Does Ovechkin win the Rocket next year?

10th straight?


  • Total voters
    141

stevo61

Registered User
Jul 5, 2011
11,769
13,310
Canada
LMAO Young Ovechkin takes a big fat dump on Matthews. everyone has a right to their opinions, but jeez this such a dumb take.

As for the higher scoring league

05/06 -> 3.08 gpg
06/07 -> 2.95 gpg
07/08 -> 2.78 gpg
08/09 -> 2.91 gpg
average gpg of the past 4 seasons: 2.93

16/17 -> 2.77 gpg
17/18 -> 2.97 gpg
18/19 -> 3.01 gpg
19/20 -> 3.02 gpg
average gpg of the past 4 seasons: 2.94

Ovie as the highest scoring season, but Matthews has the next 3. overall, matthews played in a higher scoring era, slightly higher when comparing their first four seasons
Plus does it even matter if you play in the highest scoring year when Ovi himself scored more goals and had more points then the 2nd and 3rd top point getters on the team combined?
Ovechkin and Crosby rookie years were so special in my eyes for the fact they did it without help and was easily the most exciting year for rookies ive ever seen
 

Varan

Registered User
Nov 27, 2016
6,467
4,771
Toronto, Ontario
It's kind of weird how the first 8 seasons of his career, including when Ovechkin was at his absolute best/peak, he only won 3 Rockets in 8 years. But since he's lost some of that dynamic ability and is more of just a shooter now, he's won 7 Rockets in 8 years.
2005/06 - rookie (plus Cheechoo had a fluke season)
06/07 - sophomore slump
07/08 - became MVP and destroyed the NHL
08/09 - won
09/10 - lost solely due to games played
10/11 - worst season to date + shot 8%
11/12 - dale hunter taking away minutes from OV and forcing him to play a more defensive role

His losses (before and after him peaking) were due to being a rookie + down seasons, and coaching
 

Alexander the Gr8

Registered User
May 2, 2013
31,996
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Toronto
Matthews is better than Ovechkin at the same age too.



A young Ovechkin was in a higher scoring league too.


That’s such a cherry picked stat lol.

How about at 220 games played? Why not 260? Why ES only?

At the same number of games played as Matthews right now, Ovechkin had way more goals. You know, pucks entering the net. All of that on a shit Washington team that couldn’t sniff the playoffs at all, with 3rd liners playing alongside him.
 

Sasha Orlov

Lord of the Manor
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Jun 22, 2018
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That’s such a cherry picked stat lol.

How about at 220 games played? Why not 260? Why ES only?

At the same number of games played as Matthews right now, Ovechkin had way more goals. You know, pucks entering the net. All of that on a shit Washington team that couldn’t sniff the playoffs at all, with 3rd liners playing alongside him.
This poster is straight up claiming that Auston Matthews is the greatest goal scorer of all time, why even bother LMAO
 

Varan

Registered User
Nov 27, 2016
6,467
4,771
Toronto, Ontario
Imagine having Matthews at his peak right now and he still can’t beat a 34 year old Ovi with 15 seasons of mileage on his legs and over 1400 games as a professional hockey player in his career.

They also finished the season tied for 1st in ES goals at 35 each, but keep pushing that narrative lol.

Just makes you realize how a 23 year old Ovi could just mop the floor with Matthews in today’s league.
23 year old Ovechkin would be hitting 70 plus in this high scoring era we have entered. It wouldn’t be fair having him in the league
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
24,743
11,613
Just an aside, it's funny how many different spellings there are of his nickname on HF:
  • OV
  • Ovi
  • Ovie
  • Ovy
LMAOO

Ovi is the only acceptable one because it's the one I use.:naughty:

To the poll question though I'm taking the field as Ovi is 35 going into next season and the rest of his game aside form goals is going to put his usage rates down if the coach wants to keep his job IMO.
 
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Varan

Registered User
Nov 27, 2016
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4,771
Toronto, Ontario
Ovi is the only acceptable one because it's the one I use.:naughty:

To the poll question though I'm taking the field as Ovi is 35 going into next season and the rest of his game aside form goals is going to put his usage rates down if the coach wants to keep his job IMO.
LOL

If OV keeps scoring at his usual rate, the coach will keep his job
 

ricky0034

Registered User
Jun 8, 2010
15,473
7,941
LMAO Young Ovechkin takes a big fat dump on Matthews. everyone has a right to their opinions, but jeez this is such a dumb take.

As for the higher scoring league

05/06 -> 3.08 gpg
06/07 -> 2.95 gpg
07/08 -> 2.78 gpg
08/09 -> 2.91 gpg
average gpg of the past 4 seasons: 2.93

16/17 -> 2.77 gpg
17/18 -> 2.97 gpg
18/19 -> 3.01 gpg
19/20 -> 3.02 gpg
average gpg of the past 4 seasons: 2.94

Ovie has the highest scoring season, but Matthews has the next 3. overall, matthews played in a higher scoring era, slightly higher when comparing their first four seasons

also in addition to the whole higher scoring league thing being factually incorrect that stat is cherrypicked to the point of ridiculousness as well

from the whole even strength only aspect to the randomness of the numbers to the fact that Ovechkin literally put up 119 even strength goals in his first 280 games
 
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bobholly39

Registered User
Mar 10, 2013
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23 year old Ovechkin would be hitting 70 plus in this high scoring era we have entered. It wouldn’t be fair having him in the league

I don't know about that. Peak Ovechkin isn't all that much a better goal-scorer than current Ovechkin. Peak Ovechkin was a much better overall player, with better overall offense, hits, etc. But 70+ goals in todays league is a ton. Ovechkin had the one year at 65 goals, and beyond that only once in his whole career scored more than 53. Insanely consistent goal-scoring prime? Absolutely. But super high goal-scoring peak? That's not really his thing.

