CHL Can Now Play NCAA - Changes Everything | Page 119 | HFBoards - NHL Message Board and Forum for National Hockey League

CHL Can Now Play NCAA - Changes Everything

  • Thread starter Thread starter jtechkid
  • Start date Start date
all out of a desire to spite NCAA because their egos wouldn't be able to handle an intermediate step between CHL and Pro Hockey, removing them from atop the amateur pyramid.
I don't think that's a fair assessment - it would be out of a desire to increase their value prop to the new battleground demographic- drafted U19's and U20's. That value prop is the ELC and the ability to attend main camp + earn pro games. Money, massive developmental opportunity, and the chance to make it for good. There's an element of chicken with respect to not opening themselves up to losing guys wholly. But- any U20 lost to the A is player that stayed for their U19. Any U20 that gets sent back after WJC, any U19 that gets sent back after an extend pro camp, etc etc etc.
 
  • Like
Reactions: OSA
And 33% played NCAA. With 70% of that 33% coming from 12 teams.
Last I checked 40% is still bigger than 33% and is a majority.
There will be way more 19-20 year old talent leaving than blue chip 16-18 year old prospects coming in. You might get 1 blue chip for every 10 19-20 year old leaving. It will certainly effect the competition, pretty substantially. A bad 19 year old is light years better than an above average 16 year old
Not every 18-20 yr old is leaving for D1 right away nor want to at all, the vast majority of D1 freshmen are 20-21 year olds and there will still be a decently large cohort of 18-20 yr old players on ELCs that will remain in that league. More Canadian depth players who are D1 commits are going to stay in the CHL circuits instead of leaving. I dont see how retaining more depth with young players who develop into better pros or college players through the CHL makes the circuit weaker.

ource that CHL has been lobbying this? The competition is going to worse than it has in the past. Thats why their ego gets hurt
Literally the first thing that comes up on google.




Doesnt seem like theyre too angry or upset about it, in fact they seem rather excited and relieved. Heres the OHL announcing changes to their scholarschip structure to account for the NCAA requirements. I dont think any league with a "bruised ego" goes forward with something like that. Cant say the same about the USHL or USAH.


They are complacent if they still send a lot of their kids D1. That has been their bread and butter since inception. They have never been a league that aims higher than that and I think they know they never will be
The problem is their "bread and butter" is not the premier bread and better anymore, and they are at risk of losing two slices of their bread loaf from their competitors (so to speak). At least half of the new D1 commits announced are CHL players and its only been a few months since the rule change, the gap is going to widen. Even if the USHL remains a good path to D1 and eventually pros (which it will) they face several risks going forward if they dont at least try to compete with the CHL leagues as a peer. So yeah, complacency of doing nothing to sway recruits that they are now directly competing with the CHL for WILL hurt their league.
 
I don't think that's a fair assessment - it would be out of a desire to increase their value prop to the new battleground demographic- drafted U19's and U20's. That value prop is the ELC and the ability to attend main camp + earn pro games. Money, massive developmental opportunity, and the chance to make it for good. There's an element of chicken with respect to not opening themselves up to losing guys wholly. But- any U20 lost to the A is player that stayed for their U19. Any U20 that gets sent back after WJC, any U19 that gets sent back after an extend pro camp, etc etc etc.

Precisely, as it was explained to me from the CHL perspective the aim is to have players sign ELCs in order to collect development fees and of course the possibility of keeping them longer. The CHL realizes with this new rule change, that the old ways of doing business is no longer viable so change is necessary.

I mentioned sometime ago that I received information that Landon Dupont was given what essentially is a "NIL" deal by the Silvertips and the WHL. Apparently this deal allows him to earn money from sponsorship deals among other things. It seems that this will soon be implemented in the Q as well and I'm sure the OHL will start doing it as well.

 
  • Like
Reactions: OSA
One of the top goalies in the U.S. He was considered for the NTDP team but had a poor camp. He then bounced back and was lights out dominant at nationals.

 
  • Like
Reactions: OSA
Now go compare to 15 years ago
Im aware of the numbers from 15 yrs ago vs today. In fact, lots of things with life and the world changed through 15 years and so did the ability of some countries to develop their own hockey players and their domestic development paths, good for them and for the sport. How does that invalidate what I say tho?
 
That depends very much on the change to the CHL-NHL agreement and what AHL exposure is allowed. Assume it's something like- players can have up to 19 pro games without burning a year (NHL 9 counts towards it, or play the full season in the A and burn a year. The massive thing is that it opens up significant flexibility relative to the current status quo, and an absolute chasm relative to the NCAA path.

Sign NCAA, two routes for the year A- attend development camp, play NCAA season. B- attend development camp, play NCAA season, finish the year in pro.

Sign ELC - go to dev camp, go to main camp,
  • Surprise and make team for 9 games
    • Surprise and stay with team
    • Get sent straight back to CHL after 9
    • Get sent to A after 9 for additional 10
      • Get sent down to CHL after 10
      • Stay and finish the year in the A, no more call ups
      • Impress and get called back up the N
  • Get cut from main camp, sent to AHL camp- excellent learning experience against pro's
    • Get cut from A camp and sent to CHL
    • Play 19 game trial, then get sent to CHL
    • Play through 19 game trial, spent entire season in AHL
    • Play through 19 game trial, earn NHL call up(s)
  • Get cut from main camp and sent straight to CHL
Now if you're a long term project pick, have size, skating, conditioning concerns etc etc. Yeah, the NCAA makes a lot of sense, especially for D & G. But if you're a top 60 pick with anything resembling pro tools and game - get paid while collaborating with with your drafting teams development staff and using their resources for an additional number of weeks/months while giving yourself a chance to make the show?
NIL money will be there for top end guys. Not like the old days where they make nothing.

I do understand the allure of the ELC signing bonus and opportunity to go to main camp, it’ll be up to what NHL teams want. Boston for example will want most of their North American prospects in the NCAA, will Edmonton & Utah want that? Who knows.
 
Im aware of the numbers from 15 yrs ago vs today. In fact, lots of things with life and the world changed through 15 years and so did the ability of some countries to develop their own hockey players and their domestic development paths, good for them and for the sport. How does that invalidate what I say tho?

If we are talking about players from the CHL and NCAA in the NHL, the numbers haven't really changed all that much in the past ten to fifteen years. The CHL was and remains around the 50% mark while the NCAA hovered around the 30% mark and may have had a slight increase to around 33%. The real change occurred in the late nineties to the early aughts.
 
  • In 2022-23, 32% of players on active NHL rosters played college hockey (all Division I), up from about 21% in the year 2003 (source: collegehockeyinc.com). Additionally, 66% of former college players in the NHL played at least three college seasons, and 27% played all four.

When the 2024-25 National Hockey League regular season gets underway Tuesday with a trio of games, there will be 242 former college hockey players on NHL Opening Night rosters. That represents an increase from 2023-24, when 234 NCAA alumni dotted opening-night rosters.

 
Re-read your own post. You said "for any calibre of prospect."
The issue being discussed was whether there will be some CHL prospects who opt to forego the NCAA entirely and instead go directly to the AHL. I was making the case that going through the NCAA makes sense for CHL players of any caliber--assuming they can't make the NHL directly out of the CHL--whether they eventually go to the AHL after that or make the jump from the NCAA directly to the NHL. Obviously the AHL is a necessary step for many NCAA prospects simply because there will be many who aren't good enough to make the NHL directly from the NCAA.

But yes, I ultimately think going to the NCAA for some period of time makes sense for any caliber of prospect after their time in the CHL. Obviating the NCAA in favor of the AHL makes sense for clubs that want to control the prospects and leagues that want to maintain leverage, but not for the prospects/players themselves.
 
A fradulent insider on here has been insisting that the CHL is going to try and let 19 year olds be AHL eligible. Something they have prevented for DECADES due to insistence that it would "kill their brand", which would have the effect of even MORE 19 year olds leaving the CHL early, as some go NCAA, some (although I'd suspect only top 20 picks fall into the ready for this anyways bucket) play in the AHL, all out of a desire to spite NCAA because their egos wouldn't be able to handle an intermediate step between CHL and Pro Hockey, removing them from atop the amateur pyramid. Maybe some thought they'd get a scenario where they just kept everyone and only 21 year old pro hockey rejects went to NCAA (the fraudulent insider claimed this is what was going to happen initially), but that doesn't appear to be playing out.
Because any player who signs their ELC with their NHL drafting club is beholdened to honor that contract as a pro athlete under that organizations control. That is not a thing with NCAA players who arent under a pro contract, as they are considered amateur student athletes. The CHL-NHL agreement wasnt made until 1992. There was no actual stable pro minor league wide farm system like the modern AHL until the 80s-90s, before that there were several renditions of the AHL, CANAM league, IAHL or w/e since the 1920s were more like senior amateur organizations larping as pro leagues competing with the NHL and WHA, or acting as a pseudo-feeder of senior amateur players recieving very little in development payout fees, with the modern CHL league not forming until 1975 with the 3 amateur junior leagues merging and the NCAA also being an amateur circuit.

Once the modernized pro AHL league came into the fruition in the 80s and absorbed some of the WHA and IHL defectors, it was a direct threat to the CHL whose players were barred from the NCAA in the 80s and whose teams had no protection rights to their players up to that point. Any NHL team with an AHL farm team could now just swoop in with a big pro contract for an 18-20 yr old legal adult to sign and they could plug them into the pros under their control and development system in the AHL instead, with little to no return for the CHL and no hope of being able to retain a legit junior amateur development pathway, and it was slowly happening. They needed some sort of deal to prevent their 18+ yr old players being raided with no recourse at the time, hence the NHL-CHL agreement. They would have far preferred to be able to have the stability of being the consensus pathway to D1 for amateur student-athletes as well as pros/NHL. Times have changed though, and so has the way minor and junior teams and their facilities have developed players. So no, it was never about their "egos", they simply acted the way they did and secured the stability of their league according to the times.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: Corso
Question: If an American player wasn't drafted by a CHL team, is he essentially a free agent that can sign with any CHL team, or is he confined by OHL/WHL/Q region? And at what age can a CHL team sign him?

(OK, actually two questions)
 
Question: If an American player wasn't drafted by a CHL team, is he essentially a free agent that can sign with any CHL team, or is he confined by OHL/WHL/Q region? And at what age can a CHL team sign him?

(OK, actually two questions)
Any player undrafted can sign with any team in any CHL league.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bonk
Any player undrafted can sign with any team in any CHL league.
What becomes interesting is if a kid from say Massachusetts says he has no interest in playing in the QMJHL, but would play for say, London in the OHL. I guess he just has to make it clear as day that he won't sign with any QMJHL team, but if one throws a late pick out there anyways, then as long as he stays on reserve list, he can't sign with OHL team.
 
Im aware of the numbers from 15 yrs ago vs today. In fact, lots of things with life and the world changed through 15 years and so did the ability of some countries to develop their own hockey players and their domestic development paths, good for them and for the sport. How does that invalidate what I say tho?
It doesn’t invalidate it, just a reality check for the CHL humpers that they aren’t as macho as they think they are
 
  • Like
Reactions: Hockeyville USA
The issue being discussed was whether there will be some CHL prospects who opt to forego the NCAA entirely and instead go directly to the AHL. I was making the case that going through the NCAA makes sense for CHL players of any caliber--assuming they can't make the NHL directly out of the CHL--whether they eventually go to the AHL after that or make the jump from the NCAA directly to the NHL. Obviously the AHL is a necessary step for many NCAA prospects simply because there will be many who aren't good enough to make the NHL directly from the NCAA.

But yes, I ultimately think going to the NCAA for some period of time makes sense for any caliber of prospect after their time in the CHL. Obviating the NCAA in favor of the AHL makes sense for clubs that want to control the prospects and leagues that want to maintain leverage, but not for the prospects/players themselves.
You think that CHL players should go to D1 as soon as possible to further their development because it's a better level of competition-- which is fair enough-- yet you blow off the idea that some of them would be better off going to the AHL instead of D1 when the exact same argument can be made that the higher level of competition in the AHL will be more useful to them as long as they are good enough to handle it.

And, in other posts you've blown off the idea that anyone would want to spend any time riding buses in the AHL instead of being in the NCAA. I could roll out a list that would look like the Dead Sea Scrolls of guys who left D1 with remaining eligibility to play in the AHL. This talk of the magnificent campus lifestyle and puck bunnies, someone referring to the AHL as the Soggy Subs league is the rah-NCAA equivalent of "they won't leave CHL early because they'll make friends." The AHL, not D1 will be the finishing school and proving ground for most NHL-bound players and they'll want to complete that step as soon as possible.
 
  • Like
Reactions: SpeedyCerviche

Users who are viewing this thread

Latest posts

Ad

Ad