Bad goaltending causes the rest of the team to collapse into the defensive zone which makes breaking out of the zone that much harder. Good goaltending allows the rest of the team to play more freely, taking chances, because they know if they make a mistake, it won't always end up in the back of their net.We’ll never know for sure, but I think we’ll likely finish ~7 points back, and that’s an awful big gap for one position to make up, even one as critical as goaltending.
Keep in mind even “league average” goaltenders don’t play league average every night. They have games they give up 4 or 5, too. Even the best do. The offense is too sporadic and the blue-line still not deep enough for me to say that if you put, I don’t know… “Sorokin” on this team, that they would’ve made the playoffs.
If you look at our scores in our recent rough stretch since the Stadium Series (which includes when Elvis really started playing poorly) it’s tough for me to find many/any when a league-average goalie would’ve won a game that we lost. I don’t see any 5-4, 6-4, 6-5 type of losses. Perhaps the 5-3 NJ loss, but that’s basically it.
ETA: Sorokin at his level of play this year, to clarify.
So I'm not sure I agree you can just look at the scores with bad goaltending.