- Feb 13, 2019
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Different NHLe model, this is from the Byron Bader one, but..
From the 2010-2020 drafts, the Caps made 55 total picks.
27 of those picks fell into Bader's "Group 5", which are players that "make the NHL ~15% of the time; turn into a star ~0.5% of the time; make up ~50% of skaters drafted"
Of those 27, 10 have subsequently been categorized as busts.
Of those 27, 11 are still categorized as "Developing". I have major issues with this category, as it includes Beck Malenstyn and AJF, but also Sebastian Walfridsson and Dmitriy Zaitsev. (Major props and bonus points to anyone who remembers Sebastian without looking him up. I didn't. He was our 5th round pick, #151 overall, in 2017.)
But most relevant to the point I'm going to make,
Of those 27, the remaining 6, each of whom are categorized as 'NHLers' are:
Protas the Elder
Burakovsky
Vrana
Siegenthaler
Fehervary
Wilson
'NHLers' is also the category that Travis Boyd, Connor Carrick, and Zach Sanford are in. Which, I mean, I guess is technically accurate. Wilson, Fever, and Carrick all became "NHLers". Just vastly different quality of NHLer. (The only Caps picks from that time frame that have become what Bader considers 'Stars' are Kuznetsov and Forsberg.)
So .. I don't put a lot of stock into NHL equivalency analyses.
(Embedded image, the group 5 list runs beyond the bottom of what I could capture in a single snip. For anyone curious the other names in that group are Sutter, Walfridsson and Geisser. Blues are stars, Greens are NHLers, Reds and Busts, and Grays are Developing.)
From the 2010-2020 drafts, the Caps made 55 total picks.
27 of those picks fell into Bader's "Group 5", which are players that "make the NHL ~15% of the time; turn into a star ~0.5% of the time; make up ~50% of skaters drafted"
Of those 27, 10 have subsequently been categorized as busts.
Of those 27, 11 are still categorized as "Developing". I have major issues with this category, as it includes Beck Malenstyn and AJF, but also Sebastian Walfridsson and Dmitriy Zaitsev. (Major props and bonus points to anyone who remembers Sebastian without looking him up. I didn't. He was our 5th round pick, #151 overall, in 2017.)
But most relevant to the point I'm going to make,
Of those 27, the remaining 6, each of whom are categorized as 'NHLers' are:
Protas the Elder
Burakovsky
Vrana
Siegenthaler
Fehervary
Wilson
'NHLers' is also the category that Travis Boyd, Connor Carrick, and Zach Sanford are in. Which, I mean, I guess is technically accurate. Wilson, Fever, and Carrick all became "NHLers". Just vastly different quality of NHLer. (The only Caps picks from that time frame that have become what Bader considers 'Stars' are Kuznetsov and Forsberg.)
So .. I don't put a lot of stock into NHL equivalency analyses.
(Embedded image, the group 5 list runs beyond the bottom of what I could capture in a single snip. For anyone curious the other names in that group are Sutter, Walfridsson and Geisser. Blues are stars, Greens are NHLers, Reds and Busts, and Grays are Developing.)
