I wish this mock draft had been correct. I love the part about Pasta becoming a 45-60 POINT player. 2014 NHL Mock Draft: Updated Predictions, Analysis For First Round - NESN.com
David Pastrnak started to play at high levels in 16-17, when he reached 70 points and surpassed the 30 goals mark for the first time.
From 16-17, to 21-22 (=6 seasons), he was outscored by Brad Marchand 5 seasons out of 6. So, your statement of „Bergeron and Marchand were 50-60 point player without Pastrnak“ is FACTUALLY WRONG.
Saying that „Krejci was better than both“ had merit for the first few years they played together, but for the past dozen of years, it‘s brutally laughable.
Too many variables to debate. Shift in usages, zone time, PP time, coaching shift from Claude Julien hockey, etc etc.You sure about that?
Brad Marchand career high before 2016-17 = 61 points
Brad Marchand from 2017-2022 with high level Pastrnak = 85, 85, 100, 87, 69 (in 53), 80
95 points which is currently pace for best Defencemans in the league. Even if he is back to last year form. you still have 4 forwards that are consistently great + Makar, so top5 is hard to crack either way,
Because they were a deep as hell team. He still scored like 50pts more than anyone on his team that season. Bergeron wasn’t the offensive threat he was earlier in his last season. Same applies for MarchandWe’ve seen time and again in all sports that it’s not a straight shot to the results you’re thinking of. Can we stop pretending we’ve only seen Pasta on a bottom five team? They just set record in wins and points, while scoring over 300 goals two years ago. His points were very similar to what they will be this season.
You sure about that?
Brad Marchand career high before 2016-17 = 61 points
Brad Marchand from 2017-2022 with high level Pastrnak = 85, 85, 100, 87, 69 (in 53), 80
As much as I think that point totals are meaningless.
Yes, Pastrnak is better than Matthews currently.
Currently, Matthews isn't a top 5 player in the NHL.
He isn't even top 10 right now, either.
As mentioned above, I believe he has a wrist injury that took place last playoffs, hence, why he isn't shooting the puck with much velocity and frequency this season.
A lot of his goals this season are up close infront of the net, or from one timers.
What's made him the best scorer for the past 5-7 seasons is his wrister.
It's fast and deceptive.
Without the wrister, he isn't going to be scoring as much and being as big a threat.
Problem for Matthews is injuries are a legitimate criticism now. His great goal scoring doesnt matter when year in and year out he cant stay on the ice
He would have had 7 if not for lockout and injury though.Yup, and surprisingly never had 3 straight 100 point seasons
he just wasnt on the powerplay until 2017, and then in 2018 league scoring went up a lot and kept going up. He outscored Pastrnak every year between 2016-2022 except 2019-2020.You sure about that?
Brad Marchand career high before 2016-17 = 61 points
Brad Marchand from 2017-2022 with high level Pastrnak = 85, 85, 100, 87, 69 (in 53), 80
Because they were a deep as hell team. He still scored like 50pts more than anyone on his team that season. Bergeron wasn’t the offensive threat he was earlier in his last season. Same applies for Marchand
Haven’t watched a full NBA game in my life so I have no idea what you just said.This isn’t fantasy sports. It’s not as simple as dragging and dropping someone into the lineup and seeing the stats soar.
I’m reminded of before LeBron’s first season in Miami. He had just come off averaging 29.7/7.3/8.6. People speculated that he could average a triple double—this was before the absolute surge of the triple double and the overall juicing of offensive numbers, so it really meant something. Surely, he would average more assists playing with bestie Wade and Chris Bosh, and not surrounded by “corpses” like he was in Cleveland. No, his line was 26.7/7.5/7.0. He actually had two of his lowest APG numbers while in Miami and he wasn’t replacing them with his own points, and his minutes were very similar.
Pasta is knocking on the door of being a top 5 forward in this league. Clearly he would be great and an offensive driver anywhere. But giving him someone like Draisaitl, Makar, or Point isn’t some automatic cheat code to score 130-140 and lead the league in scoring, which is what is being implied around here.
