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OT: Football thread (2024 season)

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NFL Free-Agency Forecast: ‘It’s a Really Bad Group Overall’

A few AFC execs weigh in on the talent of this year’s group. Plus, Albert Breer forecasts this week’s frenzy, including who lands with which teams.
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There are a bunch of corners who’ll be in the $15 million range, and the New York Jets’ D.J. Reed is one to watch, who is rock solid, and can be a culture changer for some team—and even with seven years in the league, he’s still just 28. San Francisco’s Charvarius Ward, Minnesota’s Byron Murphy and Detroit’s Carlton Davis III should be in the ballpark of what Reed gets as well.
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While Aaron Rodgers is the biggest name, Sam Darnold will probably get the biggest deal on the quarterback market. The Vikings would like him back, but that ship looks like it’s now sailed. The Pittsburgh Steelers have interest. The New York Giants, too. But after the Geno Smith trade, the Seahawks loom as the favorite to land him. We’ll have more on him in Monday’s takeaways. But Seattle can offer what Minnesota would have a hard time giving him—the promise of being a multiyear starter on a Baker Mayfield–level deal (three years, $100 million)—which explains why the Vikings have faded in this picture.
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The Steelers have worked on getting a Fields contract done, and this is one that’ll likely come down to money and opportunity. The Jets are lurking. Meanwhile, if Darnold leaves Minnesota, as expected, Daniel Jones could return there as insurance for J.J. McCarthy, who is coming back from a torn meniscus. But Jones could also wind up going to the Indianapolis Colts to compete with Anthony Richardson for the starting quarterback job.

The Giants are in on Rodgers, and remain his most likely destination—they’d likely pair him with a rookie drafted somewhere in the top 100, if they do wind up landing him. Minnesota is lurking on Rodgers, in the event that Jones bolts.
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NFL is an interesting league. You can be willing to give a guy $30 mill a year in a new contract but he only costs a 3rd round pick in a trade. The cap makes so much about dollars. I preferred when sports were more about ability than cap gymnastics.
 
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