NHL Draft lottery race II - Bruins locked into 5th before ping pong balls.

[DKH]

Excellent post, and normally, I would agree, but Desnoyers has so many layers to his game and is so solid mentally, that I still want him as a cornerstone player.

Great post

 

[DKH]

I think people who have already hard coded a list based on other people’s lists from a month or three ago are being premature.

Just because someone like O’Brien was later in January than now doesn’t mean someone taking him in the top five in June is a “reach”.

He is younger player as well ~ I’ve been getting up to speed on him and can’t find anyone who doesn’t like him

 

[HustleB]

So the 7 spot is less likely then 6 or 5. Eventhough, I am fine with 7 it's nice to know that we have better then 2/3 odds to pick 5 or 6 and higher odds to pick top 2 then to pick 7th.

I think we are good. The tank was a great success, and eventhough Philadelphia almost made it better, I think we can take solace in those points coming from games, where Lysell and Minten were contributors while Pasta continued to show incredible growth in a wretched environment. I am ready for the ping pong balls and all that follows. I don't think we have a a 5 year rebuild on our hands.

 

[DKH]

So, where are they now?

In a good place
We have one of the best lines in hockey & one of best top pair D

Team is one of youngest in league, multiple top 2 round picks next 3 seasons, and money

 

[DKH]

So the 7 spot is less likely then 6 or 5. Eventhough, I am fine with 7 it's nice to know that we have better then 2/3 odds to pick 5 or 6 and higher odds to pick top 2 then to pick 7th.

I think we are good. The tank was a great success, and eventhough Philadelphia almost made it better, I think we can take solace in those points coming from games, where Lysell and Minten were contributors while Pasta continued to show incredible growth in a wretched environment. I am ready for the ping pong balls and all that follows. I don't think we have a a 5 year rebuild on our hands.

2/3 is 67% we are 86% to pick 1-6

Also 5 could end up better then 4 if balls go our way

If 4 ends up one or two the chaos will be entertaining

 

[PatriceBergeronFan]

The 11 teams that have a chance at #1

View attachment 1016898

Imagine if NYR were gifted the lottery again... weren't they around #11 last time?

 

[PatriceBergeronFan]

If you believe that 17% is “nearly impossible” then spot on.

Not a large gap in "nearly impossible" and "rather unlikely" to be fair. Odds are heavily against Boston considering other teams have better odds.

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

Not a large gap in "nearly impossible" and "rather unlikely" to be fair. Odds are heavily against Boston considering other teams have better odds.

17% is not really “nearly impossible” though - those odds include other teams. The odds are 17% objectively.

 

[bme44]

I think people who have already hard coded a list based on other people’s lists from a month or three ago are being premature.

Just because someone like O’Brien was later in January than now doesn’t mean someone taking him in the top five in June is a “reach”.

I do not agree with many of your posts but this one I agree with 100%. I have posted here several times that some of these prospects have more hockey to play before draft day. Until they are finished playing for the season any projections are premature.

I am a Desnoyers fan ,but would like to see Moncton make it to the Memorial cup and see how he plays in it

 

[Fenian24]

Why?
I mean I'd prefer one of the centers but Martone looks like a solid winger.

Guy that projects as a Tkacuk or Wilson? Take that all day.

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

Guy that projects as a Tkacuk or Wilson? Take that all day.

Except he doesn’t project as a Tkachuk (Brady) or a Wilson.

 

[bme44]

On April 24th 2013 NHL central scouting had Seth Jones ranked #1

I am not sure how many here remember the memorial cup from 2013, but when it was over. The clear #1 was Nathan MacKinnon

My only point is things will change between now and Draft Day

 

[Jorah Marshmont]

Ping pong time

 

[LJReborn]

Did three lotteries this am. Bruins got 2,6 and 1

 

[chizzler]

They’ll get a good player regardless of where they pick. 5-6 hopefully and they can’t f*** it up.

 

[HustleB]

I think people who have already hard coded a list based on other people’s lists from a month or three ago are being premature.

Just because someone like O’Brien was later in January than now doesn’t mean someone taking him in the top five in June is a “reach”.

Do you feel that the tiers have changed? Do you think we have something other then a pure top 6. I would love to know what you have for a top 8-10 if you'd like to share?

 

[Fenian24]

They’ll get a good player regardless of where they pick. 5-6 hopefully and they can’t f*** it up.

LOL, wanna bet. Do not underestimate Sweengenius

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

Do you feel that the tiers have changed? Do you think we have something other then a pure top 6. I would love to know what you have for a top 8-10 if you'd like to share?

I don’t have one yet. Its too early for me.

I think the top two are pretty clear. After that, for me it will be Hagens, and then I don’t know.

 

[chizzler]

Even if they get the right kid, then they f***en try to turn him into a two way forward down in providence.

 

[goldenblack]

You know your 90% is just pink dream of princess
The reality is 58% chance of 6-7th
25% stay 5th
And 17% 1-2

Ok, but you can also say we have an 85.6% chance at 6 or better...

 

[goldenblack]

Btw what's the 0.3% shot at third? Makes no sense to me.

 

[dafoomie]

Btw what's the 0.3% shot at third? Makes no sense to me.

Teams can only move up 10 spots, so if the team at 12 wins the lottery for #1, they move up to #2 and bump the 2nd lottery pick down to #3.

 

[RiverbottomChuck]

Please no Eklund. You don't need a top 5 pick to get a small energetic offensive minded winger.

 

[HustleB]

deleted as Dafoomie beat me to it..

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]