Do you think Ovechkin's legacy will improve over time?

Beau Knows

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Mar 4, 2013
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For me Ovechkin is already the best goal scorer of all-time. Him breaking the record vs missing it by 1 goal or something wouldn't change anything, other than it just being neat.

It's not like the period of time he played is going to be lost to time and all that will remain is the number of goals he scored. There will be mountains of videos of him playing and articles that illustrate his standing in the hockey world during his era.

Likewise, if this higher scoring era we've been in for the last few years continues or even opens up further, and someone comes along and surpassed whatever goal totals Ovechkin ends up with, while not being as dominant against his peers as Ovechkin was. I think people will understand that and take into account that Ovechkin did it in a tougher scoring environment and that he would still be the best goal scorer ever.
 

The Panther

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Peak and prime seasons are definitely the most important when it comes to ranking players in general and ranking goal scorers, but I think some knowledgeable fans can be become too dismissive of career milestones (just as casual fans and media types tend to make too big a deal of such things).

Does adding 25-35 goal seasons at the end of his career make Ovechkin a better or greater goal scorer than guys like Gretzky, Lemieux, Hull, Richard etc? No, because such seasons pale in comparison to what those players did in their best seasons and over their primes as far as goal scoring is concerned. But that doesn't mean the value of 25-35 goal seasons late in a player's career is zero, either (even if we are talking about a guy who's led the League in goals nine times). Hockey is a grind. Players age and lose their abilities. It can be a challenge and a testament to a player's goal scoring smarts and devotion to achieving a goal to bang in those last 70 or so goals and get the record.
I don't disagree with anything you wrote, and I was not dismissing productive longevity. I am saying that hitting a certain , specific number of (whatever) doesn't overnight lead to a higher ranking.
 

DitchMarner

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I don't disagree with anything you wrote, and I was not dismissing productive longevity. I am saying that hitting a certain , specific number of (whatever) doesn't overnight lead to a higher ranking.

I agree with that.

I think there's some value in breaking the goal record (some may think there really isn't), but it's not the sort of thing that should decide if he's the greatest goal scorer ever, nor should a few dozen additional goals late in his career move him up the all-time list substantially.
 
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Crosby2010

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If secondary assists were just as good as goals you might have a point.

So a point is a point. I never get the idea that a secondary assist isn't important or crucial to the play. We are talking about Crosby here. This is a guy who for his whole career has been the one that has driven the play and been the guy who has carried every line he's been on. Or are we thinking here that Chris Kunitz really was a world class sniper on his own? When you watch both play especially today, you still realize that Crosby is the one who runs the show and makes the plays. Ovechkin doesn't do this anymore and it shows in their stats. This doesn't mean Ovechkin hasn't had a great career, as he is 39 years old now, but it just means Crosby is easily the better player now and he has been the better player since 2010 while they both were more or less 1a) 1b) from 2005-'10
 

Midnight Judges

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So a point is a point. I never get the idea that a secondary assist isn't important or crucial to the play. We are talking about Crosby here. This is a guy who for his whole career has been the one that has driven the play and been the guy who has carried every line he's been on. Or are we thinking here that Chris Kunitz really was a world class sniper on his own? When you watch both play especially today, you still realize that Crosby is the one who runs the show and makes the plays. Ovechkin doesn't do this anymore and it shows in their stats. This doesn't mean Ovechkin hasn't had a great career, as he is 39 years old now, but it just means Crosby is easily the better player now and he has been the better player since 2010 while they both were more or less 1a) 1b) from 2005-'10

It's pretty obvious that the guy who passed to the guy who passed to the goal scorer is less likely to be germane to the play than the guy who passed to the goal scorer or the goal scorer. The eye test should show this for any reasonable hockey fan. The secondary pass is simply less likely to be defensed than the primary pass or the goal.

There are statistical ways of showing this as well. Secondary assists are a volatile and unreliable statistic - far more volatile than primary assists or goals. That's because they are more arbitrary, less indicative, and more dependent on teammates.

Take Crosby's secondary assist totals vs his primary assists totals for example. Let's look at 5 consecutive healthy seasons from 2014 to 2018 (age 26 to 30). This is basically the same player consistently doing the same things. Penguins fans at the time bragged incessantly about how consistent Crosby was.

