GWT: EPL - Matchweek 37

[bluesfan94]

The penultimate matchweek! It will be split up due to Europa League and the FA Cup. Otherwise, all that's left to play for is Europe. The finalists both have Friday matches against teams that are fighting for Champions League. If both United (at Chelsea) and Spurs (at Villa) lose and Wolves (at Palace) and West Ham (hosting Forest) win, United and Spurs would be guaranteed 16th and 17th. Yikes! The other major game for Europe is Arsenal hosting Newcastle. An Arsenal win would all but seal up second place and even a point essentially confirms Champions League, while a Newcastle win would also all but confirm UCL football while a loss could put them on the edge of missing out.

The permutations are still too numerous for me to try to list them out here, but European fates hang in the balance.

Home	Away	Time and Date (CT)	Venue
Aston Villa	Tottenham Hotspur	Fri., May 16, 1:30 PM	Villa Park
Chelsea	Manchester United	Fri., May 16, 2:15 PM	Stamford Bridge
Everton	Southampton	Sun., May 18, 6:00 AM	Goodison Park
West Ham United	Nottingham Forest	Sun., May 18, 8:15 AM	London Stadium
Brentford	Fulham	Sun., May 18, 9:00 AM	Gtech Community Stadium
Leicester City	Ipswich Town	Sun., May 18, 9:00 AM	King Power Stadium
Arsenal	Newcastle United	Sun., May 18, 10:30 AM	The Emirates
Brighton & Hove Albion	Liverpool	Mon., May 19, 2:00 PM	The AmEx
Crystal Palace	Wolverhampton Wanderers	Tue., May 20, 2:00 PM	Selhurst Park
Manchester City	Bournemouth	Tue., May 20, 2:00 PM	The Etihad

 

[robertmac43]

Win and it basically secures second place.

 

[hatterson]

I think this is all accurate, I'm assuming GDs of 8+ won't be overturned. I've noted those with *s so you can see when it might come into play but almost assuredly won't matter due to the crazy swing needed.

Top 5 clinching scenarios:

Arsenal:

- Win​

- Draw*​

- Chelsea doesn't win*​

- Villa doesn't win*​

- City loss*​

​

Newcastle:

- Win*​

- Draw and (Villa Loss/draw or (Chelsea loss and Forest Draw/Loss))​

- Villa Loss*​

​

City:

- Win and either Chelsea or Villa don't win.​

- Draw and (Villa Loss* or (Chelsea loss and Forest Draw/Loss))​

​

Chelsea:

- Win and Forest Draw/Loss and Villa Loss*​

Top 5 elimination scenarios:

Forest:

- Loss and either of Chelsea win or Villa win*​

- Draw and Chelsea win* and City draw/win*​

​

Villa:

- Loss and Chelsea win* and City draw/win*​

If you are interested in maximum chaos for CL places in MW 38 you should be rooting for:

- Newcastle Win​

- City Draw​

- Chelsea Win​

- Villa Win​

- Forest Win​

That would leave things with Newcastle at 69, Arsenal at 68, City, Chelsea, and Villa at 66 and Forest at 65


If you want minimal drama on MW38 root for:

- City Win​

- Chelsea Win​

- Villa Loss​

- Forest to drop points​

​

That would mean the CL places would be confirmed prior to MW38 with Arsenal and City above 66. Newcastle at least at 66 with good GD and Chelsea would be at 66 4 up on Forest (so ahead no matter what) and 3 up on Villa with at least a +14 GD so they'd hold even with a loss and Villa win in the finale.

 

[bluesfan94]

I think this is all accurate, I'm assuming GDs of 8+ won't be overturned. I've noted those with *s so you can see when it might come into play but almost assuredly won't matter due to the crazy swing needed.

Top 5 clinching scenarios:

Arsenal:

- Win​

- Draw*​

- Chelsea doesn't win*​

- Villa doesn't win*​

- City loss*​

​

Newcastle:

- Win*​

- Draw and (Villa Loss/draw or (Chelsea loss and Forest Draw/Loss))​

- Villa Loss*​

​

City:

- Win and either Chelsea or Villa don't win.​

- Draw and (Villa Loss* or (Chelsea loss and Forest Draw/Loss))​

​

Chelsea:

- Win and Forest Draw/Loss and Villa Loss*​

Top 5 elimination scenarios:

Forest:

- Loss and either of Chelsea win or Villa win*​

- Draw and Chelsea win* and City draw/win*​

​

Villa:

- Loss and Chelsea win* and City draw/win*​

If you are interested in maximum chaos for CL places in MW 38 you should be rooting for:

- Newcastle Win​

- City Draw​

- Chelsea Win​

- Villa Win​

- Forest Win​

That would leave things with Newcastle at 69, Arsenal at 68, City, Chelsea, and Villa at 66 and Forest at 65


If you want minimal drama on MW38 root for:

- City Win​

- Chelsea Win​

- Villa Loss​

- Forest to drop points​

​

That would mean the CL places would be confirmed prior to MW38 with Arsenal and City above 66. Newcastle at least at 66 with good GD and Chelsea would be at 66 4 up on Forest (so ahead no matter what) and 3 up on Villa with at least a +14 GD so they'd hold even with a loss and Villa win in the finale.

 

[robertmac43]

Give me all the carnage in MW 38 and also 2 wins for Brighton

 

[Live in the Now]

Give me all the carnage in MW 38 and also 2 wins for Brighton

Brightons getting one this week. There is nobody back in England for training. Not even Slot. Slot went to Ibiza lol

 

[Savant]

Brightons getting one this week. There is nobody back in England for training. Not even Slot. Slot went to Ibiza lol

 

[robertmac43]

Brightons getting one this week. There is nobody back in England for training. Not even Slot. Slot went to Ibiza lol

Love this for us. Send the U-23s and give us some goals please.

 

[Savant]

Love this for us. Send the U-23s and give us some goals please.

The U-23s might be out on an island somewhere too. They’ve hardly been in Liverpool since they’ve clinched. Feels like they only come back home to play the games