BUX7PHX
Registered User
- Jul 7, 2011
- 5,581
- 1,350
You can write it a thousand times if you want, it won't change the question. Who is Keller? If he gets back to 60 something points regularly we have a fair deal. If he occasionally goes over 70 points we have a good deal. However if he turns into a 2nd line winger in the 50's for points we have a bad deal. That is the gamble Chayka took and he will either be smart for doing it or a not so smart unemployed GM.
You keep asking who Keller is, but you know exactly what he is. You specifically chose the values of 50, 60, and 70 points, so that tells me that you think that is where his value lies now and in the short term. You pretty much answered the question that you already know the answer to...
He is likely a 55-65 point scorer for his career in the short term. Possibly a PPG player in the latter years of this deal. Probably not going to go for less than 50 points in a season. Keller is better in his first two years than Larkin was. That's who he is.
You're trying to find a way to say that it isn't smart, and yet you totally agree with where his point totals are likely to end up at, and that because he is a 21 year old who was a top 10 pick, he is likely to continue some level of improvement. Which makes up the basis for how the deal gets done in the first place. What's next? You're going to argue that $7 M is too much when Keller put up 112 points in 164 games and a player like Larkin (again, 100% comparable, with the only exception of the year he signed long term), when Larkin put up 77 points in 160 games.
You haven't done any research into this at all and are simply stating that you don't have a high opinion of Chayka and what he is thinking. The funny thing is that more GMs are thinking that way, not less. Jump on the train, or stay behind. Don't hate the idea when it is actually tending to work for the better and not worse.