Primary assists:
34
31
28
28
33

^^^Very consistent. These numbers make sense in that they are roughly aligned with the general value of Sidney Crosby in those seasons - totally in line with what you would expect from an elite player in their prime playing very consistent hockey.

Secondary Assists:
34
25
21
21
17
27

Huh. It's all over the place. Sidney Crosby was...wildly inconsistent? Did Sidney Crosby mysteriously forget how to secondary assist in 2017? Was he half as effective at it relative to 2014? There doesn't appear to be some sort of injury reason for this, and if there was, it somehow didn't impact his primary assists. His EV and PP TOI appear to be pretty stable in those seasons, and his zone starts are generally geared towards offense - as one would expect.

So what's really going on here? It seems to be statistical noise.
 
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Letsdothis

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Jun 19, 2024
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Career 5vs5 a2/60 leaders

1 H. Sedin
2. D. Toews
3. N. Kucherov
4. C. Makar
5. C. McDavid
6. J.Benn
7. M. St.Louis
8. R. Getzlaf
9. A. Panarin
10. J. Thornton


Powerplay:

1. N. Bäckström
2. C. McDavid
3. M. Rielly
4. R-N. Hopkins
5. M. Marner
6. C. Giroux
7. N. Kucherov
8. V. Hedman
9. A. Panarin
10. S. Ghostisbhere

While more prone to yearly variation, I don't think lists like that would form for a stat that is merellä statistical variance. On the flip side, the bottom 10 is all no-talent goons.
 

Michael Farkas

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Man, if some variance in a stat means that the stat is just noise and not indicative of play, I have some joyous news to spread about save pct. haha

It's almost worth the trade off to agree with that not-well-thought-out rubbish if it means dealing a critical blow to save pct.
 

Johnny Engine

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Jul 29, 2009
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Man, if some variance in a stat means that the stat is just noise and not indicative of play, I have some joyous news to spread about save pct. haha

It's almost worth the trade off to agree with that not-well-thought-out rubbish if it means dealing a critical blow to save pct.

Twitter and Patreon-based stats wonk Micah Blake McCurdy had an absolutely wonderful analogy that he explained a while back that really set my mind at ease with stuff like that.
I had heard of the concept of "overfitting" before in the context of "well, you don't want to keep adding qualifiers to expected goals, you'll end up overfitting" and I'm open-minded enough to just say, okay, better not be overfitting, but without actually understanding the significance of that concept.

The (heavily paraphrased) analogy McCurdy used is that, if someone handed you an exact copy of the entire earth, with every single detail preserved, it would not make a good substitute for a map, because it does not isolate the information you'd want to find out from a map.

Jumping off from there to use my own example, If I wanted to get from St. John's, NL to my parents home in Carbonear, looking out my front door (using the earth, which I have handy to myself because the earth generally can be found underneath my feet) will not tell me which way is Carbonear, or even how to get out of my own neighbourhood and onto the outer ring road (hopefully pointed in the right direction).

So a map will tell me how to get to Carbonear. It will generally not tell me that Topsail Road in St. John's is a horrendous mess of potholes and traffic lights and that taking Team Gushue north will get me to the highway in a less direct but a faster and far more comfortable fashion. It also won't tell me that avoiding the highway altogether and taking a winding path through Holyrood and Brigus is not only enjoyable (if you have time for it), but also pretty gas-friendly because you aren't flooring it through these communities.
So there's the argument for needing both models (a map, hockey statistics) and intelligent observation (local knowledge, a scout's eye), and I think most people are comfortable with that axiom.

But I think the hidden takeaway is that models don't have to act like intelligent observation to do their job, otherwise, I'd only be able to get to Carbonear if I'd already done it before. Models and maps can be made more intelligent - a map that only shows that the cities of St. John's and Carbonear are both on the island of Newfoundland and in fact connected by highway is of limited utility - but you can also reach the point where what you have isn't a model but rather a detailed list of everything that has ever existed, and that's not much good to anyone.

The concept and McCurdy's analogy brings me a kind of peace, and I don't mind secondary assists and save percentage if they just sit there and point towards players that might be worth looking at some time.
 

