GDT: caps vs wild

[DWGie26]

Where is CMM's offense? He has gone too quiet lately.

He has had some points. Not so much in goal department. Had a great opportunity tonight in the third when he was in front of the net. Just couldn’t get his stick on it.

 

[zappa4ever]

Fine w/LT getting a string of starts/go with the hot hand for a bit, but have no interest in him starting 50 gms, his max was last year at 46, I'd like to see him w/less than that

2021-22 - 19 starts
2022-23 - 37
2023-24 - 46

We're 1st in the East with an up and down Chucky, he did have a nice 7-2 stretch until the last 3 starts

 

[SherVaughn30]

Fine w/LT getting a string of starts/go with the hot hand for a bit, but have no interest in him starting 50 gms, his max was last year at 46, I'd like to see him w/less than that

2021-22 - 19 starts
2022-23 - 37
2023-24 - 46

We're 1st in the East with an up and down Chucky, he did have a nice 7-2 stretch until the last 3 starts

First of all, LT can handle 50. He had to handle good stretches of starts when Adin Hill had injuries.

2nd, CL has trended into 2 problems. 1st the own goal gaff, but now another puck handling mistake that resulted in a goal. So this is not an outlier but a problem getting pucks to his d-men via pass and then getting back in net, in a quick as possible manner. CL has been too casual handling pucks at times and he needs to clean that sh*t up.

The bigger issue for CL, he's guessing on shots far too much. That is why we have seen him overplaying shots, having strange rebounds, being off on some his angles and being out of position far too many times. This has to do with reading and reacting to plays, and playing every other game. He's not in a good rhythm right now. This goes back to LT/CL needing to switch to my suggestion of a 2:1 ratio for starts. Less starts for CL, means more time to practice some bad habits that have crept into his game.

Last season Darcy Kuemper struggled and CL took over the #1 job. During preseason, CL didn't look so good and up to this point he's had up and down stretches. I think he might be starting to feel the pressure that LT is grabbing hold of the #1 job. Just a reality check, last season might have been CL's peak of his career, with a possibility he never reaches those strong numbers again. Bottom line, CL doesn't look as sharp and confident as he did last season.

 

[Kazer]

Connor's 'struggles' are largely just regression. He wasn't going to shoot 25% on the year (now a much more reasonable 16.3 shooting percentage), and his oiSH% has also come down to a number more in line with his career average (currently 12.2 at even strength whereas earlier on it was above 16%).

Note that the regression monster will be coming for Protas too.

At the end of the day, it's tough to win a game when your goalie gives one away for free, especially against a good team (and while Minnesota is missing Spurgeon and Kaprizov they're still a good team with Faber/Boldy/Eriksson Ek/Rossi/etc.).

Edit to add: LT is the clear starter on this team even if they continue the timeshare. And I'm fine with the timeshare for the regular season as LT has never started more than 46 games in an NHL season (regular + postseason combined). But once the playoffs start, it has to be LT all the way (based on what we have seen so far).

 

[crab]

Connor's 'struggles' are largely just regression. He wasn't going to shoot 25% on the year (now a much more reasonable 16.3 shooting percentage), and his oiSH% has also come down to a number more in line with his career average (currently 12.2 at even strength whereas earlier on it was above 16%).

Note that the regression monster will be coming for Protas too.

At the end of the day, it's tough to win a game when your goalie gives one away for free, especially against a good team (and while Minnesota is missing Spurgeon and Kaprizov they're still a good team with Faber/Boldy/Eriksson Ek/Rossi/etc.).

Edit to add: LT is the clear starter on this team even if they continue the timeshare. And I'm fine with the timeshare for the regular season as LT has never started more than 46 games in an NHL season (regular + postseason combined). But once the playoffs start, it has to be LT all the way (based on what we have seen so far).

Agreed but he also hasn’t been generating the same scoring chances. He was getting like 2-3 breakaways/semi-breakaways a game at the start of the season.

 

[StrikingDistance]

I see that Sucky Chideburns made an appearance last night. Those mistakes are ok Reg season, but I think LT is our PO goalie.

