That's funny, it seemed to me your concern was about pts being wasted in winnable games if the level of play doesn't keep up. Pts are awarded based on the final score from all situations not just ES, so I figured that would matter most to you.
If 5v5 is actually your concern and not pts slipping away as your op mentioned, I could go dig out the research on why, particularly in smaller samples, xGF is more predictive of future results at 5v5 than goals are, but we both know that already, and we both know that's not what you're after.