Crosby2010

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Mar 4, 2023
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It's pretty obvious that the guy who passed to the guy who passed to the goal scorer is less likely to be germane to the play than the guy who passed to the goal scorer or the goal scorer. The eye test should show this for any reasonable hockey fan. The secondary pass is simply less likely to be defensed than the primary pass or the goal.

There are statistical ways of showing this as well. Secondary assists are a volatile and unreliable statistic - far more volatile than primary assists or goals. That's because they are more arbitrary, less indicative, and more dependent on teammates.

Take Crosby's secondary assist totals vs his primary assists totals for example. Let's look at 5 consecutive healthy seasons from 2014 to 2018 (age 26 to 30). This is basically the same player consistently doing the same things. Penguins fans at the time bragged incessantly about how consistent Crosby was.

Primary assists:
34
31
28
28
33

^^^Very consistent. These numbers make sense in that they are roughly aligned with the general value of Sidney Crosby in those seasons - totally in line with what you would expect from an elite player in their prime playing very consistent hockey.

Secondary Assists:
34
25
21
21
17
27

Huh. It's all over the place. Sidney Crosby was...wildly inconsistent? Did Sidney Crosby mysteriously forget how to secondary assist in 2017? Was he half as effective at it relative to 2014? There doesn't appear to be some sort of injury reason for this, and if there was, it somehow didn't impact his primary assists. His EV and PP TOI appear to be pretty stable in those seasons, and his zone starts are generally geared towards offense - as one would expect.

So what's really going on here? It seems to be statistical noise.

In 2017 Crosby might have been a little bit busier winning the Rocket Richard trophy against the field in the NHL................which included Ovechkin.

Man, you are really reaching if you are looking at his secondary assists. I don't think those are inconsistent at all, it is what you would expect from an elite player and from secondary assists which in general aren't as central to the goal being scored as the primary assist, but are still important.

Here is the spoiler alert, Ovechkin too could have gotten assists if he wanted. But he didn't. Ovechkin went 5 seasons in a row of getting less than 30 assists. Crosby was just a better overall player, and a more broad and diverse offensive talent. He could always beat you in more ways than just passing and scoring.
 
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rmartin65

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Apr 7, 2011
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It's pretty obvious that the guy who passed to the guy who passed to the goal scorer is less likely to be germane to the play than the guy who passed to the goal scorer or the goal scorer. The eye test should show this for any reasonable hockey fan. The secondary pass is simply less likely to be defensed than the primary pass or the goal.

There are statistical ways of showing this as well. Secondary assists are a volatile and unreliable statistic - far more volatile than primary assists or goals. That's because they are more arbitrary, less indicative, and more dependent on teammates.

Take Crosby's secondary assist totals vs his primary assists totals for example. Let's look at 5 consecutive healthy seasons from 2014 to 2018 (age 26 to 30). This is basically the same player consistently doing the same things. Penguins fans at the time bragged incessantly about how consistent Crosby was.

Primary assists:
34
31
28
28
33

^^^Very consistent. These numbers make sense in that they are roughly aligned with the general value of Sidney Crosby in those seasons - totally in line with what you would expect from an elite player in their prime playing very consistent hockey.

Secondary Assists:
34
25
21
21
17
27

Huh. It's all over the place. Sidney Crosby was...wildly inconsistent? Did Sidney Crosby mysteriously forget how to secondary assist in 2017? Was he half as effective at it relative to 2014? There doesn't appear to be some sort of injury reason for this, and if there was, it somehow didn't impact his primary assists. His EV and PP TOI appear to be pretty stable in those seasons, and his zone starts are generally geared towards offense - as one would expect.

So what's really going on here? It seems to be statistical noise.

These aren't gotcha questions, just some things I became curious about while reading this post-

What does Ovechkin's secondary assist breakdown look like?

What do Ovechkin's ES goals and PP goals look like?
 

Midnight Judges

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In 2017 Crosby might have been a little bit busier winning the Rocket Richard trophy against the field in the NHL................which included Ovechkin.

Man, you are really reaching if you are looking at his secondary assists.

In a discussion about secondary assists I looked at secondary assists.

Guilty as charged.
 

Midnight Judges

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These aren't gotcha questions, just some things I became curious about while reading this post-

What does Ovechkin's secondary assist breakdown look like?
It fluctuates randomly, and with practically zero correlation to Oveckin’s individual quality of play.

