People say this stuff every year.
Last year during the Leafs-Florida series, everyone said Carolina would smoke the winner of that series. Carolina got swept.
When the Leafs - Montreal went to Game 7, everyone said how great the Jets were for sweeping the weak Oilers team and how they would dominate the winner of Toronto-Montreal. Montreal went on to sweep the Jets. Then everyone said but Vegas who beat Colorado would smoke Montreal. Montreal won that series in 6.
When the Leafs - Tampa went to 7, everyone said how the President's Trophy winning Panthers would beat both of those teams. The Lightning swept Florida, then NYR in 6, and went to the Finals.
One series isn't indicative of another. Clearly the team that won the Atlantic would be the favourite against the two teams that didn't though.
Lots of people didn’t pay attention to the Panthers down the stretch last year and didn’t realize they were hot before the playoffs.
The Hurricanes weakness was entirely lack of killer offense, and they went up against a team with improved defense and great goaltending. That was the worst possible matchup for the Canes who had for years a tendency to lob low percentage shots
Leafs had better regular season offense than the Bruins or Panthers, but haven’t demonstrated that killer instinct as well in the playoffs as the regular season, and that applies still so far even as they have the puck much of the time here.
Panthers just scored 17 goals in 5 games while the leafs are at 11 in 6
The Panthers have two guys (the only two I checked and compared to the regular season yet) who drastically upped their offense from the regular season, and its spread over every game of the series.
Verhaeghe at 9 and Tkachuk at 9 in 5 games. The rest of their rosters lookin good too, and Bennett is coming back who has a recent history of improving in the playoffs.
Matthews Nylander got all the points in one of the games he played
Small samples and illness and such, but that’s still at least a question mark. Marner hasn’t been too hot yet, Nylander is probably good to go now I’d guess honestly.
Obviously there’s stuff like “the panthers are fresh” or alternatively “the long break screwed the panthers mentally”, teams/goalies mental game. Of course it’s not impossible for the leafs to beat the panthers..
But then I only said “I wouldn’t have a ton of confidence.” I definitely still feel that (and would feel the same for B’s v Panthers)