I think I have said pretty much the same thing you did with the exception that I said that *at this point in his career* you are better off comparing his point production to Josef Stumpel than to Mario Lemiux. He has the skills and if he can have another solid year this year (which don't look good so far mate) then he will have done allot to establish that he can be more than a solid young player.
I have said all through my posts that Vinnie has special skills, he just doesn't use them with any consistancy so I don't see him a star. Remember though, it appears that I have a higher expectation of what makes a player special. To me, being able to consistantly produce in your area of expertise is what makes you a star. Not that you were over hyped as a youth and then have had one solid season at it. Vinnie is a good young player who is a solid top six talent with special skills and *if* he can have more years like last year then who knows where he will end up? I sure don't. The problem is that neither does anyone else.
I wouldn't compare Vinnie with any of the players you have for the simple reason that they have produced the same level of intensity in thier games and around the same production for a number of years. Vinnie has been in the league for a bit now and has been nothing special with the exception of last year. If he can have a couple more years like that one then he has star written all over him. He isn't one now. Stumpel is an unfair comparison also as even though Josef is soft as whipped milk, he has been a consistant point producer who has scored more than Vinnie at his best so Vinnie will have to work to reach his level.
We can hope and believe our players to be anything we want but at the end of the day there are stats that we use to judge thier performance by(point production and team success for top sixers, wins gaa etc for goalies, etc). That isn't to say that you can only judge a player based on stats. I watched allot of ducks games (go ahead, de louse me now. I was living in the states with a mate who's brother is an executive at the pond so there were naught to pay) a season ago prior to thier run and felt the JS were one of the best goalies I had seen even though his team were filth.
That said, its easier to judge top sixers because they have a clear cut job in scoring that will show itself. You may be able to argue that they are great in thier own end and such as in the case of Alexander Frolov but if he weren't putting up the points his astonishing plus minus (an average of +14 during his season and a third NHL career) would simply be an arguement to use to say that he belongs in the league and not one to use to support his scoring or him being a budding star (he still has a way to go to be close to a star, he is doing the same thing vinnie has done so far and that is showing that he *can* be one, not that he is).
My cloudy point is this, Vinnie has to produce more than once to make allot of us feel that he will be anything more than allot of other top six forwards out there. I can name dozens of blokes who have had a couple of good years that didn't amount to all that much.
Jimmy Carson had a couple of great ones to start his career (made the records) and then whispers of what could have been. Bobby "the can't miss kid" Carpenter had a couple of dandy (he too is in the books) years as well and then were only able to be a solid defencive forward for the rest. Would you rate either of them as stars?
The list would go on forever mate. Vinnie, like that lot above, has the skills to be special, he just has to do it more than once to be anything more than the rest. To me anyways but again, read my accounting of my hockey knowledge above before you jump me mate.