What do Ovechkin's ES goals and PP goals look like?

Goals in general are the analog here, not situational subsets (which are inherently more volatile).

Ovechkin’s goal totals per season align quite well with explainable events - overall quality of play, injuries, coaching schemes, etc.
 
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Midnight Judges

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Here is the spoiler alert, Ovechkin too could have gotten assists if he wanted. But he didn't.

His role is to score goals and he’s done it better than anyone in history.

When Ovechkin came to Washington they were a lottery team. They’ve won the 3rd most games in the nhl over the span of his career despite not having any other top 200 players of all time on the roster ( is Backstrom top 300?).

They could have easily deployed him in ways that hurt the team but boosted his point totals. He’s an excellent passer, it’s just that his shot is an all-time generational weapon.

As an aside, the goal scorer cannot get credit for the secondary assist. As the player with 45% more goals than anyone else since 2005, these likely do add up a bit more so for Ovie than anyone.
 

Letsdothis

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Jun 19, 2024
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Let's compare two players:

Player 1:

p1/gp .672
g/gp .331
ev p1/gp .424
pts/gp .889

Player 2:

p1/gp .581
g/gp .199
ev p1/gp .361
pts/gp .907


Player 1 has a ~15.7% higher primary points p/gp, ~66.3% higher g/pg, and ~17.5% higher primary points per game at even strength (excluding EN situations). If we assess substantially higher value to primary points than overall points, and goals than assists, player 1 would clearly be a couple of tiers ahead of player 2.

The two players in question are Daniel and Henrik Sedin from 2007-2018. I don't think anyone would think we need different tiers for these players, offensively or overall.

Henrik Sedin's line actually scored goals at a higher rate than Daniel Sedin's did when they were separated (although the separation is minimal). This is quite inconsistent with the notion that primary points and goals >>> overall points in value.
 
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MadLuke

Registered User
Jan 18, 2011
10,758
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Could it just be a bit of proxy for PP being how well the pp is going ?

when you look at crosby even strength scoring per 60 rates, I am not sure if secondary assist is particularly noisy:

Look how many season are in that 0.54-0.74 range (average +/- 0.1)


SeasonTeamGPTOITOI/GPGoals/60Total Assists/60First Assists/60Second Assists/60Total Points/60
20072008​
PIT
53​
793.4667​
14.97107​
1.36​
1.97​
1.51​
0.45​
3.33​
20082009​
PIT
77​
1201.917​
15.60931​
1.3​
1.8​
1.3​
0.5​
3.1​
20092010​
PIT
81​
1298.233​
16.02757​
1.66​
1.66​
1.11​
0.55​
3.33​
20102011​
PIT
41​
656.4​
16.00976​
1.92​
2.29​
1.55​
0.73​
4.2​
20112012​
PIT
22​
318.0167​
14.4553​
1.13​
3.77​
2.45​
1.32​
4.91​
20122013​
PIT
36​
576.7​
16.01944​
1.25​
2.81​
1.98​
0.83​
4.06​
20132014​
PIT
80​
1373.367​
17.16708​
1.09​
1.79​
1.05​
0.74​
2.88​
20142015​
PIT
77​
1230.9​
15.98571​
0.88​
1.71​
1.02​
0.68​
2.58​
20152016​
PIT
80​
1308.8​
16.36​
1.19​
1.6​
0.96​
0.64​
2.8​
20162017​
PIT
75​
1210.083​
16.13444​
1.49​
1.69​
1.09​
0.6​
3.17​
20172018​
PIT
82​
1376.133​
16.78211​
0.87​
1.35​
0.78​
0.57​
2.22​
20182019​
PIT
79​
1358.6​
17.19747​
1.02​
2.03​
1.55​
0.49​
3.05​
20192020​
PIT
41​
658.75​
16.06707​
1.09​
1.64​
1.18​
0.46​
2.73​
20202021​
PIT
55​
945.85​
17.19727​
1.14​
1.33​
0.82​
0.51​
2.47​
20212022​
PIT
69​
1136.383​
16.46932​
1.21​
1.64​
1.06​
0.58​
2.85​
20222023​
PIT
82​
1327.167​
16.18496​
1.09​
1.9​
1.18​
0.72​
2.98​
20232024​
PIT
82​
1336.7​
16.30122​
1.44​
1.75​
1.21​
0.54​
3.19​

