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CHL Can Now Play NCAA - Changes Everything

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half the posts on this site are related to the CHL vs US hockey development path feuding
It's not a contest anymore now that they are merged. The best overall development path is CHL ages 17/18 and then NCAA 19/20/21 until you're ready to go straight to the NHL. WIth the true superstars going straight from CHL to NHL after being drafted or potentially playing draft year in NCAA and then straight to NHL.

But USHL/NCAA or NTDP/NCAA or HS/USHL/NCAA is still good enough. Any path will work if you put in the work but the best talent (in terms of number of players coming out) will mostly be coming from CHL/NCAA.
 
half the posts on this site are related to the CHL vs US hockey development path feuding
Now, guys will be able to go both routes if they so choose. Some high end Ontario kid playing for the Don Mills Flyers U16 or U15 right now can go to the Kitchener Rangers or London Knights, play 2-3 years in the O, then go to Michigan for 1-2 years before turning pro. If they're good enough as a 16 and 17 year old and would rather not go through university, they can sign pro and do what CHLers have normally done. But most aren't elite enough to start in the NHL as an 18 or 19 year old, NCAA time will be beneficially for the vast majority of CHLers.
 
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Now, guys will be able to go both routes if they so choose. Some high end Ontario kid playing for the Don Mills Flyers U16 or U15 right now can go to the Kitchener Rangers or London Knights, play 2-3 years in the O, then go to Michigan for 1-2 years before turning pro. If they're good enough as a 16 and 17 year old and would rather not go through university, then can sign pro and do what CHLers have normally done. But most aren't elite enough to start in the NHL as a 18 or 19 year old, NCAA time will be beneficially for the vast majority of CHLers.
Yeah overall I think this is a massive win for the development of Canadian talent. It is a massive change for the CHL as a business...but that is what it is. Figure it out and adapt.
 
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It's not a contest anymore now that they are merged. The best overall development path is CHL ages 17/18 and then NCAA 19/20/21 until you're ready to go straight to the NHL. WIth the true superstars going straight from CHL to NHL after being drafted or potentially playing draft year in NCAA and then straight to NHL.

But USHL/NCAA or NTDP/NCAA or HS/USHL/NCAA is still good enough. Any path will work if you put in the work but the best talent (in terms of number of players coming out) will mostly be coming from CHL/NCAA.

A reasonable argument and a plausible scenario, though there are a couple of more shoes to drop. So why the feeling that CHL fans are losing their collective minds???
 
A reasonable argument and a plausible scenario, though there are a couple of more shoes to drop. So why the feeling that CHL fans are losing their collective minds???
If the shoe you're alluding to is this supposed impending agreement between the CHL and NHL to allow for a free exchange between the CHL and AHL, that just feels like moving the goal posts.

That would seemingly require that a) the NHL play favorites and cast its lot with the CHL at the expense of other leagues, and b) the CHL willingly decide to hamstring itself for the sake of spiting the NCAA.

But even if it were to exist, CHL --> NCAA --> NHL is still a better developmental and quality of life pipeline than CHL --> AHL --> NHL for almost all prospects.
 
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If the shoe you're alluding to is this supposed impending agreement between the CHL and NHL to allow for a free exchange between the CHL and AHL, that just feels like moving the goal posts.

That would seemingly require that a) the NHL play favorites and cast its lot with the CHL at the expense of other leagues, and b) the CHL willingly decide to hamstring itself for the sake of spiting the NCAA.

But even if it were to exist, CHL --> NCAA --> NHL is still a better developmental and quality of life pipeline than CHL --> AHL --> NHL for almost all prospects.

The ability of CHL players to play in the AHL before exhausting their junior eligibility is no longer a question of if but when (and I'm hearing soon).

As for the proper development path, well I'm more in line with @Bonin21's thinking; the very elite will (most likely) jump from the CHL/AHL to the NHL but the large majority of players (we are taking about the remaining 95%) will take the CHL to NCAA to AHL/NHL route.
 
CHL folks in shambles as the inevitable continues
In shambles over what? Getting the better players from Canada and the US now who wouldve not played in the CHL so they can go to college? Solidifying itself as the best junior pathway to college or pro hockey? What a tragedy for sure.
 
