Yup. That's why it's a possibility that the Leafs will probably still try to sign Marner and let Tavares walk. Or sign Tavares for cheap, bridge Knies, and try to fill the rest of the roster with Cowan, Hirvonen, cheap rentals, etc.
If I'm Marner, I run for greener pastures. You're a family man, now - you don't need this noise for your family's sake lol.
But...it takes two to tango, so I'll indulge.
$12M AAV X 8 with 15 team NMC kicking in only in Year 3. Who says no lol. If you really love the hometown, then sign for $12M - otherwise, get $13.5M+ on the open market. And NMC only after 3 seasons of earning your stripes.