goalassista1a2pts
Average
1.24​
1.93​
1.28​
0.64​
3.17​
average-deviation
0.20​
0.38​
0.31​
0.14​
0.47​
Ratio
0.16​
0.20​
0.24​
0.21
0.15​

ratio with career average:
Column1goalassista1a2pts
20072008​
109%​
102%​
118%​
70%​
105%​
20082009​
105%​
93%​
101%​
78%​
98%​
20092010​
134%​
86%​
87%​
86%​
105%​
20102011​
154%​
119%​
121%​
114%​
133%​
20112012​
91%​
196%​
191%​
206%​
155%​
20122013​
101%​
146%​
154%​
129%​
128%​
20132014​
88%​
93%​
82%​
115%​
91%​
20142015​
71%​
89%​
80%​
106%​
81%​
20152016​
96%​
83%​
75%​
100%​
88%​
20162017​
120%​
88%​
85%​
93%​
100%​
20172018​
70%​
70%​
61%​
89%​
70%​
20182019​
82%​
105%​
121%​
76%​
96%​
20192020​
88%​
85%​
92%​
72%​
86%​
20202021​
92%​
69%​
64%​
79%​
78%​
20212022​
97%​
85%​
83%​
90%​
90%​
20222023​
88%​
99%​
92%​
112%​
94%​
20232024​
116%​
91%​
94%​
84%​
101%​


When talking Power play secondary assist, that easy in our head to figure how much where you play on which power play will determine this, those seem indeed all over the place (which make sense considering where-what he do on the PP some season, a Markov blueline quaterback style would maybe be less noisy). While in even strength it is a proxy about how much you drive the play toward goals happening.

Total Points is the less noisy it seem (which make sense would "eat" all the error)
 
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Letsdothis

Registered User
Jun 19, 2024
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Let's compare two players:

Player 1:

p1/gp .672
g/gp .331
ev p1/gp .424
pts/gp .889

Player 2:

p1/gp .581
g/gp .199
ev p1/gp .361
pts/gp .907


Player 1 has a ~15.7% higher primary points p/gp, ~66.3% higher g/pg, and ~17.5% higher primary points per game at even strength (excluding EN situations). If we assess substantially higher value to primary points than overall points, and goals than assists, player 1 would clearly be a couple of tiers ahead of player 2.

The two players in question are Daniel and Henrik Sedin from 2007-2018. I don't think anyone would think we need different tiers for these players, offensively or overall.

Henrik Sedin's line actually scored goals at a higher rate than Daniel Sedin's did when they were separated (although the separation is minimal). This is quite inconsistent with the notion that primary points and goals >>> overall points in value.
Fixed the timeline: indeed this was a sample size of 11 seasons (from 07-18), not just 17 to 18 as I mistyped. If the dat was from one season only, it would obviously not have much relevance.
 

Michael Farkas

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They could have easily deployed him in ways that hurt the team but boosted his point totals. He’s an excellent passer, it’s just that his shot is an all-time generational weapon.

As an aside, the goal scorer cannot get credit for the secondary assist. As the player with 45% more goals than anyone else since 2005, these likely do add up a bit more so for Ovie than anyone.
Add to this: the unstudied dynamic of secondary assist importance vs. primary assists vs. goal scoring in terms of importance, skill/difficulty, against team tactics, etc.

For someone that gives absolutely zero ground on Crosby defensive play (despite video disproving it against your team ;)), zero ground on games played (unless it's playoff games, then it's luck/random too), zero ground on all these old standbys...you sure do double dip your chip with carte blanche...

Secondary assists are random, Ovechkin is an "excellent" passer, secondary assists would add up "for Ovie (more) than anyone"...I suppose, theoretically, one could reason that living in a glass house would necessitate being on the offensive as the best means of defense, but man alive haha
 

Hockey Outsider

Registered User
Jan 16, 2005
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Five years ago, I did a deep dive into secondary assists. Here's the link if anyone is interested. At a high level - secondary assists have lower correlations year over year than goals or primary assists. But they clearly have some value, because prediction models work better when secondary assists are included.

