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Well see bud. When these guys sign their next deals at a much larger cap hit, it creates ripple effects. Teams need to move contracts, make space, adapt to the new normal asks. RFA's who file for arbitration who would have made 3m 2 years ago will now make 5, etcDoubtful. There'll be a contingent that gets the huge money before they get anywhere near free agency. Makar, Kucherov, Hughes aren't getting anywhere near FA and even if they did they aren't signing in SJ.
There'll be a bunch of well past their prime pieces in Karlsson, Doughty, Spurgeon, Faulk, Gostisbehere etc. Maybe you get one of these guys to sign if you overpay them and give them stupid term. If you do, what exactly are you getting from these guys at the tail ends of their careers?
That leaves a pool of guys like Debrincat, Dunn, Chatfield, McCann, Marino, Zub, Batherson, Zacha, Ristolainen and potentially Byram. At which point the pool has thinned out considerably. Now take this pool of guys that are in the right age range for a young SJ team and conservatively eliminate half of them because they've re-signed with their teams or got moved to a team that re-upped them. That's about your best case scenario if your plan is to sit back and wait for players to hit FA in 2027.
Either way this year was the most barren UFA class in 2 decades and we knew it would be because no contracts were up, next year will yield more options