Maybe Ovechkin "perfect storms" into a season of ~70 goals in today's league, since he did score 65, but I don't think that's a given. And I also think that's probably near the top end, i wouldn't say 70+.

Reason why I like Matthews so far is that he's comparable to Ovi. Maybe he'll have an insane peak, maybe not - but it's really his consistency year to year in goals so far that impresses me. Clearly I'm not saying he's as good as prime Ovi - just in the same mold. A player like Laine in comparison - i don't see him ever having that consistency - he might have a high peak, than low years. But I find consistency particularly impressive, and also more predictable.

Exactly. How can you bet against him?

There's a lot of good reasons to bet against him.

1. He's older 35 is actually quite old for a hockey player. That's gotta catch up at some point.

2. The long layoff/different schedule. An optimist will say "at his age, that'll help him be refreshed and come back stronger". A pessimist will say "at his age, that'll completely mess him up and affect him negatively". Reality is, who knows, but it could go either way and is unpredictable. I think it's less a factor for younger guys, positive or negative.

3. The competition. Matthews is a really good goal-scorer, and consistent. Pastrnak too. Drai just had a historic season - and we know he can score goals. McDavid is talented enough to win a rocket. Laine still has the talent to explode. Etc. There's been many seasons in Ovi's career where competition didn't seem too high for goal-scoring, but this is arguably the highest it's ever been.

There's many reasons to bet on him too - I'm just saying it's not a given.
 
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Petrus

Registered User
Jan 5, 2017
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Bay Street
Matthews is easily a better goal scorer than Ovechkin and PP time is clearly the only thing keeping Ovechkin ahead.


Matthews is an elite player.

His first 120 games are impressive. The 120 games is not the totality of his career. OV has been at this longer and more consistently.

You should at very least allow Matthews a decade more of playing time before we Leaf fans make this type of proclamation.
 

Varan

Registered User
Nov 27, 2016
6,467
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Toronto, Ontario
I don't know about that. Peak Ovechkin isn't all that much a better goal-scorer than current Ovechkin. Peak Ovechkin was a much better overall player, with better overall offense, hits, etc. But 70+ goals in todays league is a ton. Ovechkin had the one year at 65 goals, and beyond that only once in his whole career scored more than 53. Insanely consistent goal-scoring prime? Absolutely. But super high goal-scoring peak? That's not really his thing.

Maybe Ovechkin "perfect storms" into a season of ~70 goals in today's league, since he did score 65, but I don't think that's a given. And I also think that's probably near the top end, i wouldn't say 70+.
His full game average during his peak was 60 goals/season, in a much lower scoring era with much bigger defenceman compared to the tiny skilled ones today. Scoring is about 10% up from those days, so him hitting 70 isn’t that crazy to think about
 

bobholly39

Registered User
Mar 10, 2013
23,420
16,813
His full game average during his peak was 60 goals/season, in a much lower scoring era with much bigger defenceman compared to the tiny skilled ones today. Scoring is about 10% up from those days, so him hitting 70 isn’t that crazy to think about

If you go by league averages - Ovi's 3 year peak vs the past 3 years, there's only a ~5% uptick in scoring, not 10%. Not that I think league averages is necessarily super representative, but it's what people usually use.

But again - even in his own "era" - Ovechkin scored 65 once, then 56 once and never above 53 after that. So it's not like at his "peak" he was churning out these ~60-65 goals years every year. Peak Ovechkin in today's league might hit ~70 in a perfect storm of a season (like 2008 was for him) - but I highly doubt he'd hit it consistently. He may also top out below 70.
 

Varan

Registered User
Nov 27, 2016
6,467
4,771
Toronto, Ontario
If you go by league averages - Ovi's 3 year peak vs the past 3 years, there's only a ~5% uptick in scoring, not 10%. Not that I think league averages is necessarily super representative, but it's what people usually use.

But again - even in his own "era" - Ovechkin scored 65 once, then 56 once and never above 53 after that. So it's not like at his "peak" he was churning out these ~60-65 goals years every year. Peak Ovechkin in today's league might hit ~70 in a perfect storm of a season (like 2008 was for him) - but I highly doubt he'd hit it consistently. He may also top out below 70.
65 in 82
56 in 79 = 58 in 82

Before the Olympics (at his greatest) 42 in 53 = 65 in 82

He’s also had a stretch from March 2013 -December 2013 where he had 46 goals in 48 games. That doesn’t even make sense

So all I’m saying is that he is more than capable of scoring 70
 

bobholly39

Registered User
Mar 10, 2013
23,420
16,813
65 in 82
56 in 79 = 58 in 82

Before the Olympics (at his greatest) 42 in 53 = 65 in 82

He’s also had a stretch from March 2013 -December 2013 where he had 46 goals in 48 games. That doesn’t even make sense

So all I’m saying is that he is more than capable of scoring 70

Your initial post seemed to imply you thought he would definitely score 70+. Now you're saying - he's capable of it, as in, it's possible. I agree it's possible - I just think it's unlikely.

Give "peak Ovechkin" the chance to play a season in this era 50x? He tops 70 a few times, probably even tops 80 once or twice. But considering "peak" Ovi was mostly 3 years - odds of him hitting 70+ are quite low, but yes possible.
 

34

Registered User
Mar 26, 2010
21,837
9,734
OV is a legend, and very possible he can.... but the passing of the Torch to Auston Matthews is on hand now.
 

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