Value of: Dylan Larkin

norrisnick

The best...
Apr 14, 2005
31,214
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Im not saying its likely that he leaves. I do think its better than 50/50 he stays, but you have to wonder why something isnt done yet. Usually players that are deadset on staying sign the offseason before the contract ends. Any big name hitting UFA is headline news.
Could just as easily be that both sides don't really see much pressure here. He doesn't want to leave, team doesn't want him to go. They have all year to get it done.
 

Viqsi

"that chick from Ohio"
Oct 5, 2007
55,693
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40N 83W (approx)
Im not saying its likely that he leaves. I do think its better than 50/50 he stays, but you have to wonder why something isnt done yet. Usually players that are deadset on staying sign the offseason before the contract ends. Any big name hitting UFA is headline news.
I offer the following possible factors as to Why Not Yet:
1) There's a lot of up-and-coming youngsters in Detroit that will also need new contracts during Larkin's career and that makes negotiations nontrivial,
2) We're potentially making our way out of a flat cap era (finally!) and that adds another wrinkle.

And the following for Why It Will Eventually Get Done:
1) In the other cases you have cited there were evident potential conflicting loyalties that were merely downplayed. Larkin doesn't have any at all, let alone ones that might be getting dismissed. So the pressure may not actually be there.
2) Historically there are more examples of those guys ultimately getting signed than ultimately leaving.
3) Steve Yzerman. That's it. That's the factor.

I have zero doubt he's staying there. Only scenario in which I do see him leaving is basically the Rick Nash approach - "I've been here for so long and I'd like to chase a cup" - and that only seems likely if, say, Richardson and Seider both completely fall apart and the Wings have to rebuild again. Which I would find extremely unlikely, and which isn't likely to happen before Larkin's signature is on the dotted line in any case.
 

Tyrus

5 ft 7 in.
May 20, 2013
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746
Completely relevant. Is he that good that he can lead a team to be a winner, or is he just putting up aloyt of points becasue he's getting a lot of ice time on a loser.......

Ah yes, like all of those other players who somehow put up 40G PPG seasons on bottom feeders and somehow got worse when they were traded to teams with other star players and good systems.

This isn't basketball where players are basically guaranteed to get points by simply spending a lot of time on the floor. There has been a whole lot of garbage teams with top scorers putting up 50-60 points at best.

Pretending that Larkin isn't a fairly dominant offensive player is just showcasing either your lack of knowledge or your lack of honesty.
 

DarrylshutzSydor

Registered User
Aug 9, 2007
3,143
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California
Ah yes, like all of those players who put up 40G PPG seasons on bottom feeders and somehow got worse when they were traded to teams with other star players and good systems.

This isn't basketball where players are basically guaranteed to get points by simply spending a lot of time on the floor . There has been a whole lot of garbage teams with top scorers putting up 50-60 points at best.
Yes. Like the Stromes.
 

Tyrus

5 ft 7 in.
May 20, 2013
1,747
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Yes. Like the Stromes.

Ryan Strome has been a consistent offensive player his whole career and Dylan Strome had a single outlier season during which he was still far behind his team's top scorer before falling back to Earth way before getting traded.

So I guess it's dishonesty then.
 

ThankGord

Registered User
Jul 11, 2018
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Completely relevant. Is he that good that he can lead a team to be a winner, or is he just putting up aloyt of points becasue he's getting a lot of ice time on a loser.......

Just last season Lehkonen, Copp, and Rakell all saw their numbers increase after being traded from bad teams to playoff teams at the deadline.

It isn't easier to put up points on a bad team, it's easier to put up points when you play with talented players.
 

BleedBlue14

UrGeNcY
Feb 9, 2017
6,400
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St. Louis
There’s 0 reason for Detroit to consider moving Larkin. They’re trying to take this young core and break out of a rebuild. Trading your best forward who still has many good years ahead of them for anything remotely reasonable just sets them back further.

I’d guess Larkin and Detroit agree on an 8 year deal. If they can’t figure out how to start making playoffs in 3-4 years. It may be a discussion that is worth having.
 

DarrylshutzSydor

Registered User
Aug 9, 2007
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California
Just last season Lehkonen, Copp, and Rakell all saw their numbers increase after being traded from bad teams to playoff teams at the deadline.

It isn't easier to put up points on a bad team, it's easier to put up points when you play with talented players.
True, but many players wouldn't even be playing in this talent watered down league.......
 

norrisnick

The best...
Apr 14, 2005
31,214
16,544
True, but many players wouldn't even be playing in this talent watered down league.......
Oh... I see. So Larkin is only in the NHL and producing because he's on a garbage team and wouldn't actually make a good team? Am I interpreting that correctly?
 

Jerkbait

Registered User
Dec 12, 2019
4,101
814
i guess you didn't read the full post you replied to.

what player who was recently traded would be the best comparable.
There really isn't a comparable one . Alot of top end centers are very unique. There isn't a comparable for crosby or Mackinnon or Matthews Obviously. Larkin is a skilled center, 2 way capable captain and traditionally on a weak team.
Eichel isn't the same.
Having said that his value now is significantly higher than when kadri was traded by Toronto.
 

WingsToPick4th

Registered User
Jan 5, 2020
992
1,164
Personally I think he is worth 9 million AAV x 8 years. He is a stud on offense and should get more Selke votes.

General consensus is 1st rounder, Stud C prospect + extra which the wings value Larkin more than these pieces.
 

Der Jaeger

Generational EBUG
Feb 14, 2009
18,135
14,986
Cair Paravel
Top prospect
Medium prospect
1st
2nd

or

Good roster player
Good/top prospect
1st

Duchene cost Columbus a couple good not great prospects a 1st and a conditional 1st based on Duchene resigning. Obviously Larkin is better so he probably gets better prospects or roster players but its probably a potential structure of a deal
I'll play, just to answer the OP's questions. 1 x 1st, 1 x conditional 1st, 2 prospects.

2023 1st
2024 conditional 1st (based on re-signing)
Isak Rosen F
Linus Weissbach F
 

Number1RedWingsFan52

Registered User
Mar 17, 2013
40,243
6,038
Winter Haven Florida
Just because hes from the area doesnt mean he wants to stay there. Maybe use your head and think of the success (lack there of) over the past few years, quite similar to the isles when Tavares left. Similar to Tavares saying he wanted to stay with the organization, yet didnt sign an extension before the season started.



Not saying he wont sign, but it would usually make more sense for the player to resign before the season starts. One bad injury and the player loses a ton of money. You'd also think Yzerman would want him signed asap.
Did you see Yzermans presser? While both he and Larkin acknowledged they would like to get a deal done sooner rather than later, it's not out of the realm that it goes late spring into the summer. Both were optimistic that a deal will get done.
 

dirtydanglez

Registered User
Oct 30, 2022
5,376
5,421
I'll play, just to answer the OP's questions. 1 x 1st, 1 x conditional 1st, 2 prospects.

2023 1st
2024 conditional 1st (based on re-signing)
Isak Rosen F
Linus Weissbach F
i dont think you can do conditional picks based on signing anymore.
 

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