The predictive model worked best when it was set to (approximately) 1 goal = 1 primary assist = 2/3rds of a secondary assist. The NHL's approach (treating everything as equal) therefore somewhat overrates secondary assists. But we shouldn't exaggerate it either. Since this argument usually comes back to Crosby and Ovechkin - Crosby has recorded 112 more secondary assists than Ovechkin over the course of his career. By my calculation, that means his point total has been inflated by about 37 points. Over the span of 19 seasons, we're talking about of a different of just under 2 points per year. There are several meaningful advantages both players have over each other in different categories - let's focus on those. Does anybody think either player's legacy would be materially impacted if (on average) Crosby got 2 fewer points per year?

In my experience, most people pick and choose when to downplay secondary assists. Remember when Ovechkin had that tremendous start to the 2022 season? As of mid December, he was leading the NHL in points. Many people (Washington fans and otherwise) were talking about how, at age 36, he was a contender for the Hart trophy. Guess what? He had a huge number of secondary assists. (As of December 15th, he was 4th in the league in that category - for context, he had never placed in the top ten in any season, any he was only in the top 20 twice, the last time being a decade earlier). Looking at it another way - he averaged 13 secondary assists per 82 games from 2012 to 2021, then he suddenly recorded 13 secondary assists before New Years. I didn't hear anyone (Capitals fan or otherwise) say that we need to scale back his case for the Hart and Art Ross, because he was recording secondary assists at 2.5x his normal rate.

I'm just asking for some consistency here. Many of the people who spent a decade attacking Crosby for his secondary assists turned a blind eye when Ovechkin suddenly became a Hart and Art Ross contender during 2021-22, due to an unusually high number of secondary assists. Even if it's true that secondary assists are overrated, the optics of how the argument is made so selectively doesn't look good.
 

Crosby2010

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Mar 4, 2023
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His role is to score goals and he’s done it better than anyone in history.

When Ovechkin came to Washington they were a lottery team. They’ve won the 3rd most games in the nhl over the span of his career despite not having any other top 200 players of all time on the roster ( is Backstrom top 300?).

They could have easily deployed him in ways that hurt the team but boosted his point totals. He’s an excellent passer, it’s just that his shot is an all-time generational weapon.

As an aside, the goal scorer cannot get credit for the secondary assist. As the player with 45% more goals than anyone else since 2005, these likely do add up a bit more so for Ovie than anyone.

Assists are assists. It still contributes to a goal. Everyone has a chance to get assists. Ovechkin had and still does have people setting him up for these goals. Crosby is the one who drives the play better. He always has been the more offensive player. The numbers bear this fruit. Ovechkin has been more physical, Crosby has been the better defensive player and the better leader. And more successful team-wise. Overall you give Crosby the edge in his career and it might just get wider in the last couple of years. If you took their seasons over 19 years and decided who was better in what year you would have Crosby winning with more seasons.
 
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wetcoast

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In a discussion about secondary assists I looked at secondary assists.

Guilty as charged.
Except there wasn't a discussion about secondary assists until you inserted it so yes guilty as charged indeed you are.
If people are just going to look at numbers then Crosby will still look better in 50 years. He has more points than Ovechkin, and will finish with more points barring a career ending injury. And the best part for Crosby is the PPG. He has 1.25 to Ovechkin's 1.08. If last season is any indication then Ovechkin's will get worse while Crosby's will more or less stay the same. Then there are the Cups, Crosby has three to Ovechkin's one. It won't be too hard to take a deep dive into their careers in 50 years. Both will be all-time greats though.

If secondary assists were just as good as goals you might have a point.

In any discussion about any players legacy one would tend to look at the overall picture, ie points and not just try to isolate and highlight only certain aspects...that is is one was doing this in good faith and consistently.
 