Also, strange picks for the SO. Think I would of gone: Chicky, Pro, CMM

 

[Ridley Simon]

Connor's 'struggles' are largely just regression. He wasn't going to shoot 25% on the year (now a much more reasonable 16.3 shooting percentage), and his oiSH% has also come down to a number more in line with his career average (currently 12.2 at even strength whereas earlier on it was above 16%).

Note that the regression monster will be coming for Protas too.

At the end of the day, it's tough to win a game when your goalie gives one away for free, especially against a good team (and while Minnesota is missing Spurgeon and Kaprizov they're still a good team with Faber/Boldy/Eriksson Ek/Rossi/etc.).

Edit to add: LT is the clear starter on this team even if they continue the timeshare. And I'm fine with the timeshare for the regular season as LT has never started more than 46 games in an NHL season (regular + postseason combined). But once the playoffs start, it has to be LT all the way (based on what we have seen so far).

Bite your tongue young man. Protas’ do NOT regress. They flourish!!

Yes, I should be related to them, but I am not. Just a HUGE Homer.

 

[DWGie26]

Fine w/LT getting a string of starts/go with the hot hand for a bit, but have no interest in him starting 50 gms, his max was last year at 46, I'd like to see him w/less than that

2021-22 - 19 starts
2022-23 - 37
2023-24 - 46

We're 1st in the East with an up and down Chucky, he did have a nice 7-2 stretch until the last 3 starts

I mean come on. A perfect split is 41. Give him a couple of back-to-backs and he is quickly up to 43-45. I don’t think he’ll get to 50 unless we really just make him the full time number one but i don’t see that either. 45-55 is just fine for him (and us). If LT is going to be a full-time playoff goalie he should be around 50 games. If not, that means we rotate in playoffs too. I’m not sure i love that.

 

[zappa4ever]

I mean come on. A perfect split is 41. Give him a couple of back-to-backs and he is quickly up to 43-45. I don’t think he’ll get to 50 unless we really just make him the full time number one but i don’t see that either. 45-55 is just fine for him (and us). If LT is going to be a full-time playoff goalie he should be around 50 games. If not, that means we rotate in playoffs too. I’m not sure i love that.

ok, 45 may be a little on the under, but
50 starts means he's starting 31 of the last 44 (70%) ; no thanks.

I'd like LT get more consec starts, and want him to have most of the load down the stretch, just do it gradually and strategically;
There's 17gms until 4 Nation 13day break, give LT 10 of 17 with 2 3gm stretches
There's 27gms after 4 Nation break, give LT 18 of 27 with a 4 gm stretch and 2 5gm stretches in the last 15
That's 47 starts total, 28 of last 44, w/16 of last 44 to Chucky

If LT starts 55 (36 of 44) we're likely out 1st round from LT fatigued

Conservative? maybe, but I'd rather maximize chance of deep playoff run over higher chances of injury/fatigue in RS; nobody knows how much of a load he can handle with his 46 career max so far

.02

 

[Caps8112]

so checked moneypuck after the loss and what is with the disrepect to the wild on that site. was happy looking over the pecentages and seeing the caps so high in some categories but they also have minnesota ranked really low. lasted I checked the wild are 4th in the league. They currently have the flyers more likely to win the cup which is impossible.

 

[DWGie26]

ok, 45 may be a little on the under, but
50 starts means he's starting 31 of the last 44 (70%) ; no thanks.

I'd like LT get more consec starts, and want him to have most of the load down the stretch, just do it gradually and strategically;
There's 17gms until 4 Nation 13day break, give LT 10 of 17 with 2 3gm stretches
There's 27gms after 4 Nation break, give LT 18 of 27 with a 4 gm stretch and 2 5gm stretches in the last 15
That's 47 starts total, 28 of last 44, w/16 of last 44 to Chucky

If LT starts 55 (36 of 44) we're likely out 1st round from LT fatigued

Conservative? maybe, but I'd rather maximize chance of deep playoff run over higher chances of injury/fatigue in RS; nobody knows how much of a load he can handle with his 46 career max so far

.02

We are aligned. I don’t want him to play 70% of the remaining games. But I am good with 60%.