Redder Winger
Registered User
- May 4, 2017
- 3,700
- 730
Ok but how do you compare those numbers to what an average player produces 5on5 on most other teams.
Z and Larkin may be "1st line" by your "ill just pick 3 guys thing"
but how do they rate vs league averages?
I.e. Is Larkin a 2nd liner or 1st liner based on this data... we all know most red wings have horrid production.
Well...
This could get long and stupid if I start on the wrong foot.
Let's eliminate a bunch of the AHL tweeners by limiting this to people who've played less than 250 minutes at 5 on 5.
That leaves you with 416 NHL forwards.
That's 13.4 forwards per team.
Beautiful number for what we're looking at.
Here are your leaders at 5 on 5 points
#1 Connor McDavid 65
#32 Auston Matthews 40
#63 Matt Duchene 33
#94 Kevin Fiala 30
---- So there's your first line cutoff. 30 points. (30 to 65 points )
188th - TJ Oshie - 21 points
There's your second line cutoff (21 to 30 points)
282nd - Sam Gagner - 14 points -
There's your third line cutoff (14-21 points)
Fourth line 1 to 13 points.
So on Detroit you have ---
1st Liine
Larkin
Mantha
Zetterberg
2nd Line
Nyquist
Athanasiou
Abdelkader
3rd line
Helm
Nielsen
Bertuzzi
Tatar
Frk
4th line
Glendening
Now you start factoring for Time On ice and this changes again.
But this is strictly 5 on 5 points... not factoring for icetime, games played, injuries, defense etc
One thing that jumps out you is how far ahead the TOP first liners are above the rest of the field.