Epic Calder Race 2024-25

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Maybe Celebrini is great defensively, and +/- is a bad stat, but -23 when Eklund is -5 and Zetterlund is +10...
People who actually watch hockey know that Zetterlund isn’t generally out there 6v5 at the end of games or deployed against top comp like Celebrini. But you keeping reading stat sheets and contriving narratives from them. Your ability to decipher a stat line is impressive.
 
Maybe because Celebrini is only 18 years old and played less game?

Which still makes no sense because 1- dmen breakout older than forwards 2- the ppg difference between the top forwards vs defenders in the league is much greater than Celebrini's ppg difference with Hutson. You can see this also expressed in where Hutson lies among all-time rookie Dman. He's already 30th rookie D all-time for points with 22 games to go, whereas Celebrini extrapolated to 60 games (54 points) would be the 165th best rookie forward season if the season ended right now. Hutson would need a hypothetical 30 points to tie the rookie dman record. Extrapolated to 60 games (54 points), Celebrini would need 78 more points to tie the rookie forward record.
 
Jesus christ this crop of rookies this season is just insane. I get everyone wanting there guy to win so lets just call it even and give the win to Wolf so no forward or defencemen wins it lol.
okily-dokily.gif
 
People who actually watch hockey know that Zetterlund isn’t generally out there 6v5 at the end of games or deployed against top comp like Celebrini. But you keeping reading stat sheets and contriving narratives from them. Your ability to decipher a stat line is impressive.

Eklund plays in all situations, though. And do you mean that Sharks have let in 33 goals in 6-vs-5 this season?
 
Who cares, who wins.
The calder trophy is such an random trophy. Some winners did not have a great career.
When Ovechkin won over Crosby, it was clear that both will be the face of the league.

This year: Celebrini is fantastic, Michkov is fantastic, Hutson is great, Wolf ist great.
Who cares, who is the winner? They all will have great careers imo.
 
Who cares, who wins.
The calder trophy is such an random trophy. Some winners did not have a great career.
When Ovechkin won over Crosby, it was clear that both will be the face of the league.

This year: Celebrini is fantastic, Michkov is fantastic, Hutson is great, Wolf ist great.
Who cares, who is the winner? They all will have great careers imo.
That's pretty much my take! 😁
 
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Well the debate cant be the +/- anymore...
A D leading the rookies... BuT hE's 21! uggg

fun fact: last time the Habs won the calder was in '72.
Almost won twice in 85-86... dam Lemieux and Suter! LOL
 
Montreal fans should understand a lot of Sharks fans watched a shit load of Lane last year while both of them were on Boston in the NCAA, and are use to cheering on the kid and want him to do well. But also when they were both on the same team it was quite clear who the better/more important player was.
 
Montreal fans should understand a lot of Sharks fans watched a shit load of Lane last year while both of them were on Boston in the NCAA, and are use to cheering on the kid and want him to do well. But also when they were both on the same team it was quite clear who the better/more important player was.
How is that relevant in this conversation? The Calder isn’t about which rookie will have the best career it’s about the best rookie season.
Panarin and mcdavid should’ve cemented that fact for everyone.

Celebrini will likely have a better Career then lane, but as a rookie defenseman he’s putting up better totals then some of the all time greats and is chasing down the all time record now. There is a very real chance that when the season is over he’s in the top 5 rookie point totals of a defenseman all time. He’s currently at 47 points ray bourque is currently 5th with 65 and housley is at 66. Even the top 10 would be insane and he’s only 9 pts back of that With 20 games to go. What on celebrinis resume this season would potentially usurp that?
 
Which still makes no sense because 1- dmen breakout older than forwards 2- the ppg difference between the top forwards vs defenders in the league is much greater than Celebrini's ppg difference with Hutson. You can see this also expressed in where Hutson lies among all-time rookie Dman. He's already 30th rookie D all-time for points with 22 games to go, whereas Celebrini extrapolated to 60 games (54 points) would be the 165th best rookie forward season if the season ended right now. Hutson would need a hypothetical 30 points to tie the rookie dman record. Extrapolated to 60 games (54 points), Celebrini would need 78 more points to tie the rookie forward record.
This is exactly why i think Lane wins it. What he is doing is extraordinary by virtue of being a dman.