Lmao...Bergeron and Marchand were 50-60 point player without Pastrnak, Krejci was arguably better than both
This isn’t fantasy sports. It’s not as simple as dragging and dropping someone into the lineup and seeing the stats soar.
I’m reminded of before LeBron’s first season in Miami. He had just come off averaging 29.7/7.3/8.6. People speculated that he could average a triple double—this was before the absolute surge of the triple double and the overall juicing of offensive numbers, so it really meant something. Surely, he would average more assists playing with bestie Wade and Chris Bosh, and not surrounded by “corpses” like he was in Cleveland. No, his line was 26.7/7.5/7.0. He actually had two of his lowest APG numbers while in Miami and he wasn’t replacing them with his own points, and his minutes were very similar.
Pasta is knocking on the door of being a top 5 forward in this league. Clearly he would be great and an offensive driver anywhere. But giving him someone like Draisaitl, Makar, or Point isn’t some automatic cheat code to score 130-140 and lead the league in scoring, which is what is being implied around here.
I'd say the 45-60 point guess for Pasta reflects their thinking why he would be (and was) a late 1st-round pick, rather than lower scoring at the time, or the projection of him being selected by the Canadiens.While still low for how he turned out, the landscape was completely different.
The number of 80+ point players in each season from 2010-2011 through 2013-2014:
9, 9, 0 (48 game season—probably a similar total if full 82 games), 7
There were only three 100 point seasons.
Then Pasta was drafted.
The 2014-2015 season saw no one hit 90. Only five reached 80 points.
2015-2016 saw only Kane cross 90 with just our fourth 100 point season in six seasons. Only five players again hit 80.
2016-2017 saw only McDavid cross 90 with 100. Seven total hit 80.
Again, that range of 45-60 looks laughably low in retrospect, but with how point totals were at the time, how they spiraled a little bit lower, and perhaps even factoring in where they projected him to get drafted—Montreal, which has struggled to have a high scorer for decades—it actually doesn’t seem that bad to me.
That said, even a revised expectation of even 75-90 with knowledge of an increased scoring landscape would be skewered at this point.
You sure about that?
Brad Marchand career high before 2016-17 = 61 points
Brad Marchand from 2017-2022 with high level Pastrnak = 85, 85, 100, 87, 69 (in 53), 80
I didn't either, had to double check it.
Jagr went:
99
70 in 48
149
95 in 63
102
127
96 in 63
121
This isn’t fantasy sports. It’s not as simple as dragging and dropping someone into the lineup and seeing the stats soar.
I’m reminded of before LeBron’s first season in Miami. He had just come off averaging 29.7/7.3/8.6. People speculated that he could average a triple double—this was before the absolute surge of the triple double and the overall juicing of offensive numbers, so it really meant something. Surely, he would average more assists playing with bestie Wade and Chris Bosh, and not surrounded by “corpses” like he was in Cleveland. No, his line was 26.7/7.5/7.0. He actually had two of his lowest APG numbers while in Miami and he wasn’t replacing them with his own points, and his minutes were very similar.
Pasta is knocking on the door of being a top 5 forward in this league. Clearly he would be great and an offensive driver anywhere. But giving him someone like Draisaitl, Makar, or Point isn’t some automatic cheat code to score 130-140 and lead the league in scoring, which is what is being implied around here.
Think this goes to show that getting specifically 100pts in any given year is pretty random(injuries, shortened seasons, general slumps, scoring enviorment etc) and not really indicative of anything(no more than say above 98 or 102 pts is). Crosby never had 3 in a row either as far as I can remember for example.
By the way, for that very rarified group that thinks that Bergeron and Marchand without Pastrnak were 50-60 pts players, besides all other factors mentioned by other posters that give important context, let it be known that Marchand, from 2016-17 to 2021-22 was the highest scoring left wing in the whole league during that period. And even considering right wing, only Patrick Kane has more points than Marchand (517 vs 506, with Kane playing 29 games more than Marchand. Looking at ppg for all wingers, Marchand is 2nd in the whole league in the same period, behind Kucherov).
Marchand, from 2016-17 not only wasn‘t a 50-60 points player: he was better than Pastrnak, and a top 2 wing in the world. This is fact.
PS: and this without mentioning what a two way powerhouse he was too.