Not sure Lindstrom is a good benchmark for anyone. He's played just 32 games since last year.
He would probably benefit more from playing fewer games but having more time to work on his health and physique.
I'm still not sure how many otherwise healthy players will switch to NCAA. I'm sure there will be some, but I still think this is closer to being an exception.
I think most teams and agents realize that players are much more likely to jump straight from the NCAA to the NHL than they would from playing major junior, and that is why it's going to be a frequent path for a couple of different groups of players. And (most teams) are dying to have production on ELC's, as it's kind of like the NHL's version of QB's on rookie deals. I imagine Columbus is hoping for one big year at MSU, signed to a contract and three playoff runs and two full seasons on an ELC.
Alot of guys benefit from this.
The elite prospects (Celebrini/McKenna) - If they can get cleared by NCAA clearinghouse to play their draft eligible year, more NHL ready competing against older players. If you are Gavin McKenna and you had the opportunity to play ifor Michigan/North Dakota/Minnesota or return to Medicine Hat, it's tough to see the upside to returning to junior.
The good but not elite (Greentree types) - Age 19 season in college after dominating junior but not AHL eligible.
The good OA players - More UDFA get signed from college than as OA players on junior teams. You could see some of these guys leave too.
There is also the financial element for the players, there aren't going to be any players getting Bryce Underwood type money, but I'm guessing Lindstrom/McKenna/Martone/Misa/Parekh players would make significantly more on NIL deals than they would from their CHL stipends. And the year off the ELC sooner too, correct me if I'm wrong, but a guy like Lindstrom can sign after MSU's season and since he will be 20 in 2026 he can burn a year off his contract, it seems very win/win for the players and the NHL teams.
I think the CHL is very concerned with what could happen, and that is why they are considering a third import spot per team to make-up for some of incoming talent losses to the NCAA, and some rumors of another overage spot as well.
If these rules hold, I think this is just the beginning of a big switch in player development in North America, but we will have to agree to disagree.
I also think it's possible the NCAA could eventually make drastic changes to NIL/Portal because of what it's doing to football and basketball, the latest casualty of the NIL world appearing to be the NCAA basketball tourney, which was the least exciting maybe ever, because all the good mid-major players have transferred to big schools.