Caufield 16G in his last 18GP

GrandmaCookie

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Feb 10, 2019
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MoneyManny

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Jun 28, 2021
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in 2023 when he scored 26 in 46 he had a 16.5% shooting%. You apply that shooting% to his shot volume so far and it would have him on pace for 39 goals over 82 games. Even if he finishes around 20% where other elite shooters are (Matthews, Draisaitl ect) it would still only have him on pace for 47 goals.
He's not sniffing the rocket unless he starts putting the puck on net more.
Who thinks he's going to win the rocket?

Every Habs fan would be extatic with 40 goals, why do your posts sound so negative?
 
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bobholly39

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Mar 10, 2013
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He started last season hot too. Only 4 goals in first 7 games maybe, but 9 points.

It's a cool streak, but when you break it down over 2 seasons it's more a matter of luck honestly, as it's 2 separate hot streaks.

We'll see what he does. I did predict he'd make a run for 50 goals this year, so I hope it happens - but it's definitely early. I want to see how he looks ~20-30 games in.
 

Wayfarer13

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Jun 21, 2020
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Definitely won't keep up that shooting percentage but he is also coming off a career low shooting percentage last year after the shoulder surgery.

I think it will be higher than last year.
Got to acknowledge he shot over 19% in the last 9 games last year.
It looks like it took most of the year for the shoulder to regain its strength
 
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banks

Only got 3 of 16.
Aug 29, 2019
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The Nick Suzuki effect.

I'm kidding. But not totally kidding, as Suzuki is incredibly underrated and deserves more credit and attention.
 

MNRube

Registered User
Oct 20, 2013
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Probably goes top 5 in a '19 redraft.
I think he does. Kind of a weak draft so far.

Hughes/Seider/Boldy the clear top 3. Then Caufield. Then you have guys like Zegras, Pinto, Broberg and maybe a few others who have a chance to sneak in the 5th spot. Could be forgetting someone too
 

Grate n Colorful Oz

The Hutson Hawk
Jun 12, 2007
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in 2023 when he scored 26 in 46 he had a 16.5% shooting%. You apply that shooting% to his shot volume so far and it would have him on pace for 39 goals over 82 games. Even if he finishes around 20% where other elite shooters are (Matthews, Draisaitl ect) it would still only have him on pace for 47 goals.
He's not sniffing the rocket unless he starts putting the puck on net more.

Cherrypicker.

He had 314 shots last season and as the Habs premiere sniper, should get just as many, or even more this season as he now seems completely rehabilitated from his surgery and that should boost his confidence. With 314 shots at 16.5%, that's 51.8 goals. If he shoots 18%, which is entirely possible, it's 56.6.
 

josra33

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Aug 11, 2008
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Can we normalize not using different seasons for talking about consecutive games played with a stat? It’s asinine and dumb as shit.
 
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Dion TheFluff

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Jun 22, 2015
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Cherrypicker.

He had 314 shots last season and as the Habs premiere sniper, should get just as many, or even more this season as he now seems completely rehabilitated from his surgery and that should boost his confidence. With 314 shots at 16.5%, that's 51.8 goals. If he shoots 18%, which is entirely possible, it's 56.6.
I literally said given his shot volume ATM (would be on pace for 236 shots this season), even if he finishes the year around 20% shooting%, he's not sniffing the rocket unless he starts putting the puck on net more this season.
Where in any of that am I cherry picking?
 

Grate n Colorful Oz

The Hutson Hawk
Jun 12, 2007
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I literally said given his shot volume ATM (would be on pace for 236 shots this season), even if he finishes the year around 20% shooting%, he's not sniffing the rocket unless he starts putting the puck on net more this season.
Where in any of that am I cherry picking?
Because you're extrapolating on a very small sample. Caufield is likely to get much more than 236 shots. On the one hand you're talking about normalizing his shot percentage of this small sample, yet you somehow forget that his shot count (low right now) should ALSO normalize close to last year, which is a far bigger sample. 300 shots and 18% are both probable for Caufield.
 

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