I noticed this too. The last five drafts compared to Sweden have been very bad.
2024 draft for Finland looks good, but I don’t think that’ll undo weak drafts in prior years. A lot of Finnish players too are busting that were highly picked.
I wonder if one of the problems is their adjustment to North America. Kakko notoriously has a reputation as a very shy person and he’s constantly very hard on himself. It seems like he has confidence issues. There have also been issues with English skills with Puljujarvi and some others. Are these players being prepared well enough for North America prior to coming to the NHL?
You are absolutely on to something here imho. I mean I don't get the impression Kakko and others are individuals that dare and want to take place in the locker room.
Laine, Aho and Lundell were a couple of prospects that gave me an other and more convincing impression regarding their mental toughness and attitude and I mean they've succeeded in some way at least.
Laine was and is perhaps the only who is more outspoken etc but I always felt that Aho and Lundell had those really focused eyes giving the impression that they were there to play. Teräväinen had this in his younger years as well.
Rantanen and Hintz gave some good impressions as well but I wasn't as sure.
Compare that to JP, Juolevi, Kupari and a lot of others. Juolevi always looked really afraid or had some serious sad eyes. Like he was insecure and unstable in some way and of course injuries were a big part of their regression or stagnation for some of them.
I really hope Kemell makes it and doesn't become another Pulkkinen because he still has some fire in his eyes and I'm convinced that he can pan out if the Preds can give him more opportunities than they gave Tolvanen.
Lambert would be needed with his speed for Team Finland in the future and I truly believe he has some serious talent no matter his IQ-issues etc. because his raw tools are that good and I hope and believe they will be more present in NA. The thing with him though is that he has that insecure look when it gets difficult. Just like plenty of other Finnish prospects.
Well let's look at 2019:
Kakko, should be better and I really hope he can become something. He was just so good and for me a bigger talent than Laf back in the day and still.
Thomson never convinced me as a prospect, I'm not sure he will ever become a top4 or a top6 even.
Heinola on the other hand? I really liked what I saw but the Jets and Finnish prospects... Let's just say they have been a horrible match.
Tuomisto, bust?
Puistola never convinced me really. But Aaltonen, Nikkanen, Saarela, Kallionkieli, Tieksola, Kokkonen... Dare I call them busts already?
Maccelli and Pärssinen are real highlights thank god. Puustinen should get a look soon I hope.
To be honest, there are so few highlights so it's easier to just name them instead.
2018: Kotkaniemi, well perhaps not a bust? But as a third? Far from success.
2019: Maccelli, Pärssinen and perhaps Puustinen and or Kakko in the future. Heinola? Who knows if he's stuck in the Jets.
2020: Lundell, I like him a lot still. Can Järventie become something? I hope so. I thought and believed a lot in Niemelä and Heinola so let's hope Niemelä pans out because god knows Finland really needs it.
I don't believe in Hirvonen nor Simontaival anymore. Jämsen, Pyyhtiä and Miettinen are my dark horses for a bottom 6 role in the future but that doesn't seem that likely yet.
2021: This one worries me the most. Rätys skating is horrible imo, lot weaker than Akus. He needs to work hard on that because he has some other tools and I hope he figures it out.
Tuomaala, Helenius look like busts already but I hope I'm wrong. Koivunen has regressed in my eyes but let's hope for the best. Kapanen, can he become a top9? Not so sure about that but I hope so. Just like Lambert we need those prospects who can skate to become something decent. Because we are pretty weak in that department overall.
Disappointed in Malinens development.
Huuhtanen, the last pick looks the most promising for me at this very moment. Vilén could perhaps become a NHL'er in the future but it's not a sure bet whatsoever.
2022: I hope Lambert pans out because he can be spectacular but he needs a staff that believes in him a lot because he has some issues with confidence when he struggles, besides his ability to read the game.
Kemell and Nyman do look promising still.
Matikka could become a dark horse as well. Hope Arizona succeeds once again like they did with Mac.
2023: I don't believe anyone is a clear cut. A tons of ifs with Hämeenaho and Halttunen.
Bau has the size. Nurmi has the speed and plays like a bottom 6-type. A bit like Hagelin once. Haven't seen Kumpulainen enough.
So yeah, all in all. We have Lundell, Pärssinen, Kakko, Maccelli, Kotkaniemi? Five sure NHL players... That's actually not bad, it's horrible.