Honestly, reading this thread specifically, and I can't help but feel like the elephant(s) in the room are being ignored with regards to the wider business angle of it all, mainly to participate in (frankly, pathetic looking) slapfights about the efficacy of developmental leagues, with an especially strong twinge of, as BeastCoast described, incredibly specific fantasies that are wrapped up in psychosexual desires.
1: Sure, this entire bull rush is predicated on the NCAA finally giving in and realizing that CHL players are not professionals because they gain a stipend. How much is it going to take with beat writers and people on this side of the internet to realize that the vast majority of CHL players are Canadian, and based on my (limited) knowledge of the ever shifting NIL landscape, foreign citizens (of which Canadian junior players absolutely are) cannot benefit from NIL due to the tax codes changes needed? Zach Edey at Purdue already proved this point, and people, especially Canadian beat writers, just seem to...ignore it because it happens to be 'our boys'
2: Political, yes, but considering there is a swell of Canadian players now moving southward to take advantage, how long does it take before Republican politicians in red states with their ears on the ground decide to take advantage of this for populist and isolationist gains and place a cap on the amount of foreign student athletes, Canadian or otherwise? Already seen Repubs in Texas bring motions to cap the amount of foreign students in athletic programs, specifically golf and tennis which is almost entirely made up of foreign students. What is stopping Repubs in North Dakota, Nebraska or Ohio from putting the same thing in, especially if, as shown in many other regards, the current Trump administration aren't at all stupid when it comes to advancing their view points, and will make hay out of issues if they see fit?
And maybe most of all, 3: The entirety of NIL itself. People don't want to admit this on this specific board, but when it comes to collegiate sports, the only ones that matter in the grand scheme of things are CFB and CBB. The entirety of NIL to begin with was created to appease CBB and especially CFB players that they could profit off the work they do for their universities, and the money that is gained originally went to pay for the running costs of every other sporting program. Now, CFB/CBB are expecting even more of the revenue pie, and that leaves hockey programs, alongside Olympic sports, in the lurch as they're expected to not only pay players directly, but also to find other ways to be justifiable loss leaders now that the majority of their money is going to prop up the basketball and football teams? This is not even getting into the fact that the bull rush of CHL players is predicated on potential unprecedented growth of D1 hockey, especially in the west and south, and anyone who has half hearing and sight can see that D1 hockey is nowhere near that. With every ASU or Penn State especially, there's Illinois (resisting calls for a D1 hockey program because of costs) and Tennessee State (HBCU constantly in flux with finances, even with support from a pro team more then likely calling off the hockey program) How the hell can any college sports administration, especially say the Pacific B1G teams, justify the costs?
I just really think that amidst the (again, on this board specifically, the business board and outside places already know the score in broad strokes) slap fights about what route is best for development, the reality is that this probably doesn't hold for as long as people want it to. It's only a matter of time before politics pokes a massive hole in the balloon, or more then likely, the need and desire to feed the beast of CBB and *especially* CFB puts ice hockey programs, alongside baseball, on the chopping block. And at that point, both the NHL and MLB are going to have to choose sides. Considering how much they subsidize the CHL, I have no doubt where the NHL's loyalties lie in that regard.