One thing I think a lot of you guys are missing is you are only evaluating this through the lense of first round draft picks. There are a lot of kids who get drafted who go nowhere, or very good players who dont get drafted.
This will have a bigger effect on them than any first round kid.
Now some of you might say who cares! But if you're involved in the game these kids are people too and some of them are damn fine hockey players who will excel in College.
This change is hurting a lot of kids.
I was going to agree with you but then I read the final sentence and I really don't get where you're coming from anymore.
Yes, this change will impact way more non-NHL prospects than NHL prospects let alone first-rounders. But I don't see it hurting those kids.
First things first:
- USHL kids can still go the NCAA route
- CHL kids can go the NCAA route
- Jr. A kids can choose between NCAA and USports
What will happen is that CHL and NCAA quality will likely go up because more high-end players will take that route. The "lower-end" American (and some Canadian) prospects (who will still be high end in the grand scheme of things) will still have great development options in the USHL.
The only "problem" is that more high-end players will want to play for the high-end NCAA programs, but I don't see that as a problem. There are 64 D1 schools, 6 D2 and 84 D3 – and then there's ACHA etc. All of these schools will benefit from better players, all players who are good enough to play but not good enough to turn pro will find a place to play while going to school if they choose to. Lower-end college kids may be pushed out, but if we're being completely honest, if you aren't good enough to stick with an ACHA school, you probably weren't looking at a pro career anymore anyway and can simply go to school and play club hockey or whatever.
To me, this change is great for everyone involved – except perhaps those players who don't get a CHL scholarship because they didn't stick for the full 4 years and can't afford school without a full hockey scholarship.