GDT: Canes at Panthers 2/27/21

Finlandia WOAT

No blocks, No slappers
May 23, 2010
24,423
24,713
I'm bad a math but is that actually 30 percent? or just 30 percent each time? either way, I'm annoyed by them missing all three lol.
chance of something happening at least once within x number of attempts:

(1-(1- chance of thing happening in 1 attempt, as a decimal) ^ number of attempts)

30% chance: .3
3 attempts: 3

(1-(1-.3)^3)= .657

In other words, on 3 breakaways you have .657 chance to at least get one goal- which is to say you have a .343 chance to get no goal.
 
Jul 18, 2010
26,725
57,576
Atlanta, GA
I'm bad a math but is that actually 30 percent? or just 30 percent each time? either way, I'm annoyed by them missing all three lol.

I’m making a broad assumption that your chance to score on each breakaway is about 30%.

That means your chance to miss is 70%.

So your chance to miss 3 times in a row is 70% x 70% x 70%, or roughly 34%.
 

Ad

Upcoming events

  • HV 71 @ Lulea Hockey
    HV 71 @ Lulea Hockey
    Wagers: 2
    Staked: $85.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Croatia vs Portugal
    Croatia vs Portugal
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland
    Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland
    Wagers: 2
    Staked: $50,050.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Poland vs Scotland
    Poland vs Scotland
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Serbia vs Denmark
    Serbia vs Denmark
    Wagers: 1
    Staked: $25.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:

Ad

Ad