Player Discussion: Ehlers

[PhilJets]

Hope he signs before 1st game of the pre season next year

 

[Adam da bomb]

The lack of opportunity was a coaching error. Peeps on this board had to yell and scream to get him on the first power play......Hmmm.

Which I have pointed out in the past, but, opportunity doesn’t necessarily mean results. He would have had more points and better results. No one is arguing with that. I’m arguing with the assumption he’s have better results than Connor or that he’d get paid more than Connor. Opportunities don’t always equal results. Same with injuries you could argue if he stayed healthier he’d have 20 more points, which is a stretch. But, it wouldn’t be a stretch to say he’d have more points. That’s why I’m opposed to ppg it’s not what you could have done, it’s what you do.

 

[Huffer]

With the cap taking some big jumps, it will be interesting to see who around the league signs first and sort of sets the market.
With the cap also projected to rise pretty significantly over a few years, I wonder how Agents and GMs will use that for valuations. IOW, if they are projecting 95.5 next year, 104 in 2026/2027, and 113.5 in 2027/2028, will an agent try and use a higher rate in the future against the cap hit %? Will they look to use a blend?

IOW, Chevy could say, in his last contract Ehlers was 6.8% of the cap. We're prepared to go to 8% (just using this as an example) based on 95.5 which would be 7.64.

And the agent is likely to say, no bloody way we're using a 95.5 cap valuation. We'll agree to the 8%, but on a 105M cap which would be 8.4.

For reference Scheifele just recently signed at a cap % of 9.7, so there's no way Ehlers is going to get that %. IMO, I think 8 to 8.5% is the max. It just depends on what cap $ they use. 8.5*95.5 = 8.12. 8.5*113.5 = 9.65.

I know people like to look at the actual salary number and say a player like Ehlers shouldn't make more $ than Scheifele. And I agree that he's not as valuable and wouldn't get the same if they signed at the same time. But when time moves on, and the cap jumps this much, I don't think there is a lot you can do as I think agents will look to the cap % more than the absolute $ number.

 

[DRW204]

Just a note that Ehlers hasn't averaged 16 minutes or more this season or the last 2.

here's the lowest TOI/GP of 1PPG players in a season (min 40. gp, since 2005)

 

[Larabee]

Hope he signs before 1st game of the pre season next year

That’s too late for a UFA. He can’t be on the market all summer. He’ll be gone by July 1st. We’ll need to sign him before free agency starts.

 

[Puckatron 3000]

It may work in Chevy's favor that the Jets are so good this year. Players are of course attracted and more likely to sign with successful teams. Although if we win the SC, everyone on the team's price goes up, so that could be a downside. But if that happens, I'll be too busy partying to care.

 

[PhilJets]

That’s too late for a UFA. He can’t be on the market all summer. He’ll be gone by July 1st. We’ll need to sign him before free agency starts.

Yeah but Chevy likes dramatic entrance with his players

signing last minute