wetcoast
Registered User
- Nov 20, 2018
- 24,843
- 11,682
Actually I think that if you look at the scoring lead over their next highest non team mates McDavid this year is in the Gretzky/Mario level.Obviously it's smythe worthy, nobody's saying it isn't.... However, McDavid probably won't win it if the Oilers lose (Reggie Leach was the last forward to win a smythe on a losing team IIRC). Also, I explicitly said Big 4 level Conn Smythe. 34 points is definitely great but it's not Lemieux/Gretzky tier.
Mario in 91 had a 15 point lead over Brian Bellows and 17 over Dave Gagner.
In 92 he had a 12 point lead over Roenick.
Without looking he probably has a similar % of points on his team total goals that Gretzky and Mario had as well.
There is never going to be a decisive argument for any player over Howe/Orr and Mario heck some people even have Orr as #1 all time and a few misguided ones would pick Mario.McDavid's clearly a phenomenal talent and I'd argue he has the 4th greatest prime/peak of all time as is. But if he wants a decisive argument over guys like Howe, Orr, or Lemieux, he's gonna need to compile as much hardware and accomplish as many feats as possible; a Gretzky/Lemieux tier smythe would've really helped his case. All I'm saying is that missing out on this opportunity to add more to his resume will make it a more difficult mountain to climb.
also a lot of people looking at these things get all googly eyed about video game numbers and don't fully take in the context of league dynamics at the time.
Take Gretzky and his great post season ever in 85 with his line of 18-17-30-47.
now it's a great statline but let's break it down a bit.
First round in a 3 game sweep of LA (14th in GA in a 21 team league) he goes 3-0-5-5 as the Oilers easily dispatch of the Kings.
next round against the 15th best defensive team in the league the Jets he goes 4-6-7-13 including a 7 point game in the 8-3 series finale.
In the 3rd round he has a mind boggling line of 6-4-14-18
11-2 win (4 point game)
7-3 win (3 point game)
5-2 loss in chicago zero points -2
8-6 loss in Chicago (3 points)
10-5 win back at home with 4 points
8-2 series win in chicago with 4 points.
I personally have Gretzky as the best playoff performer of all time but his numbers are gaudy in part due to the way his teams played and the league dynamics at the time.
Gretzky had 47 points on a team that scored 98 goals that post season.
Just to compare McDavid has 34 points on a team that has scored 67 goals this year.
I think that he has a case for getting as high as #2 overall but could understand people having Orr above him but he certainly can become the second best forward of all time but he still has to play out his career.FTR, I still think his ceiling is 4th all time above Howe (I value peak/prime over the other criteria and I don't think his peak can compete with Orr/Lemieux/Gretzky). If he can stay in his prime into his 30s and fizzle out as a highly elite player in his mid to late 30s, I'll probably put him over Howe, as I think he has the better peak by a little bit.