Dvorak, Anderson, Gallagher, Matheson and Carrier on the Wings instead of Compher, Rasmussen, Tarasenko, Petry, Holl and we are in the playoffs. Kasper, Raymond, Seider, Edvinsson, Debrincat, Larkin is just as good a young core as Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovsky, Hutson, Laine. For the thousandth time, the kids aren’t the issue in Detroit. Quite literally everything else is.
The first big mistake you make is thinking Laine is part of Montreal's core.
What makes Montreal ahead of Detroit's is the fact its core is performing better than Detroit's and it does so at a younger age.
Suzuki is the oldest of Montreal's core at 25 and already has peaked higher than Larkin has at 28.
Caufield is 24 while DeBrincat is 28.
Hutson is 21 while Seider is 24
Slafkovsky is 21 while Raymond is 23.
Only younger piece is Edvinsson at 22 vs Guhle at 23.
ASP and Reinbacher are similar level prospect D and equally aged while being very different stylistically. I had ASP at #5 OA (what a steal) and always have been a fan, so I give the edge to Detroit here, but I can understand people liking a more classic, minute eater, mobile and physical D like Reinbacher... I personally like ASP more.
However I'd personally take Demidov 10/10 over a guy like Kasper... I had Demidov at #2 OA, what a steal.
Future goalies is always tougher to project, but Dobes/Fowler vs Cossa/Augustine is close enough to call it even for me.
If we add to that the fact Montreal has 8 picks in the first 3 rounds of next draft and Detroit has only 4, it is not too hard to infer Montreal is in a way better position to improve its roster in the next few years...
Fact Montreal made the playoffs before Detroit AND has better picks/futures than Detroit at this point in time is a real killer when their rebuild started a few years after Detroit.
Detroit needs to pick a big talent ala Hutson/Kucherov/Point in the later picks or kill it in a trade in a big way to close the gap.
Detroit is in a tough spot in a strong Atlantic that is getting stronger quick.