Let’s not rewrite history. Hanifin may have played more game but at the time of that trade there were lots of discussion that he was a disappointment and not worth his draft position.
Yeah, that's because he was the 1st defenseman drafted in one of the strongest drafts in history. People expected him to be closer to a top pairing D by the time he was 21, not a #4.
Yes he is a much better skater but it’s not like he was a sure top 4 dman at the time of the trade.
I mean he literally played as a #4 as a 21 year old defenseman in Carolina
Nemec may or may not work out but I would say he comes with the same questions and expectations
If you have the same expectations for Nemec as you did for Hanifin I suspect you will be disappointed. Hanifin was a young defenseman on a great trajectory with no major flaws or holes in his game. He was just young and still developing, but he had all the key attributes needed to become a top pairing dman down the road.
Nemec has some extremely obvious, painful holes in his game, and his skating is a significant blocker for him progressing into a reliable full time defender. If he had shown improvements there, I'd be more optimistic, but his skating speed metrics haven't progressed at all over the last 3 years. Most 20 year old prospects are able make meaningful gains in explosiveness by the age of 22 with a disciplined off ice training program. But he's made no progress there - if anything he's gone backwards a touch, which makes me extremely skeptical that he's going to all of the sudden make a jump there.
Below are his skating metrics at age 20 and then age 22, and then the same metrics for the guys drafted on either side of him.
Nemec played 60 games in 23-24 and 68 this past year - and his skating speed metrics haven't improved at all - in fact they're arguably worse.
Here is the same period for Slafkovksy. Higher top speed, twice as many 20-22mph bursts.
And here it is for Logan Cooley (note he played only 54 games in 25-26 vs 82 in 23-24, yet still had twice as many 22+ mph bursts and more 20-22 mph bursts.)
What we saw from Slafkovsky and Cooley is what we would have hoped to have seen from Nemec during the same period, but he's completely flat lined.
If his skating continues to stagnate, then expectations need to be drastically lowered, to the point where he might struggle to hold down a full time NHL job, unless he completely changes his game and tries to become a stay at home defenseman. You can't be a rover while also being well below average in the skating department