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MadLuke

Registered User
Jan 18, 2011
10,758
6,257
Since the lock-out
PlayerGPPrimary pointPpergamesSecondary assists %GAA1A2P
Sidney Crosby
1272​
1213​
0.95​
24%​
592​
1004​
621​
383​
1596​
Alex Ovechkin
1426​
1279​
0.90​
17%​
853​
697​
426​
271​
1550​
Evgeni Malkin
1145​
988​
0.86​
24%​
498​
798​
490​
308​
1296​
Patrick Kane
1230​
988​
0.80​
23%​
471​
813​
517​
296​
1284​
Anze Kopitar
1373​
872​
0.64​
28%​
419​
792​
453​
339​
1211​
Steven Stamkos
1082​
910​
0.84​
20%​
555​
582​
355​
227​
1137​
Joe Thornton
1205​
771​
0.64​
31%​
270​
848​
501​
347​
1118​
Joe Pavelski
1332​
836​
0.63​
22%​
476​
592​
360​
232​
1068​
Claude Giroux
1182​
744​
0.63​
30%​
350​
716​
394​
322​
1066​
John Tavares
1109​
810​
0.73​
22%​
456​
584​
354​
230​
1040​
Nicklas Backstrom
1105​
671​
0.61​
35%​
271​
762​
400​
362​
1033​
Eric Staal
1284​
803​
0.63​
22%​
444​
588​
359​
229​
1032​
Ryan Getzlaf
1157​
710​
0.61​
30%​
282​
737​
428​
309​
1019​
Patrice Bergeron
1223​
754​
0.62​
25%​
411​
590​
343​
247​
1001​
Phil Kessel
1286​
755​
0.59​
24%​
413​
579​
342​
237​
992​
Connor McDavid
645​
750​
1.16​
24%​
335​
647​
415​
232​
982​
Blake Wheeler
1172​
727​
0.62​
23%​
321​
622​
406​
216​
943​
Brad Marchand
1029​
716​
0.70​
23%​
401​
528​
315​
213​
929​
Henrik Sedin
1012​
592​
0.58​
36%​
196​
728​
396​
332​
924​
Jason Spezza
1137​
685​
0.60​
25%​
334​
585​
351​
234​
919​



Crosby secondary assists seem perfectly in line with the average high points player (25%), second to McDavid in primary point per game, not saying there is nothing here, but if there is something probably a bit small, he has no anomaly going.

Also look how many players got 22-28% of their points coming from secondary assists, is it really noisy career wise ? or just season to season..... in term of percentage of assist that are secondary assist for Crosby-Ovechkin-Malin are all exactly the same at the decimals... 38.x% it could be a non story in that regard over a career, a bit like looking at hitting the goal post vs lucky bounce as if over 1,500 games that type of things does not average out.

Backstrom and H.Sedin have the biggest A2 ratio of that group (47.5 and 45%) ,those 2 are certainly in the top tier in term of passing the puck so what does it tell us ?

He also had actual goal being scored when he was on the ice very high, with perfectly regular teammates, so I am not sure there any need to create a narrative the points were not good proxy for offense created.

Where there could be a point, the Pens power play, has not been good at all post COVID (unlike 2006-2020) where it tended to be elite, Letang-Karlsson-Malkin at the blue line... and arguably made them miss the playoffs, we see how much a McDavid powerplay can move a team up....

Which is not a bad reminder about Ovechkin powerplay scoring or Mario or the Oilers PP, yes it take a lot of points to create extra PP goals but we should not forget about them and devalue those points too much
 

daver

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Apr 4, 2003
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The OP is more about whose legacy will have more staying power as both players, inevitably, will start to sink down the all-time lists as time progresses.

Somewhere down the road, I cannot believe that anyone who gives more than a cursory look at the careers of Crosby and Ovechkin would move Ovechkin any closer than he is viewed now by the vast majority.
 

Midnight Judges

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Feb 10, 2010
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Add to this: the unstudied dynamic of secondary assist importance vs. primary assists vs. goal scoring in terms of importance, skill/difficulty, against team tactics, etc.

For someone that gives absolutely zero ground on Crosby defensive play (despite video disproving it against your team ;)),

I watched your video. It was a bunch of mundane plays that you would expect from virtually any player, and it disproves nothing, let alone the mountain of evidence showing that Sidney Crosby does not contribute much defensively.
 
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Midnight Judges

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Feb 10, 2010
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Except there wasn't a discussion about secondary assists until you inserted it so yes guilty as charged indeed you are.

That is false. A previous poster cited point and PPG totals as their primary argument, which inherently assume secondary assists are equal in value to goals.

So basically you are claiming that if a poster smuggles in an assumption as foundational to their main argument, then that assumption is not fair game to be addressed.

That is fundamentally misguided.
 

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