and overachieving team all along. In other words, despite the success they did have, change was always necessary for this group to become good enough to win it all.
This year, for some reason, almost all of the regulars on the team essentially threw tantrums and gave up. This caused the flaws and issues the team has had for years to be magnified - and amplified - due to the lack of effort. While they may not be as bad as they have been, this also exposed a new issue as well - a complete lack of leadership and accountability.
While not as talented or well constructed as their results made them look, they probably are talented enough to be a playoff team (though the defense is absolute shambles). However, we now know that in addition to being more of a middle seed that is sliding towards being a bubble team as their star players get older, we also know that they 100% do not have the leadership or mental resiliency to get to the promised land. At the same time, the cold sticks are starting to warm up again. Two very good goalies are still backstopping them. The results aren’t looking AS dismal as a couple of weeks ago.
We will probably start winning a much greater percentage of our games. We couldn’t really win less - we were already at like 18% over a 22 game stretch. Even if we play .500 hockey the rest of the way, MY preference would still be that neither Drury, Dolan, the fans or the team media is fooled by it, and we continue forward with the changes that need to be made instead of getting a string of wins together and thinking they’ve suddenly shaken off the bad ju ju and should be pushing their chips in again. I don’t care if they go on a little hot streak; please do not buy into the false hope and fuel the “anything can happen” narrative about a team that went to the ECF last year making a strong second half come back. The Sabres and Sharks and Blackhawks and Canadiens all go on mini streaks each year. It doesn’t change what they are. We have seen this team’s flaws and they have not been magically fixed. They didn’t go away. A hot streak or a string of games stolen by Igor won’t make that any less true. The absolute worst thing this team could do is get a sniff of their own aroma, think they’ve suddenly and magically turned the corner, and pivot to thinking this is a contending year. They need to stay the course. Changes need to continue through the TDL, draft and summer. Period.