In shambles over what? Getting the better players from Canada and the US now who wouldve not played in the CHL so they can go to college? Solidifying itself as the best junior pathway to college or pro hockey? What a tragedy for sure.
Think people underestimate impact of losing the best (oldest) players. Being a glorified GTHL is fine as far as being able to brag about players that passed through of course, but if CHL is largely just an NCAA Feeder being in the "best" NCAA Feeder is much less important compared to if you go back 20 years to being in the "best" NHL feeder. I know we post every single commitment in here which can overstate impact (there are 231 Minnesota born players playing NCAA Hockey this year, a few Minnesota kids have been posted signing with WHL teams, and now people say that means every single kid from Minnesota just wants to play WHL) but we're what about 5-6 years away from achieving pretty close symmetry between Canada/U.S. in terms of Junior-aged registered players. It's good for American "donut" kids that aren't good enough to make NTDP but too good to be playing AAA/HS Hockey when they're 16 to have more options, but USHL/traditional American development paths will likely still remain a perfectly viable path to play at a high level of college hockey (think how kids from ALLIANCE or HEO aren't rushing to move into GTHL in order to play in the 'best' OHL feeder), which appears heading full steam to being the premiere feeder league into the Pros now that elite CHL players are leaving early to play there before turning professional (despite one fraudulent insider saying that wouldn't happen and all players just wanted to sign ELCs as quick as possible).
 
As for the proper development path, well I'm more in line with @Bonin21's thinking; the very elite will (most likely) jump from the CHL/AHL to the NHL but the large majority of players (we are taking about the remaining 95%) will take the CHL to NCAA to AHL/NHL route.
Is that was @Bonin21 is saying, that the very elite prospects are going to go from the CHL to the AHL? Pretty sure he is saying
Bingo. Spending time in the AHL sucks.
Riding around on buses in the AHL with grown men who have families is not a desirable place for 18 year olds to be vis a vis living in the dorms with kids who are the same age with you. And there is a very colorable argument that it is not a good place for them to develop either versus having more time in the NCAA to spend in the weight room. The only argument for the AHL is that it is a more mature, physical league. But so is the NCAA compared to the CHL, so there's no comparative advantage there either.

I fail to see how the CHL --> AHL --> NHL pathway is preferrable to the CHL --> NCAA --> NHL pathway for any caliber of prospect.
 
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Think people underestimate impact of losing the best (oldest) players. Being a glorified GTHL is fine as far as being able to brag about players that passed through of course, but if CHL is largely just an NCAA Feeder being in the "best" NCAA Feeder is much less important compared to if you go back 20 years to being in the "best" NHL feeder. I know we post every single commitment in here which can overstate impact (there are 231 Minnesota born players playing NCAA Hockey this year, a few Minnesota kids have been posted signing with WHL teams, and now people say that means every single kid from Minnesota just wants to play WHL) but we're what about 5-6 years away from achieving pretty close symmetry between Canada/U.S. in terms of Junior-aged registered players. It's good for American "donut" kids that aren't good enough to make NTDP but too good to be playing AAA/HS Hockey when they're 16 to have more options, but USHL/traditional American development paths will likely still remain a perfectly viable path to play at a high level of college hockey (think how kids from ALLIANCE or HEO aren't rushing to move into GTHL in order to play in the 'best' OHL feeder), which appears heading full steam to being the premiere feeder league into the Pros now that elite CHL players are leaving early to play there before turning professional (despite one fraudulent insider saying that wouldn't happen and all players just wanted to sign ELCs as quick as possible).
My guy the CHL wouldve been the best feeder league to the NCAA for 50 yrs just like it was to the NHL and pros if it wasnt for the stupid archaic ban put in place that entire time, do you not realize that? That decades experience of development isnt just going to up and disappear with older players leaving. The loss of older players to pros or any higher circuit is an inevitable part of any junior league regardless. The loss of these players will be offset by the continuous flow of younger guys who wouldve dodged the CHL circuit previously to retain D1 eligbility and high end import players who are looking to go to D1, the depth evens out one way or another. Youre trying to make it out as the CHL and Hockey Canada being the losers here when really theyre the big winners with the NCAA.

Really, the ball is in the USHL and USAH's court to make major moves. Their advantage of being the premier destination for D1 commits is gone and they went from easily competing with the Tier 2/Jr. A CJHL lower level leagues for recruits to having to directly compete with the CHL leagues who are equal or stronger and have more funding, better facilities, and better on/off-ice development, as well as having a contentious and awkward situation brewing with Muskegon and Youngstown whom they might have to fight in litigation court to stop them bolting to the OHL, and ultimately having no dominion or say over the NCAA's decisions for D1 hockey. Thats not to say the USHL and US junior path of development will be obselete, the recent aforementioned securing of NHL subsidies and funding for the USHL will definitely help, and there are no regional recruitment restrictions and league wide tenders can be a useful recruitment tool they can build upon, and they have decades of experience of being an excellent D1 and pro hockey feeder with several worthwhile teams for junior players to develop and play. But they need to do a lot to catch up and be on equal or stronger footing than the CHL as a junior development circuit.
 
