lanceuppercut75
Registered User
to Toronto Maple Leafs
--- Olli Määttä (1y @ $3.0m)
--- Holl (50% retained) (2y @ $1.7m)
--- 2024 DET 3rd Round Pick
(edit - possibly DET adds another small piece? maybe?)
CAP HIT AFTER = $4.7m
CAP HIT BEFORE = $4.7m (if we assume $2.6m for Liljegren)
to Detroit Red Wings
--- Calle Järnkrok (2y @ $2.1m)
--- Timothy Liljegren (RFA... let's say $2.6m?)
--- ( retaining $1.7m cap on Holl )
CAP HIT AFTER = $6.4m (if we assume $2.6m for Liljegren)
CAP HIT BEFORE = $6.4m
If RFA Liljegren gets a lower cap hit than $2.6m, then DET are saving cap space.
DET opens up a spot at LD for Edvinsson, and gets a younger (and arguably better?) RD than Holl while not adding any cap. Perhaps Liljegren can figure things out in Detroit. He still possibly has top 4 potential with a new coach and in a new system. DET has multiple forwards leaving as UFAs, and they replace one of them with Järnkrok, a veteran swiss army knife for the bottom 6 for 2 seasons at a reasonable cap hit. They're eating $1.7m for 2 years, which isn't ideal, but Holl is overpaid and would have otherwise cost assets to move. The RHD needed to be improved and Sandin-Pellikka isn't ready.
TOR tries Holl again with new coach and a new system. Toronto would prefer Holl is only a 1 year contract and not 2, but the same thing could be said for Järnkrok before the trade. If Holl doesn't work out under Berube, his new $1.7m cap hit that expires in 2026 is tradeable. Worse case scenario, Leafs could retain another 50% and dump Holl at $0.85m cap hit to some team for future considerations.
Part of this trade is the Leafs moving on from Liljegren and looking at the UFA market for D help going forward. Määttä comes in for one year to anchor the 3rd pair, and then expires next summer at the same time as Tavares and McCabe. There will be lots of money to look at further improving the D core then. Leafs probably add a $5m-ish free agent RHD this summer, and can use the Määttä money, the McCabe money and some of the Tavares money to add an additional two top 4 D next summer. From playoffs 2024 to next summer, the top 4 D are Rielly and 3 new guys. Totally changed D core within 14/15 months.
2024 / 2025
Rielly - ( UFA RHD )
McCabe - Benoit
Määttä - Holl
Timmins
( could have a Marner trade bring a D, pushes Timmins to #8 / waivers )
2025 / 2026
Rielly - ( UFA RHD from 2024 )
( UFA LHD ) - ( UFA RHD )
Benoit - Niemela
Holl
( one of the 2025 UFAs is not be needed if a Marner trade brought a D in )
2024 / 2025
Edvinsson - Seider
Walman - Liljegren
Johansson - Petry
Chiarot
2025 / 2026
Edvinsson - Seider
kid (Wallinder / Buium) - Walman
Johansson - Liljegren
Chiarot
--- Olli Määttä (1y @ $3.0m)
--- Holl (50% retained) (2y @ $1.7m)
--- 2024 DET 3rd Round Pick
(edit - possibly DET adds another small piece? maybe?)
CAP HIT AFTER = $4.7m
CAP HIT BEFORE = $4.7m (if we assume $2.6m for Liljegren)
to Detroit Red Wings
--- Calle Järnkrok (2y @ $2.1m)
--- Timothy Liljegren (RFA... let's say $2.6m?)
--- ( retaining $1.7m cap on Holl )
CAP HIT AFTER = $6.4m (if we assume $2.6m for Liljegren)
CAP HIT BEFORE = $6.4m
If RFA Liljegren gets a lower cap hit than $2.6m, then DET are saving cap space.
DET opens up a spot at LD for Edvinsson, and gets a younger (and arguably better?) RD than Holl while not adding any cap. Perhaps Liljegren can figure things out in Detroit. He still possibly has top 4 potential with a new coach and in a new system. DET has multiple forwards leaving as UFAs, and they replace one of them with Järnkrok, a veteran swiss army knife for the bottom 6 for 2 seasons at a reasonable cap hit. They're eating $1.7m for 2 years, which isn't ideal, but Holl is overpaid and would have otherwise cost assets to move. The RHD needed to be improved and Sandin-Pellikka isn't ready.
TOR tries Holl again with new coach and a new system. Toronto would prefer Holl is only a 1 year contract and not 2, but the same thing could be said for Järnkrok before the trade. If Holl doesn't work out under Berube, his new $1.7m cap hit that expires in 2026 is tradeable. Worse case scenario, Leafs could retain another 50% and dump Holl at $0.85m cap hit to some team for future considerations.
Part of this trade is the Leafs moving on from Liljegren and looking at the UFA market for D help going forward. Määttä comes in for one year to anchor the 3rd pair, and then expires next summer at the same time as Tavares and McCabe. There will be lots of money to look at further improving the D core then. Leafs probably add a $5m-ish free agent RHD this summer, and can use the Määttä money, the McCabe money and some of the Tavares money to add an additional two top 4 D next summer. From playoffs 2024 to next summer, the top 4 D are Rielly and 3 new guys. Totally changed D core within 14/15 months.
2024 / 2025
Rielly - ( UFA RHD )
McCabe - Benoit
Määttä - Holl
Timmins
( could have a Marner trade bring a D, pushes Timmins to #8 / waivers )
2025 / 2026
Rielly - ( UFA RHD from 2024 )
( UFA LHD ) - ( UFA RHD )
Benoit - Niemela
Holl
( one of the 2025 UFAs is not be needed if a Marner trade brought a D in )
2024 / 2025
Edvinsson - Seider
Walman - Liljegren
Johansson - Petry
Chiarot
2025 / 2026
Edvinsson - Seider
kid (Wallinder / Buium) - Walman
Johansson - Liljegren
Chiarot
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