He has to live and work in this town. There is zero chance he says "I'm gone *****es"
But my question was why you were talking in absolute?
"Duchene is not going to be resigned."
You seemed to be 100% sure, so I was asking how you were so sure since it seems pretty much impossible to say at this point, IMO.
You can say that you think he's gone but talking in absolute that he is not going to be re-signed suggest that you might have some insider info.
I mean there's no rush or anything, this is a next summer or 2019-20 deadline trade imo. I just think we can fill the role internally and use the money elsewhere rather than give Pageau his UFA contract.
We are badly strapped for money after all, so while there are always arguments for players X and Y being needed for such and such role, the fact is we just don't have the luxury to not have question marks all over the lineup. My opinion is that we need to pay star players and use cheap ELC's and cheap vets to fill holes around them. Enough of our meager budget being eaten up by paying 3-5 million for your role players.
That said, if Duchene leaves which seems like the most likely scenario, then we may keep both Tierney and Pageau for longer. If Duchene stay, one is definitely gone after next season at the latest imo, especially with Brown, Chlapik, Paul & White all looking for center roles.
You're forgetting about the salary cap floor. We will have a hard time reaching it, even IF we are able to extend both Duchene and Stone at 8 M$ per year.
Tkachuk ($925,000) - Tierney ($2,937,500) - Stone ($8,000,000)
Boedker ($4,000,000) - Duchene ($8,000,000) - Ryan ($7,250,000)
Balcers ($759,167) - Chlapik ($728,333) - Batherson ($736,666)
Formenton ($753,333) - Pageau ($3,100,000) - White ($1,800,000)
Paul ($900,000)
Chabot ($863,333) - DeMelo ($900,000)
Lajoie ($710,000) - Jaros ($755,000)
Wolanin ($1,800,000) - Harpur ($725,000)
Borowiecki ($1,200,000)
Anderson ($4,750,000)
Condon ($2,400,000)
That line-up cap hit is $55,743,332, including Gaborik and MacArthur cap hits on LTIR (only cost 20% in real cash)
In that scenario, I traded Dzingel, Ceci and Smith for no salary in return so if we keep one of them and/or get some salary in return, we might reach the cap floor (which will probably be a bit higher next year)
I traded those guys because they won't be "needed" in the future; although I'm not sure about Ceci, right side looks weak, might as well extend him a few more years (until JBD is ready) and trade/waive Harpur instead.
After the 2019-20 season, Ryan will only have 2 years left, you can either trade him with retained salary or buy him out (cost would "only" be $1,833,333 per season for the 4 next years). Not to mention both Anderson and Condon contracts coming off the books (also Boedker and Pageau)
Seriously, you don't have to worry about money for a while. Reaching the cap floor will be a harder challenge. We'll have to give out some contracts at some point to stay "legal" within the NHL rules. Pageau won't ever be too expensive. I could see 3.8 x 4 years.