But either way, no one should be upset if Lane or Maclin wins it.
 
Montreal fans should understand a lot of Sharks fans watched a shit load of Lane last year while both of them were on Boston in the NCAA, and are use to cheering on the kid and want him to do well. But also when they were both on the same team it was quite clear who the better/more important player was.

You have a bias torward forwards, quite simply, let alone the fact he's your player, magnifying and exagerating the difference (quite clear). Both were highly important to BU. You do realize that Habs fans also followed BU in droves, but also did that the year before Macklin joined? The team record was already quite good the year before Macklin joined, with Lane as the MVP, so you're 'clearly' exagerating the difference in impact.
 
This is exactly why i think Lane wins it. What he is doing is extraordinary by virtue of being a dman.

But either way, no one should be upset if Lane or Maclin wins it.
I think if Hutson wins the rookie scoring race (a tall order) he wins the Calder. Yes, Celebrini missed some time but it’s a blueliner winning the scoring race. He’s currently tied for 8th in defenseman scoring overall.

Crazy to see Michkov putting himself back into this race. I think the break has obviously helped him greatly.

An interesting scenario would be if Hutson wins the rookie scoring race and Wolf leads Calgary to the playoffs… honestly, in that case it might well be Wolf winning the award.
 
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PPG and primary points matter...

Also, it is not like Hutson is deployed in a defensive role, Celebrini doesn't get sheltered the same way.

Hutson has bad defensive numbers too.

Position matters too. The difference in ppg is minimal between them versus the usual difference between forwards and dmen. That's why Hutson is top 10 in points among Ds, while Celebrini far down the top 100 forwards list.
 
Position matters too. The difference in ppg is minimal between them versus the usual difference between forwards and dmen. That's why Hutson is top 10 in points among Ds, while Celebrini far down the top 100 forwards list.

Position does matter, and the player playing D is bad at D...

Celebrini is tied for 48th in PPG for all forwards
 
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Position does matter, and the player playing D is bad at D...

Yeah, no. Hutson has a lower GA/60 than his team and goalies, despite getting the 2nd most EStoi on the team and consistently playing top 6 opposition.. He's playing on a bad team, but his defense is far from bad, if you actually watch him. He never had a good partner except for the handful of minutes he played with Guhle. He's been saddled to brain fart Matheson for a good deal of the season and despite that, has one of the best 5v5 +/- on the team's D (-2), better than Celebrini who's less encumbered by defensive responsibilities (-8).

Celebrini is tied for 48th in PPG for all forwards
Which is far removed from Hutson's own position vetsus top dmen.
 
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Yeah, no. Hutson has a lower GA/60 than his team and goalies, despite getting the 2nd most EStoi on the team and consistently playing top 6 opposition.. He's playing on a bad team, but his defense is far from bad, if you actually watch him. He never had a good partner except for the handful of minutes he played with Guhle. He's been saddled to brain fart Matheson for a good deal of the season and despite that, has one of the best 5v5 +/- on the team's D (-2), better than Celebrini who's less encumbered by defensive responsibilities (-8).

You are twisting half-meaningful stats to make an argument that a few games of eye testing disprove.

I am a Habs fan and I think Hutson is one of the most exciting players this team has had in the 21st century. But he is not far from bad defensively. He routinely makes goalcosting mistakes by virtue of being a smaller rookie defensemen in the world's toughest league.

We should not kid ourselves that Hutson is either a shutdown D or a finished product. Even Celebrini, who's touted as a two-way ace, is making those kind of rookie mistakes. In fact, one could argue two of his mistakes cost goals against the habs om Thursday. It's normal, growing pains are expected. Good players figure it out eventually and no matter who ends up with the Calder, the fact that they are in this special crop prooves that they are good ones.
 

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