Riding around on buses in the AHL with grown men who have families is not a desirable place for 18 year olds to be vis a vis living in the dorms with kids who are the same age with you.
Eating soggy subs and riding the bus vs. being surrounded by smoking blonde puck bunnies every weekend. Ya...
 
As far as the quality of the hockey being played, no it won't be offset.
Thats just your opinion and not factual. The CHL has been pumping kids to the NHL and all over pro for decades and not every kid is going to leave for college or pros right at 18-19. Ill take that evidence of the quality of hockey and development over an opinion.
 
My guy the CHL wouldve been the best feeder league to the NCAA for 50 yrs just like it was to the NHL and pros if it wasnt for the stupid archaic ban put in place that entire time, do you not realize that? That decades experience of development isnt just going to up and disappear with older players leaving. The loss of older players to pros or any higher circuit is an inevitable part of any junior league regardless. The loss of these players will be offset by the continuous flow of younger guys who wouldve dodged the CHL circuit previously to retain D1 eligbility and high end import players who are looking to go to D1, the depth evens out one way or another. Youre trying to make it out as the CHL and Hockey Canada being the losers here when really theyre the big winners with the NCAA.

Really, the ball is in the USHL and USAH's court to make major moves. Their advantage of being the premier destination for D1 commits is gone and they went from easily competing with the Tier 2/Jr. A CJHL lower level leagues for recruits to having to directly compete with the CHL leagues who are equal or stronger and have more funding, better facilities, and better on/off-ice development, as well as having a contentious and awkward situation brewing with Muskegon and Youngstown whom they might have to fight in litigation court to stop them bolting to the OHL, and ultimately having no dominion or say over the NCAA's decisions for D1 hockey. Thats not to say the USHL and US junior path of development will be obselete, the recent aforementioned securing of NHL subsidies and funding for the USHL will definitely help, and there are no regional recruitment restrictions and league wide tenders can be a useful recruitment tool they can build upon, and they have decades of experience of being an excellent D1 and pro hockey feeder with several worthwhile teams for junior players to develop and play. But they need to do a lot to catch up and be on equal or stronger footing than the CHL as a junior development circuit.
Yeah the loss of some high end 19 year olds is in some part offset in that in the future players like Makar, Power, Fantilli, and Celebrini that would have all spent atleast some portion of their pre draft years playing in the CHL under the new rules.
 
Thats just your opinion and not factual. The CHL has been pumping kids to the NHL and all over pro for decades and not every kid is going to leave for college or pros right at 18-19. Ill take that evidence of the quality of hockey and development over an opinion.
Your "evidence" is completely moot as the entire structure of the league has now changed.
 
Is that was @Bonin21 is saying, that the very elite prospects are going to go from the CHL to the AHL? Pretty sure he is saying

Riding around on buses in the AHL with grown men who have families is not a desirable place for 18 year olds to be vis a vis living in the dorms with kids who are the same age with you. And there is a very colorable argument that it is not a good place for them to develop either versus having more time in the NCAA to spend in the weight room. The only argument for the AHL is that it is a more mature, physical league. But so is the NCAA compared to the CHL, so there's no comparative advantage there either.

I fail to see how the CHL --> AHL --> NHL pathway is preferrable to the CHL --> NCAA --> NHL pathway for any caliber of prospect.

Bonin21 can explain himself on the post where he stated
It's not a contest anymore now that they are merged. The best overall development path is CHL ages 17/18 and then NCAA 19/20/21 until you're ready to go straight to the NHL. WIth the true superstars going straight from CHL to NHL after being drafted or potentially playing draft year in NCAA and then straight to NHL.

As for which pathway is preferable, well that all depends on the player and there have been some who have already signed ELCs over spending a couple of years in college before going pro.

I know that it is difficult for some to understand, but the NCAA is not guaranteed to become the top of the pyramid as it was in the USA Hockey amateur development model and I've heard from enough people in the know that the CHL does not want to become the handmaiden of the NCAA. (as the USHL was). There will be many players who will take the CHL to AHL/NHL path, spurning college all together. There will also be many players who will jump from the CHL to the NCAA before